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P(A|B) = [P(B|A) P(A)] / P(B)

This isn’t completely true. The CDC’s Foodnet program made cyclospora monitoring optional, but other programs were still monitoring it. Of course cuts to CDC and FDA hamper the response, but the situation is much more nuanced than most covey on social media.

Before the president gets on television tonight to peddle lies and conspiracy theories, here is what you need to know: The 2020 election was not stolen. We won, and he lost.