Below, an eye-opening investigation into how prediction markets like Kalshi & Polymarket could sway elections. BusinessWeek's @liamvaughan.bsky.social details how easily—and cheaply—bets on candidates can be manipulated and misconstrued, featuring work by SIEPR Senior Fellow Andy Hall. Gift link ⬇️
SIEPR
@siepr.bsky.social
The official Bluesky account of the Stanford Institute for Economic Policy Research (SIEPR), Stanford University's home for addressing economic policy challenges around the globe. Learn more about us: https://siepr.stanford.edu
📢 Happening now! 📢 An @npr.org conversation about the "annoyance economy," featuring SIEPR's @nealemahoney.bsky.social and Chad Maisel of @groundwork.bsky.social talking about the hidden costs of everyday hassles. Livestream👇
Is AI taking jobs from software developers? A new SIEPR Policy Brief, featured recently @financialtimes.com, explains the data on what's actually going on with AI at work. One nugget: Coders & others highly exposed to AI are doing OK on the hiring front. Link in 🧵👇
🆕 Study looks at changes job seekers make to their LinkedIn profiles to match perceived demand for skills. AI mentions are ⬆️, DEI is ⬇️. SIEPR's @nickbloom.bsky.social, @gideonmoore.bsky.social & economists at @reveliolabs.com also identify heavy users of AI for resume help: tinyurl.com/3fvhne5d
The #Fed chief’s five new task forces don’t cover enough ground, SIEPR senior fellow Amit Seru explains in @barrons.com. Financial stability — where monetary policy and the nation’s financial plumbing intersect — should be in the mix, too, for a close look. More 👇 www.barrons.com/articles/war...
What Warsh’s Federal Reserve Task Forces Are Missing
The Federal Reserve is undergoing its most significant institutional reform of the modern era. One critical area is being neglected, Amit Seru and Mickey D. Levy write.
barrons.com
🙌 We just said goodbye and thank you to 20 of our predoctoral research fellows, many of whom will soon begin their journey to a PhD in economics. Our predocs get to work with leading economists across housing, health, trade, finance and more. Meet Daniel Posthumus ⬇️
We are excited to share that @maya-rossin-slater.bsky.social, Arun Chandrasekhar, Petra Persson & @marcellaalsan.bsky.social, SIEPR senior fellows, have been awarded grants from @stanfordimpactlabs.bsky.social for research that promises to make a real-world impact. Read more ⬇️ tinyurl.com/SILawards
✂️ Cutting bureaucratic bloat: Daniel Ho, director of RegLab @law.stanford.edu and senior fellow at SIEPR & @stanfordhai.bsky.social, has been at the forefront of leveraging AI to help cities & states identify outdated, unnecessary rules. Time to get the scissors. siepr.stanford.edu/news/how-ai-...
When I ran BLS, I was asked constantly about the impact of AI on jobs. It's still one of the most common questions I get. So we put together a policy brief - for policymakers, journalists, and anyone trying to sort through what is happening with AI and jobs: siepr.stanford.edu/publications...
What is really happening to jobs? Separating AI hype from reality
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siepr.stanford.edu
What’s really going on with AI and jobs? With #AI rapidly advancing, so too are fears of a “jobs apocalypse.” In this SIEPR Policy Brief, @nealemahoney.bsky.social, @erikamcentarfer.bsky.social and Karsen Wahal synthesize what the fast-growing body of research is saying. tinyurl.com/AIpolicybrief
👏 We are honored to have hosted Philip Jefferson, @federalreserve.gov vice chair, for an afternoon of conversations with faculty, students and other members of our community. We thank Dr. Jefferson for his insights into #AI & #inflation + his advice to new college grads: tinyurl.com/yfmred5e
⚽️ Anyone who's bet on their favorite World Cup soccer team and lost may have been doomed from the start. Why? Fans are way too optimistic that their chosen teams will win, despite the odds pointing to a loss. Study by SIEPR's Kwabena Donkor: tinyurl.com/52txwv3b
What soccer fans can teach us about the rationale — and distortion — behind financial choices
Loyalty matters: SIEPR Faculty Fellow Kwabena Donkor finds that people align investment decisions with their identity and not only with potential profits.
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"You really can just fire the BLS commissioner," SIEPR's @erikamcentarfer.bsky.social, who Trump removed last summer as head of the gov't agency in response to weak jobs data, tells @financialtimes.com. Here's more from McEntarfer on the topic of trust in gov't data: tinyurl.com/3vj98ydh
The warning about AI just got louder: “We must act now.” That's the call by 200+ economists and AI researchers from Stanford & around the world, urging policymakers to act. See their open letter ⤵️co-organized by SIEPR senior fellow @erikbryn.bsky.social, of @stanforddel.bsky.social bit.ly/4vNdrp7
“We Must Act Now”: Sixteen Nobel Laureates Join Leading Economists and AI Researchers in Call to Prepare for AI’s Economic Transformation - Stanford Digital Economy Lab
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For anyone worried about AI's effects on jobs, there's good news: Study by @lalthoff.bsky.social, SIEPR faculty fellow and @stanforduniversity.bsky.social economist, introduces the idea that AI will simplify tasks, boosting wages for all workers, esp. those with lower skills. News summary👇
Fax machines, telegrams & reports on children who hunt deer. New York State just announced a sweeping program to eliminate outdated rules using a pioneering #AI tool developed in partnership with SIEPR's Daniel Ho and his Stanford RegLab team. Story👇
📣 Andrew Hall, Stanford political economist and SIEPR senior fellow, is at the forefront of research into AI's use in politics and its implications for democracy. "People are asking AI for help with how to vote," he says in a new interview about his work. Highly recommend this read! 👇
🥳 Congratulations to Sebastian Bauer, PhD '26 from Stanford Graduate School of Business and winner of the SIEPR award for best student paper, a.k.a the Claire and Ralph Landau Student Discussion Paper Prize. Here, he talks about his award-winning research on airport congestion. Study link👇
👏 Another example of AI improving how gov't works: SIEPR Senior Fellow Daniel Ho and his @law.stanford.edu RegLab team built a tool to speed up the resolution of unemployment insurance claims in Colorado. More on this + the award they received for their work: tinyurl.com/mry69kcv
Stanford RegLab and Colorado Labor Department Receive Award for AI Adjudication Tool | Stanford Law School
Resolving an unemployment claim often turns on asking the right questions. Adjudicators must determine which facts matter, identify what is missing or
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📣 Excellent analysis in @fortune.com on the raging debate over AI's impacts on workers, featuring SIEPR Senior Fellow @erikbryn.bsky.social and 2 tracking tools developed by his team @stanforddel.bsky.social. Link👇 #FutureOfWork #Economy
🧵🤒 "Navigating the U.S. health care system can feel like a second job." That's SIEPR's @nealemahoney.bsky.social, in a new @tradeoffs.org episode on America's alarming medical debt crisis and its role in the "annoyance economy." Mahoney diagnoses the problem + evaluates policy fixes.👇
On Freakonomics Radio recently, SIEPR's @alroth.bsky.social talked about assisted suicide, one of many "repugnant" markets he discusses in his new book, "Moral Economics." Here's Roth on our Econ To Go podcast, sharing his insights into illicit drug sales, organ donation + more: tinyurl.com/47a3ufss
Meet Bruce Cain, a Stanford political scientist who researches two topics that make the news every day: energy & water, and how to ensure there's enough of both. Watch as he takes on our “Beat the Clock” challenge: to sum up his work, and why it matters, in 90 seconds or less.
Wall Street Journal confirms what SIEPR's @nickbloom.bsky.social has been saying all along: #WFH is here to stay, frustrating efforts by some big-name CEOs to haul workers back. Bloom explains this mismatch b/w bosses and employees on our Econ To Go podcast: siepr.stanford.edu/av/Econ-To-G...
How AI will change the job market, and how to prepare: insights from 16 top economists, including SIEPR's @nickbloom.bsky.social and Bharat Chandar, @stanforddel.bsky.social economist. Gift link ⤵️ tinyurl.com/4r25y7zw #FutureofWork #AI
Economists Weigh In on the Future of Work and AI
How 16 top economists think AI will change the job market, and how to prepare.
tinyurl.com
"The fired labor economist who couldn't get unemployment." That's SIEPR's @erikamcentarfer.bsky.social, who details her attempts to file for benefits after losing her job as head the Bureau of Labor Statistics, in an @npr.org segment on dysfunction in unemployment insurance programs. Link 👇
Americans don't understand how money works. That's clear from a just-released survey of financial literacy, dubbed the P-Fin Index and co-created by Stanford economist Annamaria Lusardi. She recently talked w/ @nealemahoney.bsky.social on Econ To Go about this knowledge gap: tinyurl.com/2d598du4
US #immigrants don't work hard, follow the law or integrate into society like they did 100 years ago? "Load of hooey," says Bloomberg's Justin Fox, citing evidence from SIEPR's Ran Abramitzky, who spoke to the myths w/ @nealemahoney.bsky.social on Econ To Go. Watch the episode: tinyurl.com/5n95tn98
💡 Even on matters of life or death, peers strongly influence the choices we make. Fascinating research from Matthew Jackson, SIEPR senior fellow and @stanforduniversity.bsky.social economist, shows this in the context of West Point cadets during the Civil War. Link 👇
🧵 🆕: We recently hosted important conversations around 21st century financial innovations and the emerging technologies driving them: What's next for #stablecoins and the real risks in #privatecredit and AI models like #ClaudeMythos. Access full videos, read the event recap in links ⤵️ #Economy