SIEPR

@siepr.bsky.social

The official Bluesky account of the Stanford Institute for Economic Policy Research (SIEPR), Stanford University's home for addressing economic policy challenges around the globe. Learn more about us: https://siepr.stanford.edu

Below, an eye-opening investigation into how prediction markets like Kalshi & Polymarket could sway elections. BusinessWeek's @liamvaughan.bsky.social details how easily—and cheaply—bets on candidates can be manipulated and misconstrued, featuring work by SIEPR Senior Fellow Andy Hall. Gift link ⬇️

Is AI taking jobs from software developers? A new SIEPR Policy Brief, featured recently @financialtimes.com, explains the data on what's actually going on with AI at work. One nugget: Coders & others highly exposed to AI are doing OK on the hiring front. Link in 🧵👇

The #Fed chief’s five new task forces don’t cover enough ground, SIEPR senior fellow Amit Seru explains in @barrons.com. Financial stability — where monetary policy and the nation’s financial plumbing intersect — should be in the mix, too, for a close look. More 👇 www.barrons.com/articles/war...

What Warsh’s Federal Reserve Task Forces Are Missing

The Federal Reserve is undergoing its most significant institutional reform of the modern era. One critical area is being neglected, Amit Seru and Mickey D. Levy write.

barrons.com

🙌 We just said goodbye and thank you to 20 of our predoctoral research fellows, many of whom will soon begin their journey to a PhD in economics. Our predocs get to work with leading economists across housing, health, trade, finance and more. Meet Daniel Posthumus ⬇️

⚽️ Anyone who's bet on their favorite World Cup soccer team and lost may have been doomed from the start. Why? Fans are way too optimistic that their chosen teams will win, despite the odds pointing to a loss. Study by SIEPR's Kwabena Donkor: tinyurl.com/52txwv3b

What soccer fans can teach us about the rationale — and distortion — behind financial choices

Loyalty matters: SIEPR Faculty Fellow Kwabena Donkor finds that people align investment decisions with their identity and not only with potential profits.

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The warning about AI just got louder: “We must act now.” That's the call by 200+ economists and AI researchers from Stanford & around the world, urging policymakers to act. See their open letter ⤵️co-organized by SIEPR senior fellow @erikbryn.bsky.social, of @stanforddel.bsky.social bit.ly/4vNdrp7

“We Must Act Now”: Sixteen Nobel Laureates Join Leading Economists and AI Researchers in Call to Prepare for AI’s Economic Transformation - Stanford Digital Economy Lab

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Fax machines, telegrams & reports on children who hunt deer. New York State just announced a sweeping program to eliminate outdated rules using a pioneering #AI tool developed in partnership with SIEPR's Daniel Ho and his Stanford RegLab team. Story👇

📣 Andrew Hall, Stanford political economist and SIEPR senior fellow, is at the forefront of research into AI's use in politics and its implications for democracy. "People are asking AI for help with how to vote," he says in a new interview about his work. Highly recommend this read! 👇

🥳 Congratulations to Sebastian Bauer, PhD '26 from Stanford Graduate School of Business and winner of the SIEPR award for best student paper, a.k.a the Claire and Ralph Landau Student Discussion Paper Prize. Here, he talks about his award-winning research on airport congestion. Study link👇

👏 Another example of AI improving how gov't works: SIEPR Senior Fellow Daniel Ho and his @law.stanford.edu RegLab team built a tool to speed up the resolution of unemployment insurance claims in Colorado. More on this + the award they received for their work: tinyurl.com/mry69kcv

Stanford RegLab and Colorado Labor Department Receive Award for AI Adjudication Tool | Stanford Law School

Resolving an unemployment claim often turns on asking the right questions. Adjudicators must determine which facts matter, identify what is missing or

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Meet Bruce Cain, a Stanford political scientist who researches two topics that make the news every day: energy & water, and how to ensure there's enough of both. Watch as he takes on our “Beat the Clock” challenge: to sum up his work, and why it matters, in 90 seconds or less.