Staffan I Lindberg /V-Dem Institute

@silindberg.bsky.social

Professor & Director V-Dem Institute, Political Scientist @Univ of Gothenburg.

Open Access: -110 initially nondemocratic countries of the third wave from 1970 to 2024 - 105 episodes of autocratization followed in 75=60 (55 %) of these 110 countries are democracies by 2024, but 50 never became democracies or have reverted back to autocracy. www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10....

Fifty years of the third wave(s): from democratization to autocratization

This piece reflects on 50 years since Portugal’s 1974 Carnation Revolution, seen as a trigger for the “third wave of democratization,” a global trend that transformed many dictatorships into democr...

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V-Dem Institute director Lindberg (4.9.2025): "It seems blatantly obvious that the US is now an electoral autocracy." The US, until recently the oldest constitutional democracy, is no longer a democracy at all. May this be a temporary development, soon to be reversed.

Staffan I Lindberg /V-Dem Institute@silindberg.bsky.social · 11mo ago

By all facts on the ground I have observed, unfortunately my prediction has come true. It seems blatantly obvious that the US is now an electoral autocracy.

Now it comes….subvert the elections by legal means to ensure a hold on power. Standard tactic by autocrats over the last 25 years of ’third wave of autocratization’. www.linkedin.com/posts/regina...

Disturbing. Election officials from nearly all 50 states gathered on a call last month with the DHS’s point person on “election integrity,” eager to hear how the woman filling a newly created 🌮… | Regina Phelps | 81 comments

Disturbing. Election officials from nearly all 50 states gathered on a call last month with the DHS’s point person on “election integrity,” eager to hear how the woman filling a newly created 🌮 position might help safeguard the vote ahead of next year’s midterms. But many of them left alarmed. Rather than offering assurances that the federal government’s election protection programs would continue uninterrupted, Heather Honey used portions of the meeting to echo rhetoric that has infused the right-wing election activist movement that emerged since 🌮 falsely claimed that his 2020 defeat was the result of widespread fraud. Honey, a leader in that movement until her appointment in August as deputy assistant secretary for election integrity, complained that her department’s cybersecurity experts tasked with combating misinformation about elections had “strayed from their mission.” The remark echoed a widespread view on the right that the agency had sought to silence supporters of 🌮’s fraud claims. Honey also repeatedly mentioned a report often cited by election conspiracists to support their claims that voting machines were rigged to favor Democrats. The ascent of Ms. Honey reflects how 🌮 and his allies, despite a clear victory last year, remain consumed with the belief that the 2020 election was stolen — and how the president is using the powers of the government to upend an electoral system that he insists helped Biden take the White House. In the past few months, 🌮 has elevated multiple proponents of his fraud claims into high-level administration jobs. Now, as government insiders, these activists could wield their newfound power to discredit future results or rekindle old claims to argue for a federal intrusion into locally administered voting systems. On a call with right-wing activists in March, before her appointment to the DHS, she suggested that the new administration could declare a “national emergency” and justify dictating new rules to state and local governments. She said this could be based on an “actual investigation” of the 2020 election if it showed there had been a “manipulation” of the vote. “And therefore, we have some additional powers that don’t exist right now,” she said in March, according to someone who joined the call, “and therefore, we can take these other steps without Congress and we can mandate that states do things and so on.” She added, “I don’t know if that’s really feasible and if the people around the president would let him test that theory.” Activist Marci McCarthy, who had spread debunked claims about voting machines in Georgia in DeKalb County, was named in May to be the director of public affairs at the Cybersecurity & Infrastructure Security Agency. Nearly all of the election experts at CISA have been placed on administrative leave or reassigned this year, amid the agency's downsizing. https://lnkd.in/gBQWiZ96 | 81 comments on LinkedIn

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