Do any of these “effective altruists” provide error estimates with their probability assessments or are they simply influencers playing with a public having questionable math skills? The signal-to-noise ratio lately has not been very good.
standforwolves
@standforwolves.bsky.social
Animal lover & animal rights activist. #alldogsmatter #relistwolves #standforwolves #DogsareAngels #climateaction #Endangeredspeciesact #Strongertogether
“The coin-flip thought experiment would, on average, increase overall human happiness.” This is awful math! The ‘tails’ outcome approaches infinitely worse off - not just half as good as current. A 50-50 between annihilation & twice-as-good does NOT “on average increase overall human happiness”.
Sam Bankman-Fried is a pampered little techbro doomsdayer. But he is right about AI ending civilization.
Lawyers for a witness to the killing of Alex Pretti confirmed she has given an interview to the feds. She witnessed Pretti murdered. Negotiations for the interview were in the works for weeks as she secured immunity so she could testify freely & without retribution as the probe is underway.
She Watched Agents Kill Alex Pretti From The Backseat Of An ICE Vehicle. Now She Can Share What She Saw.
She’s been experiencing some trauma,” James Cook, an attorney for Wynnie Savageford, told HuffPost.
huffpost.com
“It's official. June, July and August of 2026 were the hottest summer in American history. Hotter than the Dust Bowl summer of 1936. Hotter than anything in 132 years of records.” #climateEmergency #GlobslWarming, #ClimateChange, #ClimateCrisis, #GlobalWeirding www.facebook.com/share/1AvaBz...
What other tricks are up Trumps sleeve? A national emergency, China hacking has changed the vote, having ice at all polling places? Putin always has “advice” for him.
Trump does not know what integrity means. This is certainly not a word he would know we are all still waiting for him 2open up the Eps Files, he had promises 2do that just about 2years ago. Why is he so scared to let us know what is in the files? Does it have something 2do w Eps's death in prison?
They established it as a postal SERVICE, not a postal overseer, postal arbiter, postal election certifier, or postal nanny. They most particularly did not establish it as an extension of some amorphous "unitary power" of a wannabe King.
The U.S. Postal Service was established on July 26,1775 by the Second Continental Congress, making it older than the U.S. itself. The colonial representatives knew how critical a free, untrammeled postal service would be to our emerging nation.
The U.S. Postal Service was established on July 26,1775 by the Second Continental Congress, making it older than the U.S. itself. The colonial representatives knew how critical a free, untrammeled postal service would be to our emerging nation.
Title 18 US Code 597: "Whoever makes or offers to make an expenditure to any person, either to vote or withhold his vote, or to vote for or against any candidate...if the violation was willful, shall be fined under this title or imprisoned not more than two years, or both."
Trump: "We're making a fortune. So if the Republicans win, you win with us and you get $5,000. It will be called the Trump Dividend. Congratulations."
We're dealing with a person in the throes of dementia who is trying to take the American people's mind off his war with Iran and the Epstein files. One crazy act after another to keep these off the front page.
Does Trump even remember HE negotiated the current trade agreement with Canada? Trump threatened to ban a Canadian aircraft manufacturer unless it makes new commitments to build in the U.S. Maybe someone could tell Trump that aircraft manufacturer has a plant in Kanas. That builds aircraft.
Does Trump even remember HE negotiated the current trade agreement with Canada? Trump threatened to ban a Canadian aircraft manufacturer unless it makes new commitments to build in the U.S. Maybe someone could tell Trump that aircraft manufacturer has a plant in Kanas. That builds aircraft.
BREAKING: The Missouri Supreme Court has ordered Republican Secretary of State Denny Hoskins to appear in person Thursday and explain why he should not be held in contempt for allegedly violating the court’s injunction blocking Trump-backed congressional maps. 1/
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Before Trump went off the rails, the U.S. had the respect of every genuine democracy. That respect is dissipating and may hit rock bottom if Trump continues down the road he is on. It will take decades, if ever, for the U.S. to benefit from being regarded as a trustworthy partner.
U.S. announces bans on Canadian imports including alcohol, motorcycles The proclamations from the Trump administration take trade tensions between the two neighbors to new levels. The bans are scheduled to take effect Sept. 29.
U.S. announces bans on Canadian imports including alcohol, motorcycles The proclamations from the Trump administration take trade tensions between the two neighbors to new levels. The bans are scheduled to take effect Sept. 29.
New Zealand's coalition government displays dangerous Trumpian tendencies that threaten the country's liberal democratic firmament, particularly through its approach to climate change, and human rights.
According to Brown University's Iran War Energy Cost Tracker, Trump’s excursion into Iran has cost American consumers over $100 billion in inflated energy costs. Small potatoes eh?
When the trump administration says the drone "lacked secretive technology," that means the drone was packed with secretive technology. Giving away secretive technology to our enemies. Nice job, Kegsbreath. Nice job, trump.
In 2 years Iran will be making excellent copies to sell to Russia, and then USA can say "we got rid of all the Iranian mines.
When the trump administration says the drone "lacked secretive technology," that means the drone was packed with secretive technology. Giving away secretive technology to our enemies. Nice job, Kegsbreath. Nice job, trump.
When the trump administration says the drone "lacked secretive technology," that means the drone was packed with secretive technology. Giving away secretive technology to our enemies. Nice job, Kegsbreath. Nice job, trump.
Iran says it captured a U.S. sea drone in the Strait of Hormuz U.S. military officials acknowledged the incident but downplayed its significance, saying the drone was “defective” and lacked secretive technology.
Iran says it captured a U.S. sea drone in the Strait of Hormuz U.S. military officials acknowledged the incident but downplayed its significance, saying the drone was “defective” and lacked secretive technology.
Fetterman is, and always has been, an empty hoodie. As mayor of Braddock he did nothing, while his wife built his profile and the progressives bought into his myth as a hard working man of the people. They have since come to realize that he is nothing but a a lazy fraud.
He needs to go home, wearing hoodies and shorts, not to mention he's a giant size of a man, when he is doing the business at the capital like that is very disrespectful. He can dress business casual is acceptable, but like he's about to jump on a skate board is not.
You can’t trust a guy living off Daddy’s money in his 40’s to be in touch everyday America. Fetterman must go.
Fetterman is the biggest political disappointment of my lifetime. If he’s primaried, and I hope he is, he’s toast.
I hope the Dems get 52 seats in the Senate so we can show this guy the door! I absolutely could see Fetterman switching to GOP if we only get to 51.
He needs to go home, wearing hoodies and shorts, not to mention he's a giant size of a man, when he is doing the business at the capital like that is very disrespectful. He can dress business casual is acceptable, but like he's about to jump on a skate board is not.
He needs to go home, wearing hoodies and shorts, not to mention he's a giant size of a man, when he is doing the business at the capital like that is very disrespectful. He can dress business casual is acceptable, but like he's about to jump on a skate board is not.
He has disgraced the Democratic party; there is no room for lackeys. This guy has a dark side! The fact he votes in favor of Trump on everything of consequence means he's just in the Democratic party to help the Republicans pass their agendas.
He has disgraced the Democratic party; there is no room for lackeys. This guy has a dark side! The fact he votes in favor of Trump on everything of consequence means he's just in the Democratic party to help the Republicans pass their agendas.
Fetterman is the biggest political disappointment of my lifetime. If he’s primaried, and I hope he is, he’s toast.
Fetterman is the biggest political disappointment of my lifetime. If he’s primaried, and I hope he is, he’s toast.