Anscombe, who invented the Anscombe quartet, is from Hove (actually)! Didn't realise he was from so close to me.
Stats For Bios
@statsforbios.bsky.social
Statistics for biologists, medics, statisticians. Anyone really. By Tim Lucas, lecturer in epi/stats.
Dear people familiar with American education. At college level, does "freshman" only refer to undergraduates? Or can you also be a freshman grad student? Just reading a book and don't quite understand.
Our paper (also, my first first-author paper) is now available in MEE early view! In this study, we introduced a state-dependent Ornstein-Uhlenbeck model we implemented in RevBayes to test adaptive hypotheses in macroevolution. (1/3) besjournals.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/...
An efficient Bayesian phylogenetic approach for joint inference of continuous and discrete trait evolution under a state‐dependent Ornstein–Uhlenbeck model
Macroevolutionary adaptation of a continuous trait to different discrete states across species can be modelled using a phylogenetic state-dependent Ornstein–Uhlenbeck (OU) process. Existing infere...
besjournals.onlinelibrary.wiley.com
Read some news about how crap social media is. Just endless adverts with no actual social component. But bluesky isn't like that! It's not a million-post-a-second fart of content, but what is here is pretty good, and social. So thanks for having me!
Hey, someone that actually understand exponentials. Pretty rare on the internet it seems.
Global population growth peaked six decades ago— The increase in the world’s population is not exponential. The global population is growing, but the growth rate has declined since its peak six decades ago.
The aching amplitudes that set our needles all a-flickering.
Having different working directories for different chunks, and being tied to the script and stuff, is all just a mess. It used to work totally fine. You set the working directory. If you needed to change, you changed.
Dear outlook. ctrl+r in the browser means refresh. Don't just override stuff that everyone knows! I'm renaming this account to "Old man yells at clouds for biologists". New logo in the works.
UKRI, uninvited resubmissions are no longer accepted. BBSRC: Over 50% of objectives or work packages must be entirely new. Soooo, you spend a month (more) working on it, roll the dice once, and throw half of it in the bin if you get unlucky? This seems a really good way to increase wasted time.
Ethan is just 5x better at being a food YouTuber than everyone else. Your dish is missing YouTube pedagogy. www.youtube.com/watch?v=aj8q...
5 simple questions that will ACTUALLY make you better at cooking.
YouTube video by Ethan Chlebowski
youtube.com
PhD studentship for Sept 2026. Here are Leicester Biostats with Ellesha Smith and Laura Gray. Multiple Long‑Term Conditions and Network and Component Network Meta‑Analysis le.ac.uk/study/resear... #PhDJobs
Comparative Effectiveness of Interventions for Multiple Long‑Term Conditions Using Network and Component Network Meta‑Analysis | Postgraduate research | University of Leicester
University of Leicester PhD Comparative Effectiveness of Interventions for Multiple Long‑Term Conditions Using Network and Component Network Meta‑Analysis flow diagram Population Health Sciences ...
le.ac.uk
Ideally applied data analysts doing research as well... Think about your question Think about your estimand Think about your study design Think about your dag Then write 1-10 lines of R code to data clean and fit an appropriate model.
😂😂
King for a day. All software must default to pasting without formatting. You can have a hotkey for pasting with formatting if you like. But ctrl + v is pasting without formatting everywhere forever all the time.
Wrote a quick post on what I think the biggest open problem in statistics is. tldr every analysis has 10-20 medium important, medium difficult-to-fix issues. In practice we can account for 1 or 2 but not 10-20. Lots of typos. Just starting some chat. #StatsSky timcdlucas.github.io/the-biggest-...
The Biggest Problem In Statistics
timcdlucas.github.io
Jeez the textedit app on Mac is a pain in the arse. It is desperate for my files to be RTF and just changes .md files to .rtf and adds a bunch of crap into them to make that work. I need to find something simpler and cleaner.
Best (v. short) summary of the AI consciousness question. www.youtube.com/shorts/yoNtz...
The AI Consciousness Question is So Annoying #shorts
YouTube video by Robert Miles AI Safety
youtube.com
Happened again. I don't know if it's some Mac vs windows thing, or something to do with windows refusing to save over files. But fuck it. Never commenting on a pdf ever again.
Gah, a couple of times now I've made comments on a pdf and then they didn't save. Really annoying waste of time.
Exciting new preprint from my student @hadiqa-tahir.bsky.social. Widely applicable method for accounting for human movement from point surveys like DHS. Expect more like this in the coming months. www.medrxiv.org/content/10.6...
Accounting for Human Movement to Improve Exposure-Health Models
Background. Current exposure-health models rely on averaged, residential-based environmental exposures, failing to account for human movement. This aggregation can lead to exposure misclassification a...
medrxiv.org
Here's our main figure - every dot is a reformulation, sized by market share. Dots above the x-axis are ABV cuts and the vertical dashed line is the date of the duty reforms. It's clear that beer, cider and RTDs (alcopops and pre-mix cocktails) have seen an increase in reformulations post-reform.
Paper with "Minor revisions". That'll do for me, party time!
Alongside our paper "Bayesian Inference of Pathogen Phylogeography using the Structured Coalescent Model", Ian Roberts released the R package StructCoalescent. You can install it using the command devtools::install_github("IanPRoberts/StructCoalescent") github.com/IanPRober...
Want to estimate the effects of hourly environmental exposures, but only have daily case data (i.e. the normal situation)? Nidhi Shukla developed a method and did a big simulation study to test it. It works pretty well. www.medrxiv.org/content/10.6...
Mixed-Frequency Regression Model for Short-Term Environmental Exposure-Response Modelling: A Simulation Study
Background: Extreme environmental events, such as extreme temperatures and air pollution, have become a global concern due to their detrimental effects on human health. Short-term peak exposure episod...
medrxiv.org
Personally discovered tip. Deodorant in elbow pits (don't know the proper name).
I'm no economist, but I did go down a rabbit hole a few weeks ago. Increase in the very wealthy broadly aligned with increase in UK house prices. Everything else (pop growth, immigration, age distribution) could only explain a few % of it.
Think I posted it a while back. But I am increasingly convinced that the Gary's Economics view is correct. If someone is making millions a day in passive income, the only result can be middle classes being squeezed out of asset ownership. www.youtube.com/watch?v=Gd0g...
Think I posted it a while back. But I am increasingly convinced that the Gary's Economics view is correct. If someone is making millions a day in passive income, the only result can be middle classes being squeezed out of asset ownership. www.youtube.com/watch?v=Gd0g...
Elon Musk is the world's first trillionaire. How scared should you be?
YouTube video by Garys Economics
youtube.com
Gah, a couple of times now I've made comments on a pdf and then they didn't save. Really annoying waste of time.
It was already one of the most impactful academic shiny apps with > 400 citations, but this update makes it reproducible using {shinyscholar}. Whatever you do in the app, you can download a Quarto document that reproduces every step or render it to produce an html report. 2/5
Metainsight is now available on CRAN! cran.r-project.org/package=meta... It is a shiny app for conducting network meta-analysis, which in simple terms, is used by doctors to decide which of multiple treatments is best to treat your ailments. #rstats #metaanalysis #openscience 1/5
This dataviz is just amazing visquill.com/gallery/uk-a1