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Stephen Semler

@stephensemler.bsky.social

Policy analyst/advisor. Newsletter: stephensemler.com

1296 Posts3225 Follower460 Folgt
Drew Harwell@drewharwell.com · 3d ago

New: We found 50 cops who misused Flock cameras and other license-plate readers for personal purposes, often to spy on their girlfriends or ex-wives. He "watched every single move I made. ... Who do you turn the chief of police in to?" wapo.st/3S6rTuo

She left her ex. He secretly tracked her through a network of policing cameras.

Flock’s array of license-plate cameras was built to fight crime. But at least 50 law enforcement officers were charged with or accused of misusing it and other systems.

wapo.st

Laleh Khalili@lalehkhalili.bsky.social · 3d ago

The reason Israel blew up the 900 year old Beaufort Castle in Lebanon is (1) they have to fake their nationalist archaeological ancestry and can't bear any other regional history; (2) they were ignominiously defeated at Beaufort by PLO in their 1980s invasion of Lebanon & want to erase the memory.

Stephen Semler@stephensemler.bsky.social · 5d ago

Stevens’ reliance on Israel lobby cash makes her a political liability, even in a narrow red-vs-blue sense. If Stevens wins, the Dems will lose a Senate seat. The torrent of pro-Israel money sustaining her primary campaign won't be there in the general, because the Israel lobby prefers Republicans.

Stephen Semler@stephensemler.bsky.social · 5d ago

Stevens might claim she’s unmoved by the vast sums of pro-Israel funds. But: 3 in 4 Dem voters oppose aid to Israel. House Dems who recently voted against cutting aid to Israel took 3X as much pro-Israel cash as their peers. Guess how Stevens voted www.stephensemler.com/p/why-98-dem...

Democrats who opposed cutting Israel aid got 3 times the money from pro-Israel donors. Voted to cut US aid to Israel: $116,000. Voted against cutting US aid to Israel: $348,000. Data: House votes on House Amendment 235 to H.R>8595, to prohibit funds for Israel, including $3.3 billion in Foreign Military Financing (July 2026); OpenSecrets, pro-Israel money to Congress (1990–2024).
Stephen Semler@stephensemler.bsky.social · 5d ago

By the end of the 2026 elections, @haleyformi.bsky.social will likely be the largest recipient of pro-Israel money ever, topping Joe Biden's $4.2M career mark. Through 2024, she took $946K in pro-Israel cash, 13th most in the House. By mid-April 2026, Stevens was already up to $3.3M.

List of the top 30 House recipients of pro-Israel money compared to their votes on an amendment to cut over $3.3 billion in aid to Israel. Chart and analysis by Stephen Semler
Marquis@resurrectedmarquis.bsky.social · 5d ago

I don't understand how anyone can look at a politician who takes bribe money from genociders and think "Yeah, I'd vote for them. And I don't know why people wouldn't."

Stephen Semler@stephensemler.bsky.social · 5d ago

Stevens might claim she’s unmoved by the vast sums of pro-Israel funds. But: 3 in 4 Dem voters oppose aid to Israel. House Dems who recently voted against cutting aid to Israel took 3X as much pro-Israel cash as their peers. Guess how Stevens voted www.stephensemler.com/p/why-98-dem...

Stephen Semler@stephensemler.bsky.social · 5d ago

Stevens might claim she’s unmoved by the vast sums of pro-Israel funds. But: 3 in 4 Dem voters oppose aid to Israel. House Dems who recently voted against cutting aid to Israel took 3X as much pro-Israel cash as their peers. Guess how Stevens voted www.stephensemler.com/p/why-98-dem...

Democrats who opposed cutting Israel aid got 3 times the money from pro-Israel donors. Voted to cut US aid to Israel: $116,000. Voted against cutting US aid to Israel: $348,000. Data: House votes on House Amendment 235 to H.R>8595, to prohibit funds for Israel, including $3.3 billion in Foreign Military Financing (July 2026); OpenSecrets, pro-Israel money to Congress (1990–2024).
Stephen Semler@stephensemler.bsky.social · 5d ago

By the end of the 2026 elections, @haleyformi.bsky.social will likely be the largest recipient of pro-Israel money ever, topping Joe Biden's $4.2M career mark. Through 2024, she took $946K in pro-Israel cash, 13th most in the House. By mid-April 2026, Stevens was already up to $3.3M.

List of the top 30 House recipients of pro-Israel money compared to their votes on an amendment to cut over $3.3 billion in aid to Israel. Chart and analysis by Stephen Semler
NJ Progressive@njprogressive.bsky.social · 2w ago

Read this piece “Among Democratic voters, opposition to US aid to Israel exceeds support, 74–20.” However of “the 98 House Democrats who opposed the amendment”….these same Democrats “rejected a view held by three in four Democratic voters. Money helps explain why.”

Stephen Semler@stephensemler.bsky.social · 2w ago

House Democrats who voted against cutting $3.3 billion in aid to Israel received 3 times as much money from pro-Israel donors as those who voted in favor. www.stephensemler.com/p/why-98-dem...

Democrats who opposed cutting Israel aid got 3 times the money from pro-Israel donors. Voted to cut US aid to Israel: $116,000. Voted against cutting US aid to Israel: $348,000. Data: House votes on House Amendment 235 to H.R>8595, to prohibit funds for Israel, including $3.3 billion in Foreign Military Financing (July 2026); OpenSecrets, pro-Israel money to Congress (1990–2024).
Nathan Tankus@nathantankus.bsky.social · 2w ago

I published @stephensemler.bsky.social's graph in my 2024 breakdown! This piece is somewhat similar but emphasizes the "objective" impact on turnout far more than the "subjective" impact. www.crisesnotes.com/one-election...

One Election Takeaway: Voters Hate Temporary Safety Nets

Announcement: I'm putting on an end of year sale. For just 55 dollars a year you can subscribe and receive premium pieces of Notes on the Crises. This also helps support the FOIA efforts I've been eng...

crisesnotes.com