Three longstanding elements of U.S. policy have led the United States to war and defeat in Iran:
Stephen Wertheim
@stephenwertheim.bsky.social
America in the world, past and present / Senior Fellow, American Statecraft Program, @carnegieendowment.org / Visiting Lecturer, Yale Law School / Historian and author of Tomorrow, the World: The Birth of U.S. Global Supremacy / Views my own, obviously
U.S. foreign policy is beset by virtue-signaling moralism claiming to save the world and vice-signaling immoralism seeking to dominate the world — often amounting to the same thing.
A pleasure to join Rob Malley and Chris Chivvis to discuss how Trump’s war with Iran might end (if it does). youtu.be/Lbh_sKoqhsU?...
Can America Avoid a Forever War with Iran?
President Trump entered office promising a historic breakthrough wi...
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If this is the logic Trump is acting on, he’ll be at war with Iran for the rest of his presidency.
Sharing a few recent international interviews interpreting U.S. foreign policy under Trump: 'Trump zal altijd blijven geloven dat Europese landen erop uit zijn de VS te benadelen' www.knack.be/nieuws/werel... 'La frattura dell’Atlantico è irreparabile' limesonline.com/rivista/nato...
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"In being quick to threaten and cavalier with assurances, the president has undercut the vital qualities that enable coercion to succeed. To repair this damage, future administrations will need to cultivate a U.S. reputation for restraint." www.foreignaffairs.com/united-state...
The Lost Art of Coercion
Why Trump’s belligerence is a sign of weakness.
foreignaffairs.com
Everything Trump says about Iran is one of two things: 1. They’re desperate to make a deal and there’s going to be a deal. 2. I will bomb their bridges and power plants and end their civilization. The cycle repeats within the week, sometimes daily. For more than four months and counting.
Trump: "Ultimately, we'll hit energy targets in Iran. Next week comes the bridges. “We're going to knock out all of their power plants. We'll knock out all of their bridges unless they get to the table and negotiate.”
Forget freedom of navigation: it’s now a battle for whose piracy will prevail. Perfect example of what happens when liberal internationalists hitch their wagon to Trump.
Think of it: A NATO summit at which the American president called for taking control of an ally's territory is deemed a success.
At this week's NATO summit, it should be clear not only that Trump will remain aggrieved at his North Atlantic allies for as long as he is president, but also that NATO is undergoing a structural adjustment rooted in diverging transatlantic perceptions of interests and threats.
At this year’s NATO summit in Ankara, European leaders are building a stronger Europe-led alliance as America’s commitment shifts. @sophiabesch.bsky.social, @iacoskun.bsky.social, Nate Reynolds, and @stephenwertheim.bsky.social examine what’s shaping the summit. carnegieendowment.org/emissary/202...
Worth a read; even if you don't agree; it has interesting insights carnegieendowment.org/emissary/202...
Ahead of the Ankara Summit, NATO’s Mood Has Changed
European allies are less focused on appeasing Trump and more focused on smoothing the transition to a Europe-led alliance.
carnegieendowment.org
At this year’s NATO summit in Ankara, European leaders are building a stronger Europe-led alliance as America’s commitment shifts. @sophiabesch.bsky.social, @iacoskun.bsky.social, Nate Reynolds, and @stephenwertheim.bsky.social examine what’s shaping the summit. carnegieendowment.org/emissary/202...
Ahead of the Ankara Summit, NATO’s Mood Has Changed
European allies are less focused on appeasing Trump and more focused on smoothing the transition to a Europe-led alliance.
carnegieendowment.org
the core strategy of the AIPAC faction has been to never give an inch, concede absolutely nothing to good faith critiques, and crush opposition relentlessly. that works until it doesn't, and then it really, really doesn't work at all
Robert Malley and Stephen Wertheim: "What began as the closest, most integrated US-Israeli military campaign in history ended with” Trump publicly rebuking Netanyahu “in the harshest terms, criticizing his 'vicious' bellicosity in Lebanon and accusing him of jeopardizing a deal with Iran."
Opinion | Trump’s Iran Debacle Could Be a Gift for America
nytimes.com
Today's Briefing: Eric Blanc @ericblanc.bsky.social | Stephen Wertheim @stephenwertheim.bsky.social | Christopher Miller @christopherjm.ft.com soundcloud.com/user-8304426...
June 24, 2026 - Eric Blanc | Stephen Wertheim | Christopher Miller
What Do the Big Wins By Mamdani-Backed Democratic Socialists in New York Mean for the Future of Democratic Party Leadership | Could There Be a Silver Lining in the Wake of the Otherwise Unmitigated Di
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In today’s #MustRead, Robert Malley & Stephen Wertheim argue Trump’s war with Iran ended in political and strategic failure, weakening U.S. influence, straining ties with Israel and Gulf allies, and exposing limits of military force without clear long term strategy. www.nytimes.com/2026/06/23/o...
Opinion | Trump’s Iran Debacle Could Be a Gift for America
nytimes.com
Eroding support for Israel hasn't much changed U.S. policy yet, I told @nytimes.com, but it might soon: “We could reach a tipping point where all of a sudden, the relationship changes profoundly. We could then underestimate the velocity and depth of the change in U.S. policy that might result."
I told @ianmastersmedia.bsky.social that many speak of the fog of war; America and Iran are now bringing us the fog of peace. But an opportunity has emerged — one that hasn't existed in decades — for the two countries to get off their 47-year path of confrontation. soundcloud.com/user-8304426...
Could There Be a Silver Lining in the Otherwise Disaster US/Israel Brought to the Persian Gulf?
Background Briefing goes far beyond the headlines and deep under the radar to bring forward truths unheard elsewhere in American media. Background Briefing features international and national news, ex
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Ahead of Mark Rutte's meeting with Trump today, I told Reuters: "The NATO summit carries a potential for significant risk because Trump is upset and erratic, and even if Rutte comes and thinks he has an understanding with Trump, who knows what two weeks later will bring."
In @nytopinion.nytimes.com “Iran, by all rights, should not be one of America’s top problems. One day, one way or another, it will cease to be. The question is when, and at how terrible a price,” Robert Malley and Stephen Wertheim write.
Opinion | Trump’s Iran Debacle Could Be a Gift for America
There is at least a chance that America will not return to war with Iran, but find a way to turn the page on 47 years of animosity and confrontation.
nyti.ms
Good line: "Think Nixon going to China—if Nixon had bombed China first."
Opinion | Trump’s Iran Debacle Could Be a Gift for America
nytimes.com
What if the greatest legacy of Trump’s war against Iran is proving that the hawks were wrong? Rob Malley and Stephen Wertheim argue that after years of promises, the advocates of pressure, escalation and war finally got their chance – and exposed the limits of military force in the process.
Opinion | Trump’s Iran Debacle Could Be a Gift for America
nytimes.com
“Those opposed to yesterday’s Iran war have a stake in preventing tomorrow’s—and replacing failed policy with diplomacy.” @stephenwertheim.bsky.social and Robert Malley in @nytopinion.nytimes.com break down the major lessons of Trump’s war with Iran for America: www.nytimes.com/2026/06/23/o...
Opinion | Trump’s Iran Debacle Could Be a Gift for America
nytimes.com
“Iran, by all rights, should not be one of America’s top problems. One day, one way or another, it will cease to be. The question is when, and at how terrible a price,” Robert Malley and Stephen Wertheim write.
Opinion | Trump’s Iran Debacle Could Be a Gift for America
There is at least a chance that America will not return to war with Iran, but find a way to turn the page on 47 years of animosity and confrontation.
nyti.ms
Smart take 👇🏼 on the opportunity Trump has to do something big with Iran akin to Nixon going to China, but does he have the vision and patience?
Trump is now Nixon going to China — if Nixon had bombed China first. A remarkable if fragile opportunity has emerged to end this misbegotten war and begin to take America and Iran off their 47-year path of confrontation, Rob Malley and I write in @nytopinion.nytimes.com. Read paywall free:
Trump is now Nixon going to China — if Nixon had bombed China first. A remarkable if fragile opportunity has emerged to end this misbegotten war and begin to take America and Iran off their 47-year path of confrontation, Rob Malley and I write in @nytopinion.nytimes.com. Read paywall free:
Opinion | Trump’s Iran Debacle Could Be a Gift for America
nytimes.com
I joined BBC radio to assess the damage to U.S. global power from losing a war to one of America's longest-running adversaries: youtu.be/FBNH0g3TlbM
A Moment that Could be Momentous: The U.S.-Iran Deal
Interview with Stephen Wertheim on BBC4 Radio's This Week This Weekend, June 21, 2026
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"A standard 7-kilowatt rooftop solar system that costs $28,000 to install in the United States would cost roughly $4,000 in Australia or $10,000 in Germany, according to the research and advocacy group Permit Power." www.nytimes.com/2026/06/14/o...
nytimes.com