Tanguy Le Fur
@tanguylefur.bsky.social
associate prof. (mcf) at Université de Lille | growth theory, economic history & history of economic thought | pétanque, craft beer & jazz guitar https://sites.google.com/view/tanguylefur
new paper with Pablo Hernandez-Lagos in which we use cool archaeological data to document heterogeneous trajectories of inequality across regions during the Neolithic Revolution, but then commit economists' cardinal sin of putting everything into equations drive.google.com/file/d/1Z0mm...
HLLF_Trajectories of Inequality_v1.pdf
drive.google.com
deeply honored to have been awarded this prize in memory of Carine. many thanks to @amse-aixmarseille.fr which still holds a special place in my heart and to @etiennewas.bsky.social for the many hours spent fighting (pun intended) on the paper!
Paris School of Economics@pse.bsky.social · 3mo ago@tanguylefur.bsky.social (Master ETE 2015) receives the 2026 Carine Nourry Thesis Prize from @amse-aixmarseille.fr for his article on natural resources and the Great Divergence, published in the Journal of Economic Growth. → www.parisschoolofeconomics.eu/en/news/tang...
because the end of the year is always busy, we extended the deadline for su mission: please send your papers by Monday, January 12. see you in Lille in April!
Tanguy Le Fur@tanguylefur.bsky.social · 8mo agowe are organizing the 5th edition of the LORDE workshop at @univlille.bsky.social this year. if you're into dynamic models applied to a variety of topics ranging from economic history to climate change, you should definitely apply! the event is always a lot of fun. lorde2026.sciencesconf.org
Top CEPR Discussion Paper of 2025 - DP19955 Fighting for Resources: A Unified Growth Model of the Great Divergence Tanguy Le Fur & Etienne Wasmer https://ow.ly/4lzu50XLr9E #CEPR_EH #CEPR_MG #CEPR_PoE #EconSky #2025inReview
we are organizing the 5th edition of the LORDE workshop at @univlille.bsky.social this year. if you're into dynamic models applied to a variety of topics ranging from economic history to climate change, you should definitely apply! the event is always a lot of fun. lorde2026.sciencesconf.org
LOng-Run Dynamics in Economics (LORDE) - Sciencesconf.org
The LORDE workshops, which began in 2022, carry on the tradition of the OLG Days established by Philippe Michel.We invite contributions across a diverse range of topics in macroeconomic dynamics and quantitative theory including but not limited to:
lorde2026.sciencesconf.org
we are organizing the 5th edition of the LORDE workshop at @univlille.bsky.social this year. if you're into dynamic models applied to a variety of topics ranging from economic history to climate change, you should definitely apply! the event is always a lot of fun. lorde2026.sciencesconf.org
LOng-Run Dynamics in Economics (LORDE) - Sciencesconf.org
The LORDE workshops, which began in 2022, carry on the tradition of the OLG Days established by Philippe Michel.We invite contributions across a diverse range of topics in macroeconomic dynamics and quantitative theory including but not limited to:
lorde2026.sciencesconf.org
l'équipe de Dialogues Economiques (@amse-aixmarseille.fr) a écrit un super résumé de notre article sur les implications macroéconomiques du potentiel effet négatif du temps de travail sur la santé, pour celles et ceux qui voudraient s'épargner tout un tas de jolies équations!
CNRS Sciences humaines & sociales@cnrsshs.bsky.social · 9mo agoPourquoi les Américains vivent-ils moins longtemps que les Européens alors qu’ils dépensent bien plus d’argent pour leur #santé ? Et si le temps de #travail jouait un rôle ? 👉 lejournal.cnrs.fr/nos-blogs/di...
as someone who engages in both growth theory and economic history i'm happy to see both fields celebrated by this year's Nobel, but because i also dabble in history of economic thought i think it should be noted that the decision to pool them together may not be as natural as it seems.
What does a Nobel Prize on ‘innovation-driven economic growth’ actually reward? A historian’s perspective on how to deal with the Nobel frenzy beatricecherrier.wordpress.com/2025/10/13/w...
our paper with @etiennewas.bsky.social is out in the Journal of Economic Growth, here's our modest contribution to the long-standing debate on the role of the appropriation of resources—and conflict more generally—in global economic history. link.springer.com/article/10.1...
Fighting for resources: a unified growth model of the Great Divergence - Journal of Economic Growth
This paper interprets the Great Divergence as the cumulative influence of small asymmetries in technology or various initial conditions, amplified through conflict over resources. It introduces a trac...
link.springer.com
new paper in which Etienne and I show that introducing conflict in a unified growth model can generate a Great Divergence without substantial differences in initial conditions, as the appropriation of resources amplifies even the slightest asymmetry between countries. cepr.org/publications...
DP19955 Fighting for Resources: A Unified Growth Model of the Great Divergence
This paper interprets the Great Divergence as the cumulative influence of small asymmetries in technology or various initial conditions, amplified through conflict over resources. It introduces a tractable framework that integrates demography, technological progress, and conflict into a unified growth model. The amplification effect of resource appropriation is characterized by conflict multipliers in both the short- and long-run. Conflict is a source of substantial divergence, as appropriation of resources allows some polities (cities, countries) to develop faster at the expense of others. Reconvergence is, however, possible through population growth, due to strategic com- plementarities in fertility decisions and staggered demographic transitions. Rich and non-linear dynamics display key features of comparative economic development between the West and the Global South, but also shed light on a variety of historical case studies that share such dynamics of divergence and reconvergence as well as more dramatic episodes of population extinction in a dominated country. Our framework can easily be extended to study the role of resource exhaustion or the fundamental trade-off between trade and conflict.
cepr.org