Anthony Calamis

@tonycal.bsky.social

Tracking HOF ballots with @notmrtibbs.com and @shutthedore.bsky.social tracker.fyi Mets, Jets, Rangers, Knicks. He/him.

Ballot #245 is from Anthony McCarron, via SNY’s Baseball Night in NY. He votes again for his seven holdovers, with no changes. Carlos Beltrán ends the pre portion of the program at 89.8%, Andruw Jones at 83.3%. In the Tracker: tracker.fyi

Ballot 245 from Anthony McCarron: Beltrán, Félix, Andruw, Pedroia, Pettitte, Utley, Wright

Ballot #242 is from Tom Verducci, revealed moments ago on MLB Network’s pre-announcement special. After voting for Wagner, CC, Ichiro and Beltrán last year, he adds Jones (+16), Rollins (+17), and Utley (+26) Current %: Beltrán 89.7 Jones 83.1 Utley 69.4 Rollins 27.3 In the Tracker: tracker.fyi

Tom Verducci HOF Ballot (4): Beltrán, Jones(+1), Rollins(+1), Utley(+1)

Ballot #241 is from John Shea. Holdovers Andruw Jones and Jimmy Rollins get carried over and are joined by Andy Pettitte (now +37) and Chase Utley (+25). Shea's column on his ballot will be published in the coming days at the San Francisco Standard. In the Tracker: tracker.fyi

John Shea's HOF ballot: Andruw, Pettitte (+1), Rollins, Utley (+1)

With 229 ballots/~54.0% known: Beltrán 89.5% Andruw 82.5% - Utley 68.1% Pettitte 56.8% Félix 55.5% A-Rod 43.2% Manny 40.6% Abreu 38.9% Hamels 31.0% Pedroia 26.2% Rollins 25.8% Buehrle 23.1% Wright 19.7% Vizquel 12.2% K-Rod 11.4% Torii 6.1% - Braun 2.6% EE 0.9% Choo/Markakis/Pence/Porcello 0.4%

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Less than 24 hours to go until the results of this year's Baseball Hall of Fame election are revealed. If trends with public voters hold, we'll be welcoming two new members: Carlos Beltrán and Andruw Jones. My latest projections with 223 ballots in @notmrtibbs.com's Tracker.

Table of Baseball Hall of Fame projections listing Median, 95% Confidence Interval, % Simulations >= 75%, and % Simulations <5%
 Carlos Beltrán	82%	79% - 86%	100%	0%
 Andruw Jones	77%	74% - 81%	93%	0%
 Chase Utley	59%	55% - 63%	0%	0%
 Andy Pettitte	50%	46% - 54%	0%	0%
 Félix Hernández	49%	45% - 53%	0%	0%
 Álex Rodríguez	42%	40% - 44%	0%	0%
 Manny Ramírez	39%	37% - 42%	0%	0%
 Bobby Abreu	31%	29% - 35%	0%	0%
 Cole Hamels	26%	23% - 30%	0%	0%
 Jimmy Rollins	24%	22% - 26%	0%	0%
 Dustin Pedroia	23%	21% - 26%	0%	0%
 Mark Buehrle	20%	18% - 23%	0%	0%
 David Wright	17%	15% - 20%	0%	0%
 Omar Vizquel	17%	15% - 19%	0%	0%
 Francisco Rodríguez	14%	12% - 17%	0%	0%
 Torii Hunter	7%	5% - 9%	0%	5%
 Ryan Braun	3%	2% - 5%	0%	97%
 Edwin Encarnación	1%	0.5% - 4%	0%	99%
 Nick Markakis	0.5%	0.2% - 3%	0%	99.9%
 Rick Porcello	0.5%	0.2% - 3%	0%	99.9%
 Shin-Soo Choo	0.5%	0.2% - 3%	0%	>99.9%
 Hunter Pence	0.5%	0.2% - 3%	0%	>99.9%

Ballot #220 is from Brendan Prunty, via his annual Twitter rundown. He keeps his seven holdovers and adds first-timer Hamels (31.8%), second-timer Félix (+46), and fifth-timer Rollins (+14), noting Wright as next. In the Tracker: tracker.fyi

Ballot 220 from Brendan Prunty: Abreu, Beltrán, Buehrle, Hamels, Félix add to +46, Pettitte, Manny, A-Rod, Rollins add to +14, Utley