We show that politicians' perceptual errors are primarily an expression of "midpoint hedging", a well-known cognitive quirk, leading them to skew their estimations towards 50% even when real public opinion is far from being evenly split. Hedging accounts for two thirds (!) of politicians' errors./2

My take on AI is, essentially, everybody who’s against is too against it and everybody who’s for it is too for it.

Júlia Salander desmontando bulos ATENCIÓN ↘️

Un mes más los datos de desempleo nos demuestran que vamos en buena dirección. En el mes de marzo el paro bajó en 22.934 personas. Este descenso coloca la cifra total, 2.419.712, en la más baja para un mes de marzo desde el 2008. Os cuento más 👇

BREAKING: “It is increasingly clear that as the world continues down this volatile path our long term national interest requires closer partnership with our allies in Europe and with the European Union.. Brexit did deep damage to our economy” Prime minister Keir Starmer 👏

His lapel pin appears to be a noose.

Prem Thakker ツ@premthakker.bsky.social · 7mo ago

The Israeli official and convicted terrorist who just yesterday declared his support for a military unit that assaulted a CNN crew & killed a 78-year-old Palestinian-American is now today drinking champagne to celebrate a new law to execute Palestinians.

For all their talk about "protecting children" transphobes will all their hate and bigotry are leading to young people being excluded, isolated, denied abilities to make new friends. All they do is cause yet more harm. www.bbc.co.uk/news/article...

Transgender girls told to leave Girlguiding groups by September

It follows an announcement in December that transgender members would be banned from joining.

bbc.co.uk

Here’s the full debate.

E-petition debate relating to the clinical trial into puberty blockers - Monday 23 March 2026.

YouTube video by UK Parliament

youtube.com

Carla Denyer@carladenyer.bsky.social · 7mo ago

Trans people are so often excluded from decisions made about them. I am concerned the puberty blockers trial has been paused not for clinical reasons, nor because govt listened to trans people's constructive concerns about how it will be run, but as a political decision...

A very principled intervention. Ed Davey was not a supporter of the Bill but he recognises the undemocratic filibustering of the minority of Lords for what it is. news.sky.com/video/davey-...

Davey calls out 'undemocratic' Lords over Assisted dying bill delays

Liberal Democrat leader, Sir Ed Davey has accused the House of Lords of behaving in an 'undemocratic' manner, following delays with the Assisted Dying bill. Davey's calling on the Prime Minister to in...

news.sky.com

If we made the green energy transition this war would be unthinkable and these authoritarians wouldn’t be in power — not in the US, not in Iran, not in Saudi Arabia, not in Russia. Hydrocarbons are killing our freedom and just plain killing us.

nobody in my lifetime has done more to end the myth of global US dominance than Donald Trump and his acolytes

News Eye@newseye.bsky.social · 7mo ago

UPDATE ON THE HORMUZ COALITION (Mon, March 16): 🇫🇷 France: REJECTED 🇬🇧 UK: REJECTED 🇮🇹 Italy: REJECTED 🇪🇸 Spain: REJECTED 🇯🇵 Japan: REJECTED 🇳🇴 Norway: REJECTED 🇨🇦 Canada: REJECTED 🇦🇺 Australia: REJECTED 🇩🇪 Germany: REJECTED 🇨🇳 China: NO RESPONSE 🇳🇱 Netherlands: NO RESPONSE 🇰🇷 South Korea: NO CONFIRMATION

europeans when asked to help unblock the strait of hormuz

Marvellous column by @gideonrachman.bsky.social on the afterlife of the war in Iran:

Why Hormuz will haunt us long after this war ends

Iran has shown that control of the strait gives it a stranglehold over the world economy

ft.com

Make it stick.

People Are Calling Meta Ray-Bans "Pervert Glasses"

On Bluesky, users quickly embraced the term "pervert glasses" to refer to Meta's Ray Ban smart glasses, following a shocking investigation.

futurism.com

2 wars in 4 years. This war will accelerate Solar +Batteries + EVs as real Energy Security. "rest of the world will learn an important lesson from China. Build out your renewables so you aren't as dependent on imported fossil fuels & the whims of idiots" Be like Spain. bsky.app/profile/jere...

Jeremy Cliffe@jeremycliffe.bsky.social · 7mo ago

Meanwhile, Spain's massive investment in renewables is paying dividends now: with prices for Spanish industry and consumers low and stable compared with other European economies. www.ft.com/content/ac77...

Former Chief Medical Officer calls out Streeting’s highly politicised ‘trial’ of puberty blockers. Meanwhile @goodlawproject.org have uncovered a spike in trans youth ending their own lives because they can’t access appropriate care. This is a national scandal.

Telegraph acknowledges Green Party has won a "seismic byelection." And then there have been two polls this week showing us way in front of Labour and closing in on Reform? Rattled? We're growing rapidly! Join.greenparty.org.uk

The culmination of neoliberal epistemology is betting markets replacing all forms of knowledge and critical discourse. It's great for authoritarianism since it trains people to predict and hedge around world events rather than shape them or take responsibility in any way.

I'm not sure about this branding but I'm not the billionaire business genius

“The Iraq War generated a drastic increase in jihadist terrorism, a serious migration crisis in the Eastern Mediterranean and a generalised increase in energy prices.” 3/3

Sanchez: “We are not going to be accomplices to something that is bad for the world and that is also contrary to our values and interests, simply because of the fear of reprisals from some. We have absolute confidence in the economic, institutional and I would also say moral strength of our country

“But which in reality, seen in perspective, produced the opposite effect, it unleashed the greatest wave of insecurity that our continent has suffered since the fall of the Berlin Wall.” 2/3

More Sanchez: “23 years ago, another US administration dragged us into a war in the Middle East. A war that, in theory, it was said at the time, was being fought to eliminate Saddam Hussein's weapons of mass destruction, bring democracy and ensure global security. 1/3

“And it is absolutely unacceptable that those leaders who are unable to fulfill that mission use the smoke of war to hide their failure and, in the process, fill the pockets of a few.” 2/2

Spanish PM Pedro Sánchez on Iran: “Spain is against this disaster. Because we understand that governments are here to improve people's lives, to provide solutions to problems, not to make people's lives worse. 1/2

Farage & Co: 'It was other people that did the wrong Brexit' 'It's lack of central Govt funding by Labour that means we have to increase Council Tax in our areas' 'It was dirty tricks by Labour and Greens that meant we lost Gorton & Denton' 'It's never our fault'

If you wanted to see the complete and utter destruction of the Labour Party, you could not ask for a better partner than Keir Starmer. Please keep torching your own voter coalition.

Zoë Crowther@zoecrowther.bsky.social · 8mo ago

"Their willingness to welcome Galloway's divisive, sectarian politics is a sign that the Greens are not the harmless environmentalists they pretend to be and their position on legalising all drugs shows how unstable this electoral coalition is. It cannot survive a general election campaign. (5/16)

The current argument of the British right is that Muslims turned out in "blocs" with "family voting" to cast their ballots for a party led by a gay Jewish man, and this shows that multiculturalism has failed, voting is "sectarian" and we are in a crisis. Hmmmmmm.

The small, brave band of MPs who represent the trampled, not the tramplers, has a very welcome new member. We should all ask ourselves why, in a supposed democracy, such representatives are so rare. www.theguardian.com/politics/202...

Hannah Spencer: the Green MP speaking to everyday people’s frustrations

Winner of Gorton and Denton byelection was driven into politics by growing gap between super-rich and the ‘rest of us’

theguardian.com

Fight vs hide dimension will dominate the left vs moderate axis of conflict in upcoming intraparty conflicts.

G Elliott Morris@gelliottmorris.com · 8mo ago

The entire Democratic strategy debate — "moderate" or move left? fight or compromise? — is based on a misreading of data. Voters don't think Dems are too progressive; they think Dems are weak. The actual math on what to do about this isn't even close! New: www.gelliottmorris.com/p/new-poll-d...