"Basically both traditional parties have been gaining from the party on their radical flank." 💬 @robfordmancs.bsky.social explains that Labour is gaining votes back from the Greens and the Conservatives are gaining them back from Reform Catch up on the event in full 👉 ukandeu.ac.uk/events/ukice...

"But good politics does not necessarily make good policy. At first glance, the single market might seem like the perfect compromise... But there are good reasons to think that – were a govt. to seriously pursue it – they might quickly discover numerous downsides." 🔗 ukandeu.ac.uk/no-eea-sy-op...

No EEA-sy options - UK in a changing Europe

Joël Reland argues that the Lib Dems' call for the UK to join the EU single market may not survive contact with political reality.

ukandeu.ac.uk

"One of the things that is quite refreshing about Andy Burnham compared to his predecessor is that he is at least interested in policy." 💬 @jillongovt.bsky.social on differences between Burnham and Starmer when it comes to both tax reform and policy For more 👉 ukandeu.ac.uk/events/ukice...

"The proposed repayment scheme is unlikely to make any meaningful contribution to public finances. However, the impact on refugees’ ability to settle, integrate and become economically self-sufficient could be significant." 🔗 ukandeu.ac.uk/paying-for-t...

Paying for the privilege of gaining asylum in the UK - UK in a changing Europe

Ali Ahmadi, Catherine Barnard and Fiona Costello consider the government's proposal to ask refugees to repay around £10,000 towards asylum support that they received while their claim was being proces...

ukandeu.ac.uk

📺 Catch up now 📺 This week, Anand Menon was joined by experts Jill Rutter, Jonathan Portes & Rob Ford for a disucssion on the performance of and prospects of Andy Burnham’s government Watch back now to hear their takes on his first two weeks in government 👉 https://ow.ly/itBL50ZuXaF

UKICE Lunch Hour: What can we expect from the new Burnham government? - UK in a changing Europe

Join UK in a Changing Europe experts online as they reflect on what we can expect from Andy Burnham and his new government as they enter office.

ow.ly

"There is a problem with legal competence– the power for the EU to negotiate a full-fat youth mobility scheme enabling young people to travel, study and, crucially, work." ✍️ Catherine Barnard & Denzil Davidson explain why youth mobility negotiations are so complex 🔗 https://ow.ly/YZV950ZuY35

Youth mobility negotiations - UK in a changing Europe

Catherine Barnard and Denzil Davidson explain why negotiations on a youth experience scheme between the UK and the EU are so complex. 

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"One of the secrets of Farage’s success has been to challenge the rules of the game and dictate the narrative. In this instance, he has lost control of the conflict." ✍️ Ben Worthy & Laura Richards-Gray on Farage's gamble in triggering the by-election in Clacton 🔗 https://ow.ly/cLwZ50ZuX8p

A Fool and His Money? Why Nigel Farage’s by-election gamble could backfire - UK in a changing Europe

Ben Worthy and Laura Richards-Gray make the case that in triggering the by-election in Clacton, Nigel Farage sparked a conflict which he hoped he could control. They argue his gamble has not paid off since he has not been able to do so. 

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The path forward may lie in strengthening the enforcement and cooperation infrastructure such as a functioning bilateral returns agreement while recognising the legal constraints imposed by Windsor Framework and international refugee law." ✍️ By Ali Ahmadi, Catherine Barnard & Fiona Costello

The Common Travel Area (CTA) and Asylum - UK in a changing Europe

Ali Ahmadi, Catherine Barnard and Fiona Costello explain what the Common Travel Area is, how it works, and whether it is used as a route for those seeking asylum.

ukandeu.ac.uk

"All by-elections provide useful information on the shifting sands of voter sentiment, and this giant contest" 🗳️ As counting continues in the Greater Manchester by-election, find out more about what's at stake with this from Rob Ford 🔗 https://ow.ly/947Q50ZuWRW

What’s at stake in the biggest by-election in British history - UK in a changing Europe

On Thursday 30 July, voters in Greater Manchester will vote to elect a new Mayor in a by-election triggered by Andy Burnham's return to Westminster. Here, Rob Ford reflects on the by-election and what's at stake for the different parties.

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"If you have over 400 seats in the House of Commons, there is only one button on the elevator and that button is down... I just think it would be a tremendously risky thing to do." 💬 @robfordmancs.bsky.social on the prospect of Burnham calling an early election 🔗 www.youtube.com/live/QP1yfAt...

"There is little evidence that CTA is widely abused by asylum seekers to reach the UK. However, it needs to be managed." ✍️ Ali Ahmadi, @cbarnard.bsky.social & @fionacostello.bsky.social explain what the Common Travel Area is and if it is used as a route for asylum 🔗 ukandeu.ac.uk/the-common-t...

The Common Travel Area (CTA) and Asylum - UK in a changing Europe

Ali Ahmadi, Catherine Barnard and Fiona Costello explain what the Common Travel Area is, how it works, and whether it is used as a route for those seeking asylum.

ukandeu.ac.uk

🗳️ Today, people in Greater Manchester vote in the Mayoral by-election triggered by Andy Burnham But what's at stake for each of the parties? What do the polls say? And what can we learn from the results? Find out with this from @robfordmancs.bsky.social 👉 ukandeu.ac.uk/whats-at-sta...

What’s at stake in the biggest by-election in British history - UK in a changing Europe

On Thursday 30 July, voters in Greater Manchester will vote to elect a new Mayor in a by-election triggered by Andy Burnham's return to Westminster. Here, Rob Ford reflects on the by-election and what...

ukandeu.ac.uk

"In setting up his Clacton clash, Farage deliberately triggered a conflict which he hoped he could control. Behind his decision were a series of assumptions... All [of which] have been proven wrong." ✍️ @benworthy.bsky.social & Laura Richards-Gray on Farage's gamble 🔗 ukandeu.ac.uk/a-fool-and-h...

A Fool and His Money? Why Nigel Farage’s by-election gamble could backfire - UK in a changing Europe

Ben Worthy and Laura Richards-Gray make the case that in triggering the by-election in Clacton, Nigel Farage sparked a conflict which he hoped he could control. They argue his gamble has not paid off ...

ukandeu.ac.uk

"You're either going to have to do something serious, in which case it is not going to be agreed with [the current] Conservative party, or you engage in a round of [cross-party] discussions meaning nothing much will happen soon." 💬 @jdportes.bsky.social on Andy Burnham's plans for social care

"There is little evidence that CTA is widely abused by asylum seekers to reach the UK. However, it needs to be managed." ✍️ Ali Ahmadi, @cbarnard.bsky.social & @fionacostello.bsky.social explain what the Common Travel Area is and if it is used as a route for asylum 🔗 ukandeu.ac.uk/the-common-t...

The Common Travel Area (CTA) and Asylum - UK in a changing Europe

Ali Ahmadi, Catherine Barnard and Fiona Costello explain what the Common Travel Area is, how it works, and whether it is used as a route for those seeking asylum.

ukandeu.ac.uk

"There has never been a Mayoral by-election before, and with over 2 million eligible voters, this is by far the largest by-election Britain has ever seen. Yet you would be forgiven for not noticing it was happening." ✍️ Rob Ford on the by-election in Greater Manchester 🔗 https://ow.ly/i0RM50Zu6Ir

What’s at stake in the biggest by-election in British history - UK in a changing Europe

On Thursday 30 July, voters in Greater Manchester will vote to elect a new Mayor in a by-election triggered by Andy Burnham's return to Westminster. Here, Rob Ford reflects on the by-election and what's at stake for the different parties.

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"A liberal and flexible system towards economic migration routes is likely to produce better results overall than one whose primary aim is to limit eligibility to a very narrow set of potential migrants." ✍️ @jdportes.bsky.social on selective migration systems 🔗 ukandeu.ac.uk/the-paradox-...

The paradox of selectivity - UK in a changing Europe

Jonathan Portes analyses how increasingly strict immigration policies may have impacted the overall economc contribution of migrants in the UK. He argues that if the objective is to maximise economic ...

ukandeu.ac.uk

⏰ TOMORROW ⏰ 🛠️ In his first speech as Labour leader, Andy Burnham promised "to fix the big things”. But can he and his government pull it off? 💻 Join us online as our experts discuss what we can expect from his new government Sign up 👉 https://ow.ly/TjmV50ZrmHh

UKICE Lunch Hour: What can we expect from the new Burnham government? - UK in a changing Europe

Join UK in a Changing Europe experts online as they reflect on what we can expect from Andy Burnham and his new government as they enter office.

ow.ly

"The problem is that he, like Starmer and Reeves before him, faces a double bind of manifesto red lines at home and Trump-induced chaos abroad." ✍️ Jill Rutter reflects on Andy Burnham's first few days in office and outlines some of the key challenges he will face 🔗 https://ow.ly/q51s50ZrrYV

Blitzed by Burnham - UK in a changing Europe

Jill Rutter takes stock of Andy Burnham's first few days in government.

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🇬🇧🇪🇺 "The paradox is that Burnham sounds less pro-European than Starmer, but is formulating an economic and security agenda which could in fact bring London into closer line with Brussels." ✍️ Joël Reland asks what Andy Burnham will mean for UK-EU relations 🔗 https://ow.ly/hocr50ZrmBI

What will Andy Burnham mean for EU relations? - UK in a changing Europe

Based on what we know so far, Joël Reland considers how an incoming Andy Burnham government might approach its relationship to the European Union.

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✍️ Sign up now ✍️ Join our experts as they reflect on what we can expect from Andy Burnham's new govt. 💻 Online 📅 Tues 28 July, 1pm BST With Anand Menon, Jill Rutter, Jonathan Portes & Rob Ford 🔗 https://ukandeu.ac.uk/events/ukice-lunch-hour-what-can-we-expect-from-the-new-burnham-government/

UKICE Lunch Hour: What can we expect from the new Burnham government? - UK in a changing Europe

Join UK in a Changing Europe experts online as they reflect on what we can expect from Andy Burnham and his new government as they enter office.

ukandeu.ac.uk

🪜 Have you seen the new UKICE staircase? 🤓 Masterminded by Anand Menon, Jannike Wachowiak & Joël Reland 🇬🇧🇪🇺 It sets out the viable options for the UK should it seek a different model of EU relationship, and the trade-offs they imply 🔗 https://ukandeu.ac.uk/introducing-the-ukice-staircase/

Introducing the UKICE staircase - UK in a changing Europe

Joël Reland, Jannike Wachowiak and Anand Menon explain the new ‘UKICE staircase’, which outlines the options available to the UK should it...

ukandeu.ac.uk

🪖 "It is time political rhetoric matched reality. Either the UK accepts a reduced defence role in Europe, or it puts its money where its mouth is." ✍️ William Reynolds identifies the key gaps between resources and commiments in the UK’s Defence Investment Plan 🔗 https://ow.ly/S0KR50Zrmr6

Policy versus reality: The ‘DIP’ in British defence credibility - UK in a changing Europe

William Reynolds looks at the UK's Defence Investment Plan and argues that the resources outlined match neither the commitments of the Strategic Defence Review nor the urgency of the challenges we face.

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"The strength of opinion in Northern Ireland may reflect the intense ways in which Brexit has played out for the region, with implications for both unionism and nationalism." ✍️ David Phinnemore & Katy Hayward look at public opinion on Brexit in Northern Ireland 🔗 https://ow.ly/K2Es50Zrmpt

Dangerously toxic: why ‘Europe’ weighs less in British public opinion than in Northern Ireland - UK in a changing Europe

Katy Hayward and David Phinnemore consider why voters in Northern Ireland have stronger convictions and opinions on Brexit – in both directions, and the political implications of this.

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"If the aim is to reduce the long-term cost of the asylum system, better alternatives would be to lift the ban on asylum seekers’ right to work and ensure high-quality initial decision-making." ✍️ Experts consider the govt.'s proposal to ask refugees to repay £10,000 🔗 https://ow.ly/QeJi50Zrmnl

Paying for the privilege of gaining asylum in the UK - UK in a changing Europe

Ali Ahmadi, Catherine Barnard and Fiona Costello consider the government's proposal to ask refugees to repay around £10,000 towards asylum support that they received while their claim was being processed.

ow.ly

"The rationale seems to be to reverse the experience of the Starmer govt. – which managed to squander any goodwill in a mess of badly landed policies, minor ethical transgressions and political tone deafness – by buying ‘breathing space’ to develop longer term plans with more promising paybacks."

"People cede power to him. They have very limited means of checking him... and so he just barrels on doing whatever it is that he wants to do. And that is extraordinarily dangerous..." 🌎 Fiona Hill offers a stark take on Trump's hold on power in the US and beyond 🔗 ukandeu.ac.uk/events/ukice...

🤓 For anyone trying to get up to speed on the UK's relationship with the EU, check out our latest report 🇬🇧🇪🇺 It has analysis of the relationship since Brexit, as well as a handy staircase that outlines the viable options for the future (as well as the key tradeoffs) 🔗 ukandeu.ac.uk/reports/ten-...

"I think the key thing for Andy Burnham is to focus on a few key domestic priorities and show the British public that finally we have a govt. that is willing to tackle our long term economic problems." 📈 @anandmenon.bsky.social on @bloomberg.com on the need to start the UK economy growing again

"The proposed repayment scheme is unlikely to make any meaningful contribution to public finances. However, the impact on refugees’ ability to settle, integrate and become economically self-sufficient could be significant." 🔗 ukandeu.ac.uk/paying-for-t...

Paying for the privilege of gaining asylum in the UK - UK in a changing Europe

Ali Ahmadi, Catherine Barnard and Fiona Costello consider the government's proposal to ask refugees to repay around £10,000 towards asylum support that they received while their claim was being proces...

ukandeu.ac.uk