Outside of the races for Congress, progressives had a very good night in Michigan. They won multiple open legislative seats against establishment-backed opponents in Grand Rapids, Lansing, Kalamazoo, and Detroit. The DSA also flipped a seat in Detroit!

First results in the Michigan #HD02 primary just dropped: Joanna Whaley- 56.4% Frank Liberati- 33.7% Gary Schlack- 9.9% Whaley, the evangelical pastor-turned-trans activist, gets out to an early lead

First results in the #WA03 primary: John Braun (R)- 43.9% MGP (D) (Inc)- 39.1% Brent Henrich (D)- 9.6% Others- 7.4% Nothing from Clark County (Vancouver) yet, but looks like MGP will advance to November despite some progressive blowback

Gilmer-Hill crushes Scott in Oakland County and with that I'm calling it for Gilmer-Hill: Detroit DSA wins HD-08

And in the race to replace Stevens in #MI11, moderate State Senator Jeremy Moss is winning, but only pulling 49% and LOSING the election day vote to progressive Aisha Farooqi. Moss- 49.4% Farooqi- 32.7% Torres- 9.7% Ufford- 8.2% bsky.app/profile/uncr...

Uncrewed@uncrewed.bsky.social · 18h ago

So... Haley Stevens is only winning Oakland County by two points

So... Haley Stevens is only winning Oakland County by two points

Early vote is in for the Michigan #HD08 primary and the DSA-backed Chris Gilmer-Hall is LEADING incumbent/Haley Stevens-backer Helena Scott: Chris Gilmer-Hall- 48.2% Helena Scott (Inc)- 43.6% Others- 8.2%

Also looks like the DSA will FLIP the Ann Arbor Mayor's office, with former DSA State Representative Yousef Rabhi destroying Democratic incumbent Christopher Taylor: Rabhi- 63.5% Taylor (Inc)- 36.5%

*Mike Breen voice* BANG!

TRUTH NVKE

state Rep. Phil Skaggs is in trouble in the SD-30 primary, it looks like, despite having every endorsement one could want. Grand Rapids BoE president Abbie Groff-Blaszak is currently smushing him—with only Grand Rapids in, so he could turn it around

How are you, a Republican incumbent in Kansas, losing 30% of the vote to someone named Pond

Another brand new edition of the State Legislative Election Watch is out now covering tonight’s primaries in Michigan! Can an evangelical pastor-turned-trans activist win her seat? Will Redistricting Commissioners get elected on their own maps? Find out below! open.substack.com/pub/uncrewed...

State Legislative Election Watch- 2026 Michigan Primary Preview

The US Senate race isn't the only explosive primary going down in Michigan tonight!

open.substack.com

The newest edition of the State Legislative Election Watch is out now covering tonight’s primaries in Washington! The Washington Primary is pretty much infamous at this point, but several key races are going down throughout the state. Find out below! open.substack.com/pub/uncrewed...

State Legislative Election Watch- 2026 Washington Primary Preview

Covering all of the top-two primaries happening in Washington tonight!

open.substack.com

Another brand new edition of the State Legislative Election Watch is out now covering tomorrow’s primaries in Missouri! Will a family dynasty go down in St. Louis? Will grassroots conservatives turf out the establishment? Find out below! open.substack.com/pub/uncrewed...

State Legislative Election Watch- 2026 Missouri Primary Preview

Covering ALL of the state legi

open.substack.com

The newest edition of the State Legislative Election Watch is out now covering tomorrow’s primaries in Kansas! From insurgent Democrats in Lawrence and Topeka to a comeback story in Wichita, Kansas has a lot going on this year. Check it out below! open.substack.com/pub/uncrewed...

State Legislative Election Watch- 2026 Kansas Primary Preview

Previewing all of the state legislative primaries in Kansas tomorrow!

open.substack.com

There's a Democrat running for State House in Tennessee in a Trump+a gajillion district that has a whole section of his website dedicated to dunking on Charlie Kirk

In doing research on the state legislative primaries in Missouri on Tuesday (article out Monday!), I was genuinely surprised at the amount of Republican candidates who oppose this amendment. Maybe because they realize that it's bad for conservative grassroots initiatives! bsky.app/profile/redi...

The Redistrict Network (mirror 🤖)@redistrictnet.bluesky.bot · 4d ago

On Aug 4, Missouri voters will decide whether future citizen-led constitutional amendments must pass in all eight congressional districts, not just statewide. Amendments referred by the legislature would still need only a simple majority. boltsmag.org/missouri-…

Here are my updated ratings for this year's state legislative elections in New York. After losing the Senate supermajority in 2024, the Democrats should be favored to win it back this year and keep their Assembly supermajority at the same time.

Here are my updated ratings for this year's state legislative elections in Nevada! Despite it being a Trump+3 state and having a competitive race for Governor, the Democrats look very favored to retain control of both chambers.

bsky.app/profile/corn...

Burnham Down The House@corncobanalysis.bsky.social · 6d ago

I apologize for complaining about the fundraising emails, Gina

Here are my updated ratings for this year's state legislative elections in Maine! With Democrats looking set to easily win the Governor's race (and in a very competitive race for US Senate), the legislative Democrats are favored to defend their slim majorities.

As much as it pains me to admit it... Sean Trende knows ball here

Here are my updated ratings for this year's state legislative elections in Iowa! With Rob Sand & Josh Turek leading the ticket, the Iowa Democrats have the serious potential to gain a good amount of seats (especially in the House). Enough to flip both chambers? Probably not.

I'm not changing any of my ratings for Wisconsin until the online pants-wetting over Francesca Hong is reflected in reality. Literally tied with Tom Tiffany among likely voters per Marquette (THE GOLD STANDARD OF WISCONSIN) btw

No but seriously $40 for a state legislative forecast is wild work I get you have people to pay/services are expensive, but geez $40 to see state legislative ratings is insane

Here are my updated ratings for this year's state legislative elections in Arizona! Both chambers are as close to pure toss-ups as can be. With a Democratic-favored environment, the Dems are already favored to flip a few seats, but will it be enough to flip the House and Senate?

Here are my updated ratings for this year's state legislative elections in Colorado! With the Republicans nominating Victor "probably the George Santos of Colorado" Marx for Governor, Democratic odds of supermajorities in both chambers have gone up.

Chat, is beefing with a survivor of one of the most high-profile political assassination attempts in the last decade a winning campaign strategy. Please help me, my campaign is flailing bsky.app/profile/roll...

ash 🏳️‍⚧️@rollingfor20.bsky.social · last wk.

senator hoffman has released a new statement regarding angie craig’s actions towards him, released via EMQ’s Facebook: she is so cooked

I think I'd respect those who partner with Kalshi a lot more if they just came out and said that they were in it for the money. Instead, they're like "Wow, the odds of this candidate winning are like 25%, that's not impossible according to the degenerate gamblers!" And never disclose partnerships