David Crowley has won the Democratic nomination for governor in Wisconsin. @davidcrowley4wi.bsky.social This race is ranked Toss-Up by Cook Political Report.
Winnable Democratic Races 💙
@winnabledemraces.bsky.social
Fighting to take back Democratic control of the House, the Senate and the governor mansions. We only boost and support Democratic candidates in races ranked TOSS UP by Cook Political Report. 💙💙💙
Peggy Flanagan has won the Democratic nomination for U.S. Senate in Minnesota. @peggyflanagan.bsky.social This race is ranked Toss-Up by Cook Political Report.
The race for the Democratic nomination for Wisconsin governor (which is a Toss-Up race) is a real nail-biter...
Rebecca Cooke wins the Democratic nomination for U.S. House in WI-03.
We're watching the Democratic primaries tonight for three important Toss-Up races: -Wisconsin governor -Minnesota Senator -Wisconsin Congressional district #3
Abdul El-Sayed Wins Democratic Senate Race in Michigan.
William Lawrence won the Democratic nomination in the Toss-Up race MI-07. He defeated former Ambassador to Ukraine Bridget Brink and former Navy SEAL Matt Maasdam.
Politico@politico.com · last wk.Progressives score a swing-district win as moderates split the vote
These 7 swing states are the Democrats’ best chance to take control of the SENATE in 2026. Democrats in ALL 50 STATES need to support these races. This is the only path to flipping the Senate. Whether you donate money or donate your time, every action counts (Updated 8/1/2026) #2026midterms
The most watched primary today is the race for the Democratic nomination for the Michigan Senate race. "Michigan’s open seat is a must-win for Democrats ... in November. The primary is a test of whether swing-state Democrats will choose left-wing or establishment politics." wapo.st/4hei0oB
Here’s what to watch for in Tuesday’s primaries
After a few weeks of relative calm on the midterms calendar, we’ve got a slate of states with important primaries across the country today.
wapo.st
Sobato's Crystal Ball (@center4politics.bsky.social) has moved five House races from Leans Republican to Toss-Up, including three races that Cook still ranks as Lean Republican. -Kathy Castor (D, FL-14) -Don Davis (D, NC-1) -Chuck Edwards (R, NC-11) centerforpolitics.org/crystalball/...
Thirteen House Rating Changes Toward Democrats as Seat-by-Seat Assessment Better Aligns with Our November Expectations - Sabato's Crystal Ball
We’re revamping our House ratings this week, which has the effect of bringing the number of seats at least leaning to each party to rough parity after redistricting helped Republicans build an edge in our ratings a few months ago.
centerforpolitics.org
Mandela Barnes is dropping out. Francesca Hong will be the Democratic nominee for Wisconsin governor. The WI governor's race is ranked Toss-Up by @cookpolitical.com
Politico@politico.com · 2w agoUPDATE: Mandela Barnes dropped out of the Democratic primary for Wisconsin governor, as progressive state lawmaker Francesca Hong surges in the polls. The announcement comes as state Dems brace for damaging media reports about Barnes.
The race for Texas' US Senate seat is still ranked Lean Republican by @cookpolitical.com. But a new poll by Texas Public Opinion Research (TPOR) puts Democrat James Talarico ahead by 5 points. @jamestalarico.bsky.social thehill.com/homenews/cam...
Talarico expands lead over Paxton in new Texas Senate poll
Texas state Rep. James Talarico, the Democratic Senate nominee in Texas, has widened his lead over his Republican opponent, Texas Attorney General Ken Paxton, in a new poll. The results of the Texa…
thehill.com
The $40M will go toward, "seven states where Democrats are on offense Maine, North Carolina, Ohio, Alaska, Texas, Iowa and Florida along with three where the party is playing defense -Georgia, Michigan and New Hampshire." www.politico.com/live-updates...
Senate Democrats announce $40M ground game spend in 10 battlegrounds
The broad investments in organizing, communications and research show Democrats’ vision for a big map as they seek to take back the Senate.
politico.com
Amish Shah has won the Democratic nomination in Arizona's 1st Congressional district. AZ-01 is ranked Toss-Up by Cook Political Report.
Amish Shah is ahead of Marlene Galen-Woods in the Democratic primary for AZ-01 (84% counted). AZ-01 is currently ranked toss-up @cookpolitical.com
Today is primary day in Arizona. AZ-01 is ranked toss-up by @cookpolitical.com. Democrats will choose between Marlene Galan-Woods and Amish Shah.
Politico@politico.com · 3w agoThe primaries to watch today in Arizona
In Iowa, the race for US Senate is ranked Lean Republican, and the race for governor is ranked Toss-Up. Iowa has an enormous problem with the growing rate of cancers. Democratic candidates are successfully locking on to this issue. www.politico.com/news/magazin...
‘Cancer Doesn't Care What Party You Belong To’: Poisoned Water Is Turning This Rural State Bluer
Democrats see an opening in rural states for the first time in decades. In Iowa, it’s about water.
politico.com
I usually cover the California Toss-Up races in a separate Bluesky account: Winnable California Democratic races. But it's a slow day on the national front, and this is some important good news of interest to everyone. @winnablecademraces.bsky.social
Winnable California Democratic Races 💙@winnablecademraces.bsky.social · 4w agoThe Center for Politics (Sabato's Crystal Ball) is moving the CA-22 House race from Toss-Up to Leans Democrat after Republican David Valadao's weak outcome in the California primary. centerforpolitics.org/crystalball/...
Article discusses the challenges for the Democrats in four federal Toss-Up races: : Ray Cooper in North Carolina Senate race, Rep. Marcy Kaptur in Ohio’s 9th District, Rep. Don Davis in North Carolina's 1st District, and new-commer Manny Rutinel in Colorado's 8th district. wapo.st/3TginFa
Opinion | ‘Anything could happen’: Five writers on the midterm races to watch
Which lesser-known contests should you keep an eye on?
wapo.st
Washington Post insight into the US Senate races ranked toss-up by @cookpolitical.com There are some good insights in this article. But I find the graphic below to be really confusing. "Democrats’ best pickup opportunities: North Carolina, Maine, Ohio and Alaska" -WaPo wapo.st/4vkO4ux
Democrats are growing bullish on retaking the Senate. Here are the races to watch.
The unpredictable Maine and Michigan Senate races remain critical to controlling the chamber.
wapo.st
Over the past year, we've seen the race for Ohio governor shift left from Likely Republican to Lean Republican, and now, to Toss-Up. Amy Acton is the Democratic nominee for Ohio governor, running against Republican Vivek Ramaswamy. @amyactonoh.bsky.social
The Cook Political Report@cookpolitical.com · last mo.The Cook Political Report is moving five governors' race ratings, all but one in the direction of Democrats. That includes moving Ohio's contest from Lean Republican to Toss Up. Read more from @jessicataylor.bsky.social:
Nobody seems to know what's going to happen this week in the US Senate race in Maine. Will Graham Platner resign? Or will he fight the latest allegations? It's very difficult to find an unbiased news story about it. The race is ranked Toss-Up by @cookpolitical.com wapo.st/4wCvjDX
In Maine, voters consider their options as they await Platner’s decision
With the embattled Democratic Senate nominee under pressure to leave the key race, other politicians are maneuvering to replace him on the ballot.
wapo.st
NJ-07 is one of the Toss-Up House races this year. Democratic nominee Rebecca Bennett @rebeccabennettforcongress.com is taking the high road. "She repeatedly wished Kean well before attacking him for his links to President Donald Trump and his voting record." www.politico.com/news/2026/07...
How Rebecca Bennett is threading the needle on Tom Kean Jr.'s depression
The 7th Congressional District is one of the country’s top midterm pickup opportunities for Democrats.
politico.com
Mallory McMorrow, one of three Democratic candidates for US Senate from Michigan has announced she is suspending her campaign. Mallory ran an excellent campaign. Unfortunately, she has been polling behind Democratic challengers Haley Stevens and Abdul El-Sayed. Michigan is still ranked Toss-Up.
Mallory McMorrow@mallorymcmorrow.bsky.social · last mo.Today, I'm announcing that I am suspending my campaign for United States Senate.
NYT predicts control of the Senate is up for grabs. "Republicans are hampered by the unpopularity of President Trump and his diminished standing on the economy, while most of the Democratic candidates are so far running ahead of their party’s own struggling brand." www.nytimes.com/2026/07/01/u...
Control of the Senate Is Up for Grabs, Times/Siena Polls Find
nytimes.com
Cook Political Report @cookpolitical.com has moved the Alaska US Senate race to Toss-Up! Former Rep. Mary Peltola (D) @marypeltola.com really can win this one!
The Cook Political Report@cookpolitical.com · last mo.The Alaska Senate race has already been teetering on the brink of the Toss Up column, and this week’s bad news for Republicans about the makeup of the ballot is enough to shift it into our most competitive category. Read more from @jessicataylor.bsky.social: www.cookpolitical.com/analysis/sen...
Progressive Manny Rutinel will be the Democratic candidate in the Toss-Up district CO-08. Follow Manny on Bluesky at @mannyrutinel.bsky.social
Politico@politico.com · last mo.Progressive Manny Rutinel wins primary in battleground Colorado House district