Josh Putnam

@www.fhqplus.com

Political scientist specializing in delegate selection rules, presidential campaigns and elections. Founder of FHQ Strategies, LLC. blog: https://www.frontloadinghq.com newsletter: https://www.fhqplus.com/ business: https://www.fhqstrategies.com/

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I'll have more to say about the implications of the DNC's 2028 presidential primary calendar, but I first wanted to dig into some of the weeds from last week's Rules & Bylaws Committee meeting. A number of calendar-related items are flying under the radar. www.fhqplus.com/p/lets-talk-...

Let's talk about the Democrats' 2028 presidential primary calendar, part one

A closer look at the Rule & Bylaws Committee meeting where the early calendar decisions were made

fhqplus.com

I'll have more to say about the implications of the DNC's 2028 presidential primary calendar, but I first wanted to dig into some of the weeds from last week's Rules & Bylaws Committee meeting. A number of calendar-related items are flying under the radar. www.fhqplus.com/p/lets-talk-...

Let's talk about the Democrats' 2028 presidential primary calendar, part one

A closer look at the Rule & Bylaws Committee meeting where the early calendar decisions were made

fhqplus.com

Martin often undermines not unreasonable points with factual inaccuracies about the nomination process. Here's one: The DNC didn't do that. Democratic-controlled state governments across the South, acting within DNC rules for 1988, moved their contests to the earliest spot behind IA/NH. 1/

Nearly 40 years ago, the DNC unwittingly elevated Jesse Jackson by frontloading its schedule with Southern states. At the time, committee members hoped the shift would help a moderate white candidate, who they thought could more easily win a general election. Instead, Southern Black voters rallied to Jackson’s history-making candidacy. On Friday, the party’s Rules and Bylaws Committee again sought to push its nomination fight to the South.

Martin often undermines not unreasonable points with factual inaccuracies about the nomination process. Here's one: The DNC didn't do that. Democratic-controlled state governments across the South, acting within DNC rules for 1988, moved their contests to the earliest spot behind IA/NH. 1/

Nearly 40 years ago, the DNC unwittingly elevated Jesse Jackson by frontloading its schedule with Southern states. At the time, committee members hoped the shift would help a moderate white candidate, who they thought could more easily win a general election. Instead, Southern Black voters rallied to Jackson’s history-making candidacy. On Friday, the party’s Rules and Bylaws Committee again sought to push its nomination fight to the South.

Something I haven't seen yet but should be said: If the SC Dem primary is on January 22... ...then the NH primary will be scheduled for January 11, the Tuesday at least a week before the next "similar contest," and... ...then the Iowa Republican caucuses would fall on January 3, 2028.

So many things to respond to in this. [But you knew that was coming. ;-) ] I'll start with the "few decades" part. It is funny you should say that. DNC Chair Martin said just the opposite yesterday: “Whatever calendar we put in place today should not be a calendar for the next 40 years.” 1/

Jonathan Bernstein@jonathanbernstein.bsky.social · 2w ago

I'd rather build a couple of down weeks in there, and (not that the DNC can do this) it would be nice to pick the whole thing up and set it down 4-6 weeks later, but...not bad? Now just keep it like this for a few decades. (Also presumably NH isn't going to go along, so we'll see how that goes).

Reading between the lines, this suggests Nevada could be the first state and that South Carolina will be one among three states from the South in the early window. *COULD.* The South is the only region with three likely applicants (GA, NC, SC & VA). The Midwest also has three but IA is one of them.

David Darmofal@daviddarmofal.bsky.social · 2w ago

It passed. Sounded unanimous. Potentially six early states for Democrats in 2028. And states 5 & 6 could come from the same region, meaning one region could get half of the early states (not that I'd expect that to happen!).

The prebuttals are in! Look, NH Dems broke the DNC calendar rules in 2024 & they are still likely to receive a waiver from the RBC to hold an early contest in 2028. Probably not first, but before at worst 52 other states/territories. Sorry, that's not a snub. 1/ www.bostonglobe.com/2026/07/24/n...

The DNC may snub the N.H. primary once again — and make the same mistakes once again - The Boston Globe

The purpose of the first presidential contest shouldn’t be to reward a demographic group, a labor union, a consultant class, or a state.

bostonglobe.com

If the DNC Rules and Bylaws Committee makes a decision now on the 2028 primary calendar, Georgia won't make the cut. Simple as that. If the panel waits until after the midterms AND if Georgia elects a Dem SoS in November, then maybe.

Greg Bluestein@bluestein.bsky.social · 2w ago

Georgia Democrats are again pushing for an early spot on the 2028 presidential primary calendar. But even if the DNC signs off, there’s a catch: The state’s next secretary of state will have the final say on when Georgians vote. #gapol www.ajc.com/politics/202...