Zac Gross

@zacgross.bsky.social

Australian macroeconomist

3 year terms often get criticised for undermining long term reform. But IMO lots of the legislation wouldn’t have passed this week if the non government parties didn’t have the impending election in mind…

The "inflation is turfing out governments everywhere" narrative is vastly overblown IMO. 1) We are talking about 7 data points. 7! 2) Inflation peaked in 2022/23, but there is no anti incumbent results then 3) It randomly excludes some elections where the incumbent party did better like Mexico!

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Another example of the RBA Board's wonky thinking. They are right to be worried that they haven't done enough. But lending and asset prices are the wrong metric to assess that by. Persistently high inflation should be their yardstick!

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I play in an intramural sports comp on campus. I used to think playing against a student I teach would be awkward. Now I know the real nightmare is being referred by one. 😬