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Alexandre Afonso

@alexandreafonso.bsky.social

Associate professor at Leiden University. Political economy, migration, welfare states 🇨🇭🇵🇹 🇳🇱 http://alexandreafonso.me

543 Posts3628 Follower1265 Folgt
Aaron Rupar@atrupar.com · 4w ago

WOW -- Danish reporter *goes there* with Rutte "You sit next to Trump when he talks about conquering Greenland, lashes out at allies like Spain -- things it doesn't seem like the old Mark Rutte would approve of. Does this have any affect on your self-respect when you sit there and say nothing?"

Alex Ip 葉清霖@alexip718.com · 4w ago

BREAKING: in June 2026, *every single one* of the 1,062 refugees admitted in the U.S. were white South Africans. In FY 2026, the U.S. has admitted a total of 7,727 white South Africans, three Afghans (back in November), and nobody else. For reference, the U.S. admitted 100,060 refugees in 2024.

rpc.state.gov

Alex Ip 葉清霖@alexip718.com · 2mo ago

BREAKING: in May 2026, *every single one* of the 599 refugees admitted in the U.S. were white South Africans. In FY 2026, the U.S. has admitted a total of 6,665 white South Africans, three Afghans (back in November 2025), and nobody else. For reference, the U.S. admitted 100,060 refugees in 2024.

European Political Science Review@epsrjournal.bsky.social · 2mo ago

"Not all migrants are equal" 🥇 🥈 🥉 @lorenzopiccoli.bsky.social, @fggaleiden.bsky.social's Samir Negash & @alexandreafonso.bsky.social drawn on experiments from Germany and the UK to evaluate the deservingness of citizens and different migrant categories across 4 welfare schemes buff.ly/EUExGVs

Not all migrants are equal: public support for migrant welfare access by migrant type and social protection scheme | European Political Science Review | Cambridge Core

Not all migrants are equal: public support for migrant welfare access by migrant type and social protection scheme

cambridge.org

Will Allen@williamlallen.bsky.social · 2mo ago

Congrats! Well-timed and from a brief skim seems to chime with what we find regarding NHS health access versus other forms of benefits. I like the segmented language too. Would love to meet up and compare notes if any of you are going to @epssnet.bsky.social this week. bsky.app/profile/will...

Will Allen@williamlallen.bsky.social · 2mo ago

Excited for #epss2026, where I'll share work about immigrants' occupational essentialness and public views on welfare: Friday, 10.50, Broadway (Hilton). With stellar coauthors @jacquibroadhead.bsky.social @mfreino.bsky.social @deniskierans.bsky.social @isabel-ruiz.bsky.social @msumption.bsky.social

Title: Immigrant Occupational Essentialness and Preferences for Welfare Redistribution Authors: William Allen, Jacqueline Broadhead, Mariña Fernández-Reino, Denis Kierans, Isabel Ruiz, and Madeleine Sumption This Version: 12 June 2026 Abstract: Who should have access to national welfare systems, and under what conditions? These questions are central to economic and migration policymaking in many high-income receiving countries. Existing evidence shows how people tend to prioritize nationals’ abilities to access welfare over migrants ("welfare chauvinism") although this varies across groups. Without dis- agreeing with this, we advance occupational essentialness as an underexplored dimension of immigrants’ profiles that also matters for welfare preferences. Conceptually, essentialness signals the centrality of work that immigrants perform to the core functioning of societies, and which often involves making contributions to and personal sacrifices for others. Our evidence comes from a pre-registered conjoint survey experiment fielded in the UK during the COVID-19 pandemic in January 2021. Across in-kind and means-tested cash transfer benefit types (NHS primary healthcare, housing benefits, Universal Credit), respondents prioritized immigrants working in essential over non-essential occupations by about 0.1 of a standard deviation. This was consistent for immigrants with shorter- and longer-term residency status. However, against pre-registered expectations, respondents who were negatively materially impacted expressed more generous preferences towards non-essential immigrant workers compared to unaffected respondents, though their preference for essential over non-essential workers was also modestly smaller. These patterns have implications for theoretical and conceptual development regarding redistributive politics, and policymaking on immigration and labor markets.