🕊️ R.I.P. Dexter Wansel, legendary Philadelphia keyboardist, producer, and architect of the Philly soul sound. His work on “Love TKO,” “Nights Over Egypt,” and “If Only You Knew,” plus the groundbreaking “Theme from The Planets,” shaped generations of soul, funk, jazz fusion, and hip-hop. He was 75.
Andres Montealegre
@andresm.bsky.social
Postdoc at Yale School of Management, interested in judgment and decision-making, research methods, and movies. http://andres-montealegre.com/
New blog post: Evaluating Dr. Cuddy’s Claim that the Debunking of Power Posing is a Myth. daniellakens.blogspot.com/2026/05/eval... On an AI generated description of a non-existent study, incorrectly citing findings from studies, and the importance of scientific criticism.
Evaluating Dr. Cuddy’s Claim that the Debunking of Power Posing is a Myth
In this blog post I will analyse the arguments that Dr. Amy Cuddy provided in a blog post “The "Power Posing Was Debunked" Myth: What the Re...
daniellakens.blogspot.com
This seems like an interesting attempt to see how far LLMs can help with social science research. But I am not sure how much progress will come from producing more papers. What we need -I think- is figuring out how to use LLMs to produce better papers.
What can we learn from automating an entire quantitative social science paper, from prompt to finished product? Thread about ongoing work with @natewilmers.bsky.social 1/12 Paper: osf.io/preprints/so...
Good news everyone 🥳 Our (w @vincentab.bsky.social) primer on models as prediction machines (with the marginaleffects package) is finally officially published!> journals.sagepub.com/doi/10.1177/...
Models as Prediction Machines: How to Convert Confusing Coefficients Into Clear Quantities - Julia M. Rohrer, Vincent Arel-Bundock, 2026
Psychological researchers usually make sense of regression models by interpreting coefficient estimates directly. This works well enough for simple linear model...
journals.sagepub.com
“Don’t tell me you’ve been using particle board in here,” said the 55-year-old woodworker
Nick Offerman Visits Criterion Closet To Rebuild Shelves
NEW YORK—In an eight-hour-long video posted Tuesday to the Criterion Collection’s YouTube channel, actor Nick Offerman can be seen paying a visit to the Criterion Closet to rebuild the film library’s ...
theonion.com
These are essential questions to be asking right now. Ignoring the power of these models (which are only getting smarter by the month) is a recipe for professional obsolescence for one's self and their students.
The science ( knowing *which* models to fit, *why*, and what the answer means) still requires expertise. It didn't happen automatically. But the implementation did. What are we actually training our students *for*? And are we teaching the right things? We really need to start answering this. 3/3
Excited to share that @russpoldrack.org will be speaking at @princeton.edu this Tuesday, March 24! Talk: "The Promise and Perils of AI-Assisted Coding in Science" 12:00 PM ET Workshop: "Testing and Validating Code Developed Using AI" 11:00 AM ET The Zoom is open to all (see flyer for details)!
New post on Data Colada. I spent a very long time trying to figure out a figure in a methods paper that is not in my area of expertise. It shows extremely *negative* R-squared values from replications of a true effect. The question on my mind was: WHAT?? I learned some stuff. datacolada.org/134
[134] Figuring Out Figure 1 - Data Colada
A few years ago our Journal Club discussed an interesting methods paper entitled, “Putting Psychology to the Test: Rethinking Model Evaluation Through Benchmarking and Prediction” (.htm). This post describes my attempt to understand what’s happening in Figure 1 of that paper, which shows that extremely simple experiments can generate extremely negative R2s. I learned a...
datacolada.org
Every day is a good day for sharing one of the most useful papers about research data ever written. PLEASE get your people to understand and follow this advice. www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10....
A new Department of Cognitive Science is being created at Bocconi University in Milan, Italy. Here is the call for a cluster hire (for around 10 faculty) in all areas of cognitive science, at both junior and senior levels: www.unibocconi.it/en/faculty-a... Deadline: May 4th, 2026
Open Rank Faculty Cluster Hire Search for the New Department of Cognitive Science at Bocconi - Bocconi University
unibocconi.it
Answering the most popular question in a PhD methods course datacolada.org/133
[133] Heterofriendly: The Intuition for Why You Always Need Robust Standard Errors - Data Colada
When I taught my first PhD-level methods course, I invited students to submit questions about any topic in statistics or methodology. Six out of 10 students asked about the same topic: robust & cluste...
datacolada.org
The South Bronx bandleader took the Latin genre to new heights while recording for Fania Records. n.pr/4kLTCKV
Willie Colón, salsa pioneer, has died at 75
The South Bronx bandleader took the Latin genre to new heights while recording for Fania Records.
n.pr
The second edition of The Effect has been delayed a bit... because there were so many orders they had to switch to a bigger print run! Thank you everyone for your support, and check out the second edition here: www.routledge.com/The-Effect-A...
The Effect: An Introduction to Research Design and Causality
The Effect: An Introduction to Research Design and Causality, Second edition is an excellent teaching text about research design, specifically concerning research that uses observational data to make ...
routledge.com
Does anybody know of a paper or blog discussing arguments of the form "we found our results despite this confound that works against our effect"? Essentially, how to think about confounds that go against the hypothesized or observed effect.
Really proud of this new work out @psychscience.bsky.social. Led by the amazing but bluesky-less Amanda Geiser and with @deborahsmall.bsky.social. We show that when comparing moral wrongs, people are (much) more willing to “scale up” than to “scale down” condemnation and punishment…
Measurement error, Nobel Prize winning research, friendly disagreements, and more.... datacolada.org/124
[124] "Complexity": 75% of participants missed comprehension questions in AER paper critiquing Prospect Theory - Data Colada
Kahneman and Tversky’s (1979) “Prospect Theory” article is the most cited paper in the history of economics, and it won Kahneman the Nobel Prize in 2002. Among other things, it predicts that people ar...
datacolada.org
🏆 Research integrity consultant and image forensics expert @elisabethbik.bsky.social has uncovered fraudulent data in over 7,600 scientific papers and exposed the practices of ‘paper mills’ that produce counterfeit scientific articles. She is honoured with the €200K Individual Award. Congrats!
The vibraphonist, composer and jazz-funk pioneer helped inspire the neo-soul movement, and his best-known song was sampled over 100 times.
Roy Ayers, whose 'Everybody Loves The Sunshine' charmed generations, dies at 84
The vibraphonist, composer and jazz-funk pioneer helped inspire the neo-soul movement, and his best-known song was sampled over 100 times.
npr.org
Delving into a disagreement with prominent political scientists on a fundamental data-analysis question: what do you want to learn from a regression interaction? datacolada.org/123
[123] Dear Political Scientists: The binning estimator violates ceteris paribus - Data Colada
This post delves into a disagreement I have with three prominent political scientists, Jens Hainmueller, Jonathan Mummolo, and Yiqing Xu (HMX), on a fundamental methodological question: how to analyze...
datacolada.org
Today in @worksinprogress.bsky.social, I reflect on Donald Shoup's legacy. Perhaps the most interesting question: how did the most unlikely professor kick off an international parking reform movement? substack.com/home/post/p-...
The prophet of parking
A eulogy for the great Donald Shoup
substack.com
A new working paper with Daniel Banki, @urisohn.bsky.social and Robert Walatka, just submitted to SSRN. The paper is comment on Ryan Oprea's recent AER paper. The paper is processing, but you, my friends, get early entry. papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers....
My ✨New Paper✨ (w/ Robyn LeBoeuf) is out in JEP: General! We find a robust discrepancy between people’s prediction and their own likelihood judgment. 1/n🧵 psycnet.apa.org/record/2025-...
APA PsycNet
psycnet.apa.org
Did a police training improve officers' behavior during arrests? A forthcoming QJE paper with a flexible pre-registration and key p-values of p=.048 & p=.051 says yes. datacolada.org/122
[122] Arresting Flexibility: A QJE field experiment on police behavior with about 40 outcome variables - Data Colada
A forthcoming paper in the Quarterly Journal of Economics (QJE), "A Cognitive View of Policing" (htm), reports results from a field experiment showing that teaching police officers to "consider differ...
datacolada.org
Madrid tripled the length of its metro system in just 12 years, faster and cheaper than almost any other city in the world. Left: in 1994 Right: after 2007 Cost per mile: £64–91 million (around 7x cheaper than London's Jubilee & Northern line expansions & 14x cheaper than Toronto's Ontario line)
I’m looking for responses to replications that attributed failure to stimuli becoming invalid with time (e.g., Shafir and Cheek 2024 JDM on choose/reject effects), or to stimulus selection more generally. Discussions also welcome (e.g., @olegurminsky.bsky.social and Dietvorst 2024 JCR). Pointers?