Bin versucht, dieses Leipziger Stillleben durch ein „Zu verschenken“ Schild zu vervollständigen.
Julia M. Rohrer
@dingdingpeng.the100.ci
Personality psych & causal inference @UniLeipzig. I like all things science, beer, & puns. Even better when combined! Part of http://the100.ci, http://openscience-leipzig.org
"I'm offended by this mediation analysis but am going to be polite about it" (Cross-Word Independence Assumption)
Don't posit a theory that is only interesting because it implies X causes variation in Y, test for a statistical relationship between X and Y, but then say you are not interpreting causally. Of course you are interpreting it causally. That was the whole point of what you just did.
Something I learnt recently: Amazon stores all the highlights you make in Kindle here read.amazon.com/notebook which you can copy into an LLM to turn into structured notes. That way I can spend more time doing something I like (reading) and less time on something I don’t (making notes)
Are you interested in smartphone interventions?📱 We are too. Specifically we were interested in increasing retention in a digital friction intervention. Let me tell you about our new preprint (1/n) with @dgruning.bsky.social @frederik.riedel.wtf @malte.the100.ci using one sec
I think I found another one! The p-value is the largest number p for which the two-sided (1-p) confidence interval still contains the null value.
Julia M. Rohrer@dingdingpeng.the100.ci · 23h ago“A p-value is the most widespread statistical concept that is not definable in a single sentence“ CHECKMATE
“‘Out of curiosity,’ says the patient, hoping to delay the injection, ‘what was the odds ratio for those without the genetic variant?’ The doctor pauses, puts down the needle, and turns back to the study. ‘The odds ratio for those without the genetic variant was also 4.’”
Noah Greifer@noahgreifer.bsky.social · 13h agoKnowing that I said something profound enough to be in your blog post is an honor :) My own irreverent take on odds ratios: ngreifer.github.io/blog/an-odds...
“A p-value is the most widespread statistical concept that is not definable in a single sentence“ CHECKMATE
Darren Dahly@statsepi.bsky.social · yesterdayStop trying to explain what a p-value is in a single sentence (ICYMI) statsepi.substack.com/p/no-you-can...
*JOB* My group at @gesis.org has an open position: we are looking for a candidate to support the expansion of our Trusted Research Environment for providing access to sensitive research data: gesis.jobs.personio.de/job/2707934?...
Research Infrastructure Specialist (Postdoc) for Trusted Research Environments (DSS-26) | Jobs at GESIS – Leibniz-Institut für Sozialwissenschaften
GESIS is one of the world's leading social science infrastructure facilities, supporting researchers at all levels of their research projects with expertise and infrastructure services. We help ensure...
gesis.jobs.personio.de
Gesehen? www.tagesspiegel.de/wissen/es-is...
„Es ist schwer, Freunde zu finden“: Viele Mädchen sind unzufrieden mit ihrem Sozialleben
Mädchen sind mit ihren Freundschaften und ihrer Freizeit nicht so glücklich wie Jungen, besonders Mädchen mit Migrationsgeschichte. Was macht es so schwer, echte Verbundenheit zu finden?
tagesspiegel.de
I remember when the only practical way to calculate marginal effects was at the mean and we did it by hand! And we liked it! But seriously. Using margins is too easy to still use OR because of some weird qwerty effect.
Dana Carvey's 'Back In My Day!'
Alt: Dana Carvey's 'Back In My Day!'
static.klipy.com
Replicate everything? Interested in thoughts on this idea: shiny2.wzb.eu/ipi/replicate/ At @wzb.bsky.social we've been developing a protocol for replication files for empirical papers to: ✅be readable by machines ✅keep humans in the loop
Have you built an LLM-based research tool and had to stumble your way through figuring out how to validate it? Me too! So I wrote a guide on how to systematically approach this. Preprint here: osf.io/preprints/ps...
I don't think people are ready for this kind of joke yet.
Adiposity by Self-Report What if obesity were invisible in the same way as ADHD is? www.psychiatrymargins.com/p/adiposity-...
Adiposity by Self-Report
If obesity were like ADHD
psychiatrymargins.com
airbnb I’m staying at unintentionally created the toughest punk album cover of 2027
Reading up on immortal time bias and wow, I don't know whether there's any other bias that has a name that makes it so hard to explain what it actually is?
Also, a reminder that if you notice any factual errors I make in my published work, please tell me - I'll pay you a reward! I've found most of them myself so far, so I just donate extra instead. But I can't tell if this is because others haven't noticed them or are unwilling to tell me - please do!
About - Scientific Discovery
Tracing the steps towards scientific progress. Click to read Scientific Discovery, by Saloni Dattani, a Substack publication with tens of thousands of subscribers.
scientificdiscovery.dev
Every slack has that one woman who adds all the emojis that are needed. Here’s a tool you can use to support her. Do your fair share of emojinal labor!!! tools.simonwillison.net/slack-emoji-...
Slack Emoji Maker
tools.simonwillison.net
Leben am Limit (kurz mit dem Baby eine Runde drehen ohne ein Spucktuch mitzunehmen)
That’s easy to do in Stata, you just need to access an invisible, cryptically-named matrix that requires learning a different programming language to view
To help relieve work stress, don't answer emails on the weekend. Also on weekdays after 5 PM turn off your email. On Mondays, don't log into your email until after noon. Before logging in on Tuesday burn your computer and erase your identity. By Wednesday morning gather supplies and escape into the
I have read this Response to my Comment and have written a Rejoinder, showing three things: 1. The multiverse is many correlated tests. 2. The randomization inference is wrong. 3. The trichotomous moderator reaffirms my point. I also enumerate 7 misleading claims, now in print in the APSR.
Cambridge University Press Political Science & IR@cambup-polsci.cambridge.org · last wk.#OpenAccess from @apsrjournal.bsky.social - Still Instrumentally Inclusive - https://cup.org/4bhrhsp "Do individuals in Western democracies shift their views on LGBT+ inclusion when exposed to opposition from Muslim out-groups?" - @turnbulldugarte.com & @bertous.bsky.social #FirstView
Psychological Science is running a special issue on "Advancing Psychological Science using Large Language Models", co-edited by me and @ruben.the100.ci. Check out the calls for submissions below! www.psychologicalscience.org/publications...
Special Issue Call for Submissions: “Advancing Psychological Science using Large Language Models”
Editors: Jamie Cummins and Ruben C. ArslanPsychological Science invites submissions for a special issue on psychological science involving large language models. We welcome theoretically and empirical...
psychologicalscience.org
It gets interesting with non-inferiority in clinical trials - with vs without covariate adjustment - since adjustment tends to increase both the Log OR and its variance. onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/abs/10.1...
Therapeutic equivalence: fallacies and falsification
The number of studies designed specifically to demonstrate therapeutic equivalence or alternatively non-inferiority of pharmaceutical treatments has increased dramatically in recent years, during whi...
onlinelibrary.wiley.com