Andrés Pertierra

@andrespertierra.bsky.social

Historian of Cuba and Communist systems. LatAm & Caribbean History PhD candidate at UW-Madison. U of Havana BA, UW-Madison MA. Bylines in The Nation Mag & Dissent Mag, among others.

According to Philippe Sands’ book on the attempt to try Pinochet in the late 90s-early 2000s, the Chilean dictator once asked a West German diplomat whether the 6 million figure for Jews who died in the Holocaust was wrong, and wasn’t it ‘just 4 million’

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Update on LMOA: He remains disappeared despite the end of his sentence and habeas corpus deadline was ignored. Seems like US has to give him a visa to be allowed to enter but has yet to do so and since Cuban government doesn’t want LMOA free they’ve disappeared him www.nytimes.com/2026/07/17/w...

Cuban Dissident Is Missing A Week After Prison Release

A Cuban artist awaiting permission from the Trump administration to enter the United States is being held in an unknown location in Cuba.

nytimes.com

The most important Cuban dissident still in Cuba, the others having been forced into exile by now, was supposed to complete his 5 year prison term last week. He has been incommunicado at an unknown location (AKA disappeared) by Cuban security forces since right before going free

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Cuban government has informed airlines that they only have about 24 hours worth of fuel left for planes. Beyond the obvious damage that suddenly shutting down any country's air travel would have, a not at all small % of food and medicine in Cuba comes by luggage on airlines efe.com/economia/202...

Cuba comunica a las aerolíneas que en 24 horas se queda sin combustible para aviones - EFE

El Gobierno de Cuba advirtió a las aerolíneas internacionales que operan en la isla que a partir de este lunes el país se queda sin combustible para aviación.

efe.com

Possible big scoop by ABC, if true, is that Mexico is mediating talks between Cuba, represented by Raul's son Alejandro Castro, and representatives of the CIA. Talks are in Mexico with Cuba offering access and opening up of economy for survival www.abc.es/internaciona...

El castrismo negocia con EE.UU. no ser derrocado a cambio de abrir la economía de Cuba

Con la mediación de México, el coronel Alejandro Castro Espín, hijo de Raúl y sobrino de Fidel, dirige las negociaciones con agentes de la CIA

abc.es

US is considering replicating the naval blockade part of its Venezuela strategy but against Cuba; the island country produces almost no oil of its own and solar panel transition is still tiny fraction of consumption. Also, truck transportation of food and water 🗝️ www.reuters.com/business/ene...

Trump administration considers naval blockade to halt Cuban oil imports, Politico reports

U.S. President Donald Trump's administration is considering imposing a total blockade on oil imports to Cuba as part of possible new tactics to drive leadership change in the Caribbean country, Politi...

reuters.com

One of my favorite historians is Fernand Braudel, made deservedly famous for his massive two-volume history of the Mediterranean world in the 16th century. Had always known he wrote initial draft while a POW during WWII. Just found out he was held prisoner here in Mainz.

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Most absurd *possible* result of recent events: -Chavismo sans Maduro survives indefinitely in power -Maduro gets acquitted on a legal technicality or wins outright because US case against him was made poorly -Trump makes oil companies invest but they lose tons of $$$

Something that this has me thinking about is Cuba in the 1950s. Fidel Castro thought the Directorio's plan to assassinate Batista was a major strategic mistake precisely because it might succeed. He thought anti-Batista sentiment was unifying, a replacement would dull consensus

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No matter how dumb things seem, they can apparently always be dumber: "Mr. Maduro's regular public dancing and other displays of nonchalance in recent weeks helped persuade some on the Trump team that the Venezuelan president was mocking them and trying to call what he believed to be a bluff"

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Since I posted this Trump has -announced that he plans to directly administer (and seemingly occupy?) Venezuela and use Venezuelan oil to cancel out the costs -put down MCM despite her being the clearest opposition candidate with a democratic mandate, saying she isn't respected enough A buffoon

Andrés Pertierra@andrespertierra.bsky.social · 7mo ago

Maduro is gone but the rest of the Venezuelan government is right there, so it's unclear whether this will trigger actual regime change. Also not sure how this will play out re: internal Chavista power struggles (the VP is alive and well but out of the country atm). No idea what comes next.

The evening of Feb 24, 2022 featured Russian special forces units randomly shooting civilian vehicles and getting in firefights with TDF inside Kyiv as they were attempting to find and kill Zelensky

Post nicht verfügbar.

Maduro is gone but the rest of the Venezuelan government is right there, so it's unclear whether this will trigger actual regime change. Also not sure how this will play out re: internal Chavista power struggles (the VP is alive and well but out of the country atm). No idea what comes next.