Andrew Harrop

@andrewharrop.bsky.social

Director at Public First. Former Fabian Society General Secretary (2011-2024). Public policy of work, money, health & care. https://cradle2grave.substack.com

Accelerating Casey to Summer 2027 is vital for two reasons: 1. It means change can start this parliament. Early views can inform the next spending review - care will need more ££ for reform 2. Legislation and required tax rises can be implemented prior to next GE (if the government really hurries)

This is an obviously good idea - win-win for exchequer and low income households. Can be achieved now by putting VAT on <everything> while ensuring lower ~1/2 left no worse off by increases to personal allowance, state pension, UC, child benefit etc giftarticle.ft.com/giftarticle/...

A truly progressive VAT would solve a lot of UK tax problems

Ending exemptions while excluding low-income households would be fairer and bring in far more revenue

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There's gonna be a new PM. What he needs is an op-ed telling him what to do, of which there's no doubt a lamentable absence. Here's the time-hallowed method for creating one: 1. Set out the problem cleanly, as if the PM had literally no idea that growth, the cost of living and deficit matter. 1/

Bringing services in house frequently makes sense - I really want to see more homecare in-house to run alongside neighbourhood healthcare. But there is a cost… outsourcers are cheaper because they don’t pay decent pensions. Services run by the state = paying more for better pensions

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How do we raise living standards? 💸 Today, the energy price cap goes up, adding further pressure to the cost of living. Improving living standards will be the central priority for the next Prime Minister, and ultimately, the issue that decides the next election.

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Three years ago, the Fabian Society set out what a National Care Service should look like in a research report, Support Guaranteed. A year later, in its manifesto, Labour drew on the ideas in Support Guaranteed and committed to a new service “delivering consistency of care across the country.”

It’s okay for the Tories/Times/Telegraph to pretend that taxes are up “because of welfare”. That’s politics. But if you care about policy you need to understand that is a long way from the truth - and wrestle with the consequences

A chunky part of the productivity puzzle brought to life here - both supply and demand for business lending have been falling for years - the huge emergency lending during the pandemic now just looks like a bump in the road to ever lower lending giftarticle.ft.com/giftarticle/...

Bank lending to UK businesses falls to lowest level in nearly 30 years

Weak economic growth and tighter regulation hit credit for small and medium-sized companies

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1. ONE THIRD of people in work aren't saving into a pension 2. HALF of workers aged 25 to 54 are not on track for an adequate retirement income* 3. A worker around the age of 50 typically has just £27k in their pension* * excludes those with DB pensions 🧵 group.legalandgeneral.com/en/about-us/...

Decades Ahead

Bringing together research, policy engagement and practical solutions to identify where targeted and more structural interventions can make the most significant difference to the UK’s long-term financial wellbeing and security.

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