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Andrew M Leber

@andrewleber.bsky.social

Asst. Prof. of political science, Tulane U MENA politics, some photography, some translation New Orleans, LA ⚜️

1101 Posts1833 Follower474 Folgt
Carnegie Endowment @carnegieendowment.org · 3mo ago

The Saudi monarchy seems to be rolling back – or outright abandoning – some of its most ambitious projects. Unless the state can ease up on repression at home, Vision 2030 risks stalling in the home stretch. @andrewleber.bsky.social explains: carnegieendowment.org/emissary/202...

The Iran War Isn’t the Only Challenge Facing Saudi Arabia’s Vision 2030

As the monarchy appears to question its grandest projects, the state could do with more critical debate than rote cheerleading.

carnegieendowment.org

David Faris@davidfaris.bsky.social · 4mo ago

For @thenation.com I look at why the Saudis are telling Trump to escalate from the sidelines, and what it says about the US-led security architecture in the Persian Gulf. With gratitude for insights from @andrewleber.bsky.social and @philbrickyadav.bsky.social. www.thenation.com/article/worl...

How the Saudis Keep Sidestepping a Costly Role in the Iran War

The brutal Gulf monarchy has been cheerleading Trump’s insane war off-stage but won’t commit to any direct role in the conflict

thenation.com

Authoritarian Political Systems Group@apsgworkshop.bsky.social · 4mo ago

New publication! @govjournal.bsky.social Many authoritarian regimes seek mass support through policy perf. When do citizens respond? @andrewleber.bsky.social and @draege.bsky.social highlight the role of hist. legacies of development in labor-market views in Saudi Arabia doi.org/10.1111/gove...

Evaluating Authoritarian Performance: Historical Legacies and Contemporary Attitudes in Saudi Arabia

Many authoritarian regimes seek mass support through policy performance – delivering material benefits to citizens. When do citizens respond to these appeals? Standard explanations emphasize national...

doi.org

Kelsey Atherton@atherton.bsky.social · 5mo ago

By a mostly party-line vote of 47 to 53 (Rand a yes, Fetterman a no), the Senate has failed take back authority over war. The mad king keeps getting to do what he wants! Still, this is no 2001 AUMF (98-0 in the Senate) or 2002 Iraq War AUMF (77-23 in the Senate). We're at the low ceiling of the war

Center for International Policy@cipolicy.bsky.social · 5mo ago

Congress and the International Community can move now and quickly to signal that this is an unacceptable breach of the international order, the firmament upon which all nations stand opposed to wars of aggression. internationalpolicy.org/publications...

Invoke the War Powers Resolution now. Congress has the legal authority to force a vote on the continuation of hostilities within 60 days. Every day that passes without doing so is a day that silence functions as authorization. Members who believe this operation is unconstitutional should say so on the record, in binding procedural terms, not in press releases. Lock in the legal record at the UN before it closes. The Security Council cannot act, but the record of this meeting, the explanations of the vote, and any General Assembly action under Uniting for Peace will matter for accountability processes that may be years away. Silence at the UN now is the erasure of evidence.
Andrew M Leber@andrewleber.bsky.social · 5mo ago

U.S. war on/with Iran looking v likely based on troop positioning, Trump's statements, lack of overlap in bargaining positions, and more. Decision-making is very much down to Trump himself, with his thinking heavily informed by a belief that his Middle East/military "gambles" have paid off before.