Avner Strulov-Shlain 🎗️

@avnershlain.bsky.social

Assistant professor of Marketing @ChicagoBooth. Behavioral economist. PhD @BerkeleyEcon. Husband and father. Improv. www.AvnerShlain.com

I am very happy to share that I am being promoted to Associate Professor of Marketing at The University of Chicago Booth School of Business. I am incredibly grateful for my family, and for my friends, coauthors, mentors, and colleagues who made it all possible. Excited for the years ahead!

An instant hit paper claimed that "Decisions under Risk Are Decisions under Complexity". Re-analysis shows no evidence in support of the claim, and perhaps even the opposite: - The experimental design causes noise to generate the results. - For non-confused participants risk != complexity.

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George Wu@geowu.bsky.social · last yr.

A new working paper with Daniel Banki, @urisohn.bsky.social and Robert Walatka, just submitted to SSRN. The paper is comment on Ryan Oprea's recent AER paper. The paper is processing, but you, my friends, get early entry. papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers....

Title Authors Abstract (Decision under Risk are Decisions Under Complexity: Comment)

🚨 Oprea (2024 AER) argued that prospect theory choice anomalies were not due to risk, but due to complexity-driven mistakes. But this new analysis convinces me that Oprea (2024) is substantially wrong. In my opinion, the paper should be retracted.

George Wu@geowu.bsky.social · last yr.

A new working paper with Daniel Banki, @urisohn.bsky.social and Robert Walatka, just submitted to SSRN. The paper is comment on Ryan Oprea's recent AER paper. The paper is processing, but you, my friends, get early entry. papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers....

Title Authors Abstract (Decision under Risk are Decisions Under Complexity: Comment)

In this new working paper we use a real-effort experiment to study the relationship between self-set goals and expectations, and how they affect performance. Do goals affect or reflect expectations? Do goals affect performance, conditional on expectations?

The figure illustrates the study design as a 3x4 between subject experiment. There are 3 Practice Difficulty arms which differ in
the last three tables practiced, cross randomized with 4 Goal Elicitation treatments.
Becker Friedman Institute for Economics@beckerfriedman.bsky.social · last yr.

New working paper, "Goals, Expectations, and Performance," from @avnershlain.bsky.social (Chicago Booth) and Alexandra Steiny Wellsjo. ow.ly/pYSf50UUm9X

A road-trip inspired research idea, free disposal: Estimate the effect of speed limits on accidents by using interstate roads and difference in states limits. E.g, the I-55 is up to 75mph in AK, 70 in MO and 65 crossing to IL. With good enough data can be quite credible IMO.

Hotels, venues must disclose “junk fees” to consumers in initial search results Good legislation. The only downside I can think of for consumers is that you can no longer tell yourself (or your spouse) that “it is only $200 a night” when in reality it is $350.

⏰ Deadline approaching ⏰ -- send us your best work on Behavioral IO and Marketing by 12/15 #econsky

Avner Strulov-Shlain 🎗️@avnershlain.bsky.social · 2y ago

CALL FOR PAPERS 📈📉 The Behavioral IO and Marketing Symposium (biomsymposium.org) will be held on 5/15-16 at UMichigan. This is an opportunity for IO and Quantitative Marketing researchers working on behavioral economics topics to interact. Submit to biom-symposium@umich.edu by *December 15, 2024*.

#econsky I agree that PT is descriptive, and complexity is important in driving choice patterns. But I think that the success of PT and behavioral econ is due to more than just explanatory power. These theories resonate. They are not surprising. The intuition brought the theory and evidence. Story:

Alex Imas@aleximas.bsky.social · 2y ago

Phenomenal paper, one of my absolute favs! 2 points: 1) prospect theory is a *descriptive* model of choice. Choice still there, new work is getting us closer to understanding mechanism. 2) not clear whether choices are response to risk, and people apply same heuristic to similar non-risk contexts

⏰ Deadline approaching ⏰ -- send us your best work on Behavioral IO and Marketing by 12/15 #econsky

Avner Strulov-Shlain 🎗️@avnershlain.bsky.social · 2y ago

CALL FOR PAPERS 📈📉 The Behavioral IO and Marketing Symposium (biomsymposium.org) will be held on 5/15-16 at UMichigan. This is an opportunity for IO and Quantitative Marketing researchers working on behavioral economics topics to interact. Submit to biom-symposium@umich.edu by *December 15, 2024*.

I suggested that the average American might not be angry about asking federal workers to work from the office. I got dog piled. No one looking for an actual discussion. Just name calling. Over 100 messages like this. After a week long experiment, I don't think I can stay here any longer.

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I didn't log in for a year or so, and suddenly things are happening here! So, new folks - below is a short intro to some of my papers. Since I wrote this thread some of these have been accepted for revisions or publication, and one may be submitted before I become a grandparent. Hard to tell.

Avner Strulov-Shlain 🎗️@avnershlain.bsky.social · 3y ago

**Introduction** #EconSky #BehEcon ~~~~~~~~~~~ I am an AP of marketing, a behavioral economist at Chicago Booth. Specifically, I study the behavioral economics of firms. I love a good figure just as much as the other person, so let me introduce my research with some figures... 🧵