On Bluesky, you often see commentary on and jokes about clips from White House Daily Briefings--but have you considered *why* the White House does them? And to what end? I (with @benjaminsnoble.bsky.social and Erin Rossiter) investigate in a new paper 1/N www.davidryanmiller.com/files/Presid...

🗣️ Do US presidents attack the opposition instead of seeking compromise? ➡️ Using 90 years of speeches, @benjaminsnoble.bsky.social shows presidents target the outparty when gridlock looms, mobilising allies and shaping future power, not immediate policy www.cambridge.org/core/journal... #FirstView

FirstView day for my PSRM article, “Presidential Negative Partisanship.” 🥳 I show presidents attack the opposition most (not persuade) when legislating is least likely to succeed—and those attacks mobilize their own side. cambridge.org/core/journal... Read on for the 🧵 version...

Academics are skeptical of AI. "It plagiarizes!" "It hallucinates!" "It’s killing critical thinking!" And sure—it’s not perfect. But after a year of experimenting, I've found 6 AI applications that have transformed my research and teaching 🧵 benjaminnoble.org/blog/six-ai-...

Six AI Applications Every Academic Should Try

From debugging code to synthesizing literature to creating a custom textbook, these applications complement rather than substitute for critical thinking.

benjaminnoble.org

Though Trump II often claims it is "maximally transparent," it hides a lot of information about relationships with outside groups/individuals One such type of information is records of White House visitors I explain why this is problematic for democracy at @thehill.com thehill.com/opinion/whit...

Dems in…array on GOP’s CR? This copy-paste messaging strategy aligns with my research with Gechun Lin (WUSTL): minority parties are consistently better at staying on message than the majority.

Ben Noble@benjaminsnoble.bsky.social · 2y ago

🚨 New year, new working paper 🚨 "In Control but Incoherent: Institutional Power, Electoral Politics, and Message Discipline in Congress" with Gechun Lin (WUSTL). Available here: benjaminnoble.org/files/papers... Read on for the 🧵 version…

Trump 2.0. Making Neustadt (1960) great again.

Did you, or someone you know, write a great dissertation on executive politics in the last two years? Email me (b2noble@ucsd.edu) to submit it for the George C. Edwards III Dissertation Award, recognizing the best dissertation on executive politics.

With class starting Monday, I was running out of time to update the vignettes from my 2023 Intro slides on collective action problems in Congress. Turns out, procrastination pays off!

🚨 New year, new working paper 🚨 "In Control but Incoherent: Institutional Power, Electoral Politics, and Message Discipline in Congress" with Gechun Lin (WUSTL). Available here: benjaminnoble.org/files/papers... Read on for the 🧵 version…

Data question for the Congress experts (fun distraction for you!): I have observations at the day-level (1993-present) and want to include "was Congress in session on this day?" as a covariate. Does this exist as a .csv anywhere? If not, what would be the best/appropriate way to do this?

Really excited about this new Substack on executive power—an easy subscribe for anyone interested in the dynamics of presidential authority and decision-making. Looking forward to future posts!

Jack Goldsmith@jacklgoldsmith.bsky.social · 2y ago

My first effort on Executive Functions Newsletter: What To Expect in Trump 2.0, including recess appts, vacancies, DOGE, FACA, Loper, MQD, impoundment, civ service, IGs, DOJ independence, lawfare, conflicts of interest, troops at home, pardons, much more. open.substack.com/pub/executiv...

Very happy this is out! I'm very proud of this paper. As always: read it, cite it, love it!

American Journal of Political Science (AJPS)@ajpseditor.bsky.social · 2y ago

The institutional foundations of the power to persuade by Carlo Prato and Ian R. Turner is now available in Early View. @carloprato.bsky.social ajps.org/2024/12/10/t...

Thank you for sharing our paper, Brendan (w/ Taylor Carlson).

Brendan Nyhan@brendannyhan.bsky.social · 3y ago

"our nationally-representative vignette experiment reveals that QAnon support decreases favorability toward candidates, even among seemingly sympathetic subpopulations. A follow-up conjoint experiment, varying whether candidates support Q, replicates these findings" benjaminnoble.org/files/papers...

Highlight the contribution, stop writing the summary paragraph, don't be a jerk (obvs!), and other good advice from the @jawspolisci.bsky.social panel on academic journal reviewing last month. Thanks to the panelists and to JAWS for hosting a great workshop! benjaminnoble.org/blog/reviewing

How to Be a Better Reviewer (JAWS Event Recap)

benjaminnoble.org

Thanks to UCSD's Graduate and Professional Student Association for inviting me to participate in their career night panel on "making the most of your time in grad school" last week! My advice: make time to build relationships—inside and outside academia. It can't be all research all the time.

New: Rs question the integrity of House races when their candidates lose at much higher rates than Ds, but candidate race and margin of loss have no measurable effect (w/@johncarey.bsky.social, B. Fogarty, @jasonreifler.bsky.social, and great Dartmouth students) sites.dartmouth.edu/nyhan/files/...

Non-presidential party lawmakers talk about the president more than co-partisans and this affects out-party constituents’ opinions about MOCs. Check out the freshly-posted summary on the AJPS blog! ajps.org/2023/10/30/p...

I really liked this plot @mirya.bsky.social posted on her latest newsletter showing time from project start to journal acceptance (and of course, her advice is awesome and you should subscribe). miryaholman.substack.com/p/timing-is-...

Didn't realize this had made it online!!! Such a thrill to see my article at JOP up and on their website! www.journals.uchicago.edu/doi/10.1086/...

Definitely bad for accountability, but probably helpful to Republicans. My research with @stevenwwebster.bsky.social and @ajreeves.bsky.social finds white Americans decrease approval of Dem. presidents more than Rep. presidents when they are worried about crime. academic.oup.com/poq/article/...

Brendan Nyhan@brendannyhan.bsky.social · 3y ago

Bad issue for democratic accountability and responsiveness. Terrible stats and lags in reporting; public perceptions don't track reality well over time; complex and opaque accountability due to federalism. (See also: education.)

a database of datasets ⬇️ been working for awhile on pulling together economic datasets for econ & policy students b/c there is *so* much publicly available data sharing it for anyone who finds it useful pls suggest additions; work in progress lenorepalladino.notion.site/Economic-and...

A nifty little RStats tip: If you want to run a long process (for loops? 💀) and do something else in the meantime, you can end the code chunk with `system('say i am done')` and your computer will literally say "i am done" to alert you that the chunk is finished running.

I'd never heard this story before (from Kernell et al., The Logic of American Politics textbook). Apparently, divided government was so unusual in the 1940s that Sen. Fulbright called for Truman's resignation and a bipartisan cabinet to run the country instead! Truman's response is also good.

Looking forward to meeting some SoCal academics and learning about exciting research at this conference in a couple of weeks! Thanks for organizing @nicholasnapolio.bsky.social and @drdrmiller.bsky.social.

Nico Napolio@nicholasnapolio.bsky.social · 3y ago

I’m very excited to share the program for this fall’s SoCal Political Institutions and Political Economy Conference hosted by @ucrpolisci.bsky.social (co-organized by @drdrmiller.bsky.social and myself) If you’re interested in attending, please contact David or me.

Thanks for the shout-out @cmwitko.bsky.social!

Big Data Kane@cmwitko.bsky.social · 3y ago

Great stuff this week in 3Streams blog on the Supreme Court, Presidency, Schedule F, climate activism and Feinstein’s replacement @mlwhazelton.bsky.social @mjnelson.bsky.social @christiangrose.bsky.social @benjaminsnoble.bsky.social @heathbrown.bsky.social and others medium.com/3streams

On @3Streams "Do negative cues polarize core partisan constituents?" from @benjaminsnoble.bsky.social medium.com/3streams/all...

All the President’s Mentions

Do negative cues polarize core partisan constituents?

medium.com

Thanks for the opportunity @heathbrown.bsky.social!

Heath Brown@heathbrown.bsky.social · 3y ago

Pleasure to welcome @benjaminsnoble.bsky.social to 3Streams with his blog post "All the President's Mentions" medium.com/3streams/all...

Hi polisky. It's Early View week for my new AJPS article "Presidential Cues and the Nationalization of Congressional Rhetoric, 1973-2016" (onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/...)! I put together a thread-style summary of the article here if you want to read more: benjaminnoble.org/blog/preside...