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Brigitte Roth Tran

@brothtran.bsky.social

Senior Economist at SF Fed Applied micro methods, finance, natural resources, disasters, macro outcomes Views are my own, she/her www.rothtran.com

172 Posts13217 Follower992 Folgt
Laura Helmuth@laurahelmuth.bsky.social · 5mo ago

This is a great list of techniques for getting real information out of a Google search and avoiding AI slop and paid results. (One thing not included is that if you add "-ai" to a search, you block the AI summary) cardcatalogforlife.substack.com/p/google-has...

Google Has a Secret Reference Desk. Here's How to Use It.

40 Google features to find exactly what you need, the alternative search engines that do things Google won't, and the reference desk framework underneath all of it.

cardcatalogforlife.substack.com

AERE@aereorg.bsky.social · 12mo ago

🌪️Can communities really "build back better" after a natural disaster? 📈A new #JAERE study finds they can. Eight years after disasters triggering federal aid, per capita income in U.S. counties is 0.5% higher, driven by rebuilding that lifts local wages and home prices. 📊#JaereFigureFriday 🌎#EconSky

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Michael Bauer@michaeldbauer.bsky.social · last yr.

📢Call for Nominations📢 The SF Fed and its Center for Monetary Research are launching the new Janet Yellen Award! This award will be given annually to an exceptional early-career researcher who has made significant and policy-relevant contributions to macro-finance and/or monetary economics.

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Brigitte Roth Tran@brothtran.bsky.social · last yr.

Just in time for #EarthDay, a dark-eyed JUNKO has made her nest UNDER the parsley in my raised-bed vegetable garden. The eggs are very small, ~ 3/4" long. The nest is beautifully constructed from fine strands. She flies off when I approach. I REALLY hope she likes slugs. Nature is amazing!

Three small white bird eggs partially speckled with dark red spots lay in a meticulously assembled nest of fine straw bits under the shade of some parsley leaves.A zoomed out view of three small white bird eggs partially speckled with dark red spots laying in a meticulously assembled nest of fine straw bits under the shade of some parsley leaves. Also visible is the wood plank on the edge of the raised bed garden. The nest is right up against that wood. Dried out straw mulch is also visible next to the nest as well as a bunch of green parsley leaves.The photo shows the light-colored beak and part of the dark body and eye of the dark-eyed junko who is sitting on her eggs in her nest. She is nestled under leaves of a parsley plant. Also visible is the wood edge of the raised bed vegetable garden.
Brigitte Roth Tran@brothtran.bsky.social · 2y ago

Short piece on a study determining how to clean a home that has survived a wildfire but was close enough to be affected by the smoke. #wildfire #smoke theconversation.com/wildfire-smo...

Wildfire smoke leaves harmful gases in floors and walls − air purifiers aren’t enough, new study shows, but you can clean it up

Wildfire smoke, even from fires far away, carries potentially harmful gases that, once inside, tend to stick around. An air quality specialist offers an easy, cheap, effective way to deal with it.

theconversation.com

Daniel Swain@weatherwest.bsky.social · 2y ago

The National Weather Service has *once again* issued an elevated "Particularly Dangerous Situation" (PDS) Red Flag Warning for large portions of Los Angeles & Ventura Counties early Tue though Wed due to return of very strong offshore winds and extremely dry air. #CAwx #CAfire

Graphic reposted from NWS Los Angeles regarding upcoming PDS Red Flag Warning. The text from the original post reads: "Heads up! Strong, locally damaging, NE/E winds will affect West LA Co. & much of Ventura Co thru Wednesday. Critical fire weather is expected, so PLEASE have multiple ways of getting notifications in case of new fires & prepare ahead of time."
C. Kirabo Jackson @kirabojackson.bsky.social · 2y ago

As I am now handling papers at AEJ:Policy again, I want to encourage authors of papers that identify partial equilibrium effects to consider (in a rigorous manner) how they relate to policy effects or general equilibrium effects.

Daniel Swain@weatherwest.bsky.social · 2y ago

Here's a schematic I published in this 2021 piece to illustrate how even a modest delay in onset of rainy season in Southern California can dramatically amplify wildfire risk by lengthening seasonal overlap between dry vegetation and strong offshore winds during Oct-Jan. #CAfire

Schematic from Swain 2021 depicting how even a modest (1-month) delay in the Southern California rainy season can greatly amplify wildfire risk by increasing the temporal/seasonal overlap between critically dry vegetation and the occurrence of strong, dry offshore (downsloping) winds.
Daniel Swain@weatherwest.bsky.social · 2y ago

In fact: In a 2021 piece, I discussed how there is already evidence that this "dry & windy" overlap has already increased from autumn and (episodically) into early winter--especially across Southern California. #CAwx #CAfire agupubs.onlinelibrar...

Pedro Sant’Anna@pedrosantanna.bsky.social · 2y ago

Here are the first five sets of slides: 01 Introduction: psantanna.com/DiD/01_Intro... 02 Classical 2x2 setup: psantanna.com/DiD/02_two_b... 03 Clustering issues: psantanna.com/DiD/03_Clust... 04 Functional form: psantanna.com/DiD/04_Funct... 05 Covariates: psantanna.com/DiD/05_Covar...

psantanna.com

Pedro Sant’Anna@pedrosantanna.bsky.social · 2y ago

I am thinking of making my DiD materials that I used for teaching in the last 5 years available. I am hoping these would find begineers in need of a step-by-step opinionated walkthrough of several developments Let’s see if I find the energy to do this!

Brigitte Roth Tran@brothtran.bsky.social · 2y ago

Powerful article on #drought and #hydroelectricity. "By harnessing water, not burning oil or gas, to produce electricity, this new energy matrix was supposed to help mitigate the effects of global climate change — not make Ecuador a victim of it." www.nytimes.com/2024/12/30/w...

Hydropower Was Ecuador’s Answer to Climate Change. Until the Drought Hit.

An extraordinary drought has drained Ecuador’s rivers and reservoirs, leading to power outages of up to 14 hours. Some fear this is the beginning of a larger global crisis.

nytimes.com

Brigitte Roth Tran@brothtran.bsky.social · 2y ago

This seems like a big deal for insurance in California. I wonder what the experts on here think of the new rules? @kellyhereid.bsky.social @michaelwara.bsky.social @stevebowen.bsky.social @jacobgellman.com www.latimes.com/business/sto...

California issues landmark rules to improve home insurance market

California's Department of Insurance released rules meant to encourage insurers to write more policies in high-fire-risk areas by using computer modeling.

latimes.com

AERE@aereorg.bsky.social · 2y ago

📣 Starting the years with the ASSA's? Join us next week the AERE’s Graduate Student Engagement committee's networking event! ✨ What: AERE Scholar’s Social, organized by the GSE ✨ When: Jan 3,  5:00pm ✨ Where: Lobby of the Parc 55 Hotel Register: bit.ly/aereGSESocial

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Celeste Labedz@celestelabedz.bsky.social · 2y ago

My mom came home with a few balloons for my brother's graduation party and said "I can't believe these are a buck fifty each now." Then after a few seconds she started chuckling, looked up at the balloons then back at us, and said "inflation."

Paul Goldsmith-Pinkham@paulgp.com · 2y ago

Economists love using linear regression to estimate treatment effects — it turns out that there are perils to this method, but also amazing perks Come with me in this 🧵 if you want to learn about our now-published paper "Contamination Bias in Linear Regressions!" 1/ (Twitter rerun!)

AEA Journals@aeajournals.bsky.social · 2y ago

The December 2024 issue of the American Economic Review (114, 12) is now available online at aeaweb.org/issues/785.