Kirill Borusyak, Peter Hull, Evan Munro: Robust Signal Maximization in Spillover Experiments https://arxiv.org/abs/2607.18601 https://arxiv.org/pdf/2607.18601 https://arxiv.org/html/2607.18601
Peter Hull
@instrumenthull.bsky.social
Economics Professor at Brown, studying discrimination, education, healthcare, and applied econometrics. I like IV https://sites.google.com/site/aboutpeterhull/home
So proud to celebrate my father, Josh Angrist, at his Festschrift -- a gathering of people and presentations in honor of his career and legacy. He has influenced so many: generations of Angrists and a rockstar student family tree. An impressive array of causal effects!
Day-long nerd-fest at MIT in honor of the life and work of Josh Angrist, my grad school advisor A wonderful turnout of Josh’s colleagues, students, grandstudents, great-grandstudents…
New/updated slides from @instrumenthull.bsky.social's undergrad metrics course sites.google.com/site/aboutpe...
Peter Hull - 'Metrics Notes
'Metrics Notes Undergraduate Econometrics Lecture Slides, Spring 2026 Introduction [Slides] Probability and Statistics [Slides] Asymptotic Statistics [Slides] Introduction to Regression [Slides] Mult...
sites.google.com
Redid my leniency design IV slides based on the paper for JEP that Peter Hull, Michal Kolesar and I wrote: github.com/paulgp/appli... arxiv.org/abs/2511.03572
Very excited for this Friday's Chamberlain Online Seminar, where we'll muse about "The Future of Econometrics." Check out this panelist lineup! Friday 3/27 at Noon ET. Come see! t.co/pE1gZCMI7a
Price counterfactuals can be nonparametrically identified without exogenous product characteristics, given exogenous shocks to prices, from Kirill Borusyak, Jiafeng Chen, @instrumenthull.bsky.social, and Lihua Lei www.nber.org/papers/w34842
New paper with @instrumenthull.bsky.social and Michal Kolesár on leniency/judge IV designs. This article is targeted for the Journal of Economic Perspectives, and so we wrote it with the goal of being accessible to a wide range of users, including advanced undergrads!🧵 arxiv.org/abs/2511.03572
We also show, (as @instrumenthull.bsky.social loves to show!), that UJIVE can be used to assess the compiler characteristics of the leniency design. If the compliers look similar to the full sample on observables, that's evidence your treatment effects may generalize beyond the complier population.
Developing a step-by-step guide to leniency designs, drawing on recent econometric literatures, from Paul Goldsmith-Pinkham, @instrumenthull.bsky.social, and Michal Kolesár www.nber.org/papers/w34473
NBER grants to fund research into economic measurement - I find this agenda very compelling and important #linkoftheday www.nber.org/news/nber-la...
NBER Launches Initiative on Economic Measurement
nber.org
NBER launches initiative on economic measurement. nber.org/news/nber-la...
The NBER Race and Stratification Working Group will have its annual meeting on Friday, March 27, 2026. Francisca Antman, Bocar Ba, Robynn Cox and I are organizing the program. Submit your paper by the December 11, 2025 deadline! @nber.org #EconSky www.nber.org/conferences/...
Economics of Race and Stratification, Spring 2026
nber.org
We couldn't not rate this classic early DAG by our beloved collective granddagy, Sewall Wright. 14/10. Ten for the DAG, plus one for each cute guinea-pig node. From Wright (1920) "The Relative Importance of Heredity and Environment in Determining the Piebald Pattern of Guinea-Pigs"
An Imbens retrospective on experimental v. non-experimental methods — looks like a must-read www.aeaweb.org/articles?id=...
Comparing Experimental and Nonexperimental Methods: What Lessons Have We Learned Four Decades after LaLonde (1986)?
(Fall 2025) - In 1986, Robert LaLonde published an article comparing nonexperimental estimates to experimental benchmarks (LaLonde 1986). He concluded that the nonexperimental methods at the time coul...
aeaweb.org
Paul Goldsmith-Pinkham, Peter Hull, Michal Koles\'ar: Leniency Designs: An Operator's Manual https://arxiv.org/abs/2511.03572 https://arxiv.org/pdf/2511.03572 https://arxiv.org/html/2511.03572
Excited to post a new working paper with @instrumenthull.bsky.social and Michal Kolesár: arxiv.org/abs/2511.03572 Will post a thread on it soon, but if you're interested in judge/examiner designs, I think you'll find this guide very helpful!
Leniency Designs: An Operator's Manual
We develop a step-by-step guide to leniency (a.k.a. judge or examiner instrument) designs, drawing on recent econometric literatures. The unbiased jackknife instrumental variables estimator (UJIVE) is...
arxiv.org
Zero new jobs in the federal government posted on JOE in the past three weeks. Not surprising given the government shutdown (which began Oct 1), but still grim. At least two-thirds fewer such jobs posted in 2025 than in each of the past six years at this time. #econjobmarket
Thanks BeNA (and Berlin) for a great few days!
📢 Save the date! Join the BeNA Lecture Series with Peter Hull (Brown University) on Shift-Share & Recentered IV 📅 Oct 9–10, 2025 📍 DIW Berlin Deep dive into modern econometric methods + a research talk + office hours. Register by Sep 25, 2025! labor-research.net/2025/08/29/b...
everything peter hull: www.nber.org/papers/w27845 shift-share is the new black
Non-Random Exposure to Exogenous Shocks: Theory and Applications
Founded in 1920, the NBER is a private, non-profit, non-partisan organization dedicated to conducting economic research and to disseminating research findings among academics, public policy makers, an...
nber.org
📢 Save the date! Join the BeNA Lecture Series with Peter Hull (Brown University) on Shift-Share & Recentered IV 📅 Oct 9–10, 2025 📍 DIW Berlin Deep dive into modern econometric methods + a research talk + office hours. Register by Sep 25, 2025! labor-research.net/2025/08/29/b...
BeNA Lecture Series on Shift-Share and Recentered IV with Peter Hull - Berliner Netzwerk Arbeitsmarktforschung
Date: October 9–10, 2025 Location: DIW Berlin (Room: Elinor-Ostrom-Hall), Anton-Wilhelm-Amo-Straße 58, 10117 Berlin The Berlin Network of Labor Market Research (BeNA) is pleased to announce a lecture ...
labor-research.net
Check out the recording! www.chamberlainseminar.org/past-seminar...
Chamberlain Seminar - Fall 2025
Seminars: Fall 2025
chamberlainseminar.org
Come hear what Larry Katz, Xavier D'Haultfoeuille, Kei Hirano, Francesca Molinari, and Andres Santos think about publishing econometrics in general interest journals! Tomorrow's Chamberlain Seminar: 12pm ET
My coauthors and I are hiring a project coordinator for new research on an innovative jail-based rehabilitation paper (IGNITE), building on our recent QJE Apply at careersearch.stanford.edu/jobs/project...
My coauthors and I are hiring a project coordinator for new research on an innovative jail-based rehabilitation paper (IGNITE), building on our recent QJE Apply at careersearch.stanford.edu/jobs/project...
Come hear what Larry Katz, Xavier D'Haultfoeuille, Kei Hirano, Francesca Molinari, and Andres Santos think about publishing econometrics in general interest journals! Tomorrow's Chamberlain Seminar: 12pm ET
Come hear what Larry Katz, Xavier D'Haultfoeuille, Kei Hirano, Francesca Molinari, and Andres Santos think about publishing econometrics in general interest journals! Tomorrow's Chamberlain Seminar: 12pm ET
New 'Metrics Note! "One weird trick" to characterize compliers / the effective population underlying design-based OLS & IV specifications Check it out: www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/lgba6...
The Chamberlain Seminar continues this semester with two exciting online sessions on 9/26 & 10/31! Check out the details below and click below to join our mailing list! mailman.stanford.edu/mailman/list...