Dana Houle
@danahoule.bsky.social
Family’s first HS grad. Runner. Worked in labor/Did policy/Elected Dems/Stint on Cap Hill. Blogged+pieces for WaPo/TNR/etc. Got rare disease, nearly died 5 times. Detroiter in Chicago. Husband. Dad to twins. Gardener. Getting healthy. Wants to run again.
The Senate race: He narrowly won the sunset coast & small UP counties. She narrowly won everywhere else except Kent/Ottawa (Grand Rapids) & the 3 big college counties: Washtenaw (U of Mich), Ingham (MSU) & Kalamazoo (Western/K College). His overall margin is 15K, but in those 3 counties it’s 45K /1
I don’t know why anyone would call it. Only big counties left are Washtenaw, Saginaw, Genesee, Macomb, & Wayne. The gap will narrow. Then we’ll wait for the last absentee votes to be counted. This will be much closer than 25K votes.
Dana Houle@danahoule.bsky.social · 11h agoHas anyone besides NBC called MI-SEN?
In unrelated Michigan news, Tarik Skubal has not been the Tigers’ best pitcher this season
Ali Velshi keeps on talking about Hamtramck. Ham-Town is like a going to be like 3,000 votes.
“…you need to win Livingston county…” Simone Sanders Townsend, saying that to win MI-07 you have to win one of the most Republican counties in the state. #MichiganOperativesFacepalmed
OK, this a trend I’m noticing. I expected her to perform better in absentee/early voting, him on Election Day. It may be the opposite. There are about a dozen counties, all rural, that have reported 80%. El-Sayed initially led many of those, but as they hit 80% Stevens leads nearly every one. /1
Dana Houle@danahoule.bsky.social · 15h agoThis is inverse of what I expected. And this isn’t “Black people wait until Election Day,” bc Midland is nearly all white.
This is inverse of what I expected. And this isn’t “Black people wait until Election Day,” bc Midland is nearly all white.
VoteHub@votehub.com · 16h agoMichigan U.S. Senate Democratic Primary Midland County: Election Day Vote 🟠 Haley Stevens – 1,247 (56.8%) 🟣 Abdul El-Sayed – 825 (37.6%) Early Vote 🟣 Abdul El-Sayed – 291 (61.3%) 🟠 Haley Stevens – 176 (37.1%)
Maybe this is right, I dunno. But overperforming in Shiawassee county (Thomas Dewey’s home, btw) & other small Repub counties means nothing if he’s overperforming in the big Dem counties. 150 vote margin for her in Shiawassee would get swamped by 15,000 margin in Kent.
VoteHub@votehub.com · 16h agoFrom Zachary Donnini: “This is narrowing at a rapid rate and will come down to Wayne. Stevens is vastly outperforming expectations across a lot of whiter, less urban areas. El-Sayed exceeding his targets in Kent, Washtenaw, and Oakland. Stevens exceeding elsewhere.”
This is Stevens’ district. If all those votes are counted & she’s still behind it won’t be close.
Michigan Democrats@michigandems.bsky.social · 16h agoThe votes are counted and @jeremymoss.bsky.social is our nominee in MI-11. Let’s make sure we elect a fighter for Michigan, not a Trump rubber stamp.
People need to stop declaring general elections lost because of who won the nomination. You’re not looking at internal polls, you probably don’t know have any detailed knowledge of the district or state. Please stop it.
Done and dusted. Kris Kobach, Leonard Leo, and other anti-abortion, anti-public school funding conservatives in Kansas who tried to remake the state Supreme Court in their image have LOST.
Carolyn Fiddler@cfidd.bsky.social · 23h agoSome +other+ primaries in Michigan, and more than you maybe wanted to know about the Kansas ballot measure to upend judicial selection (which is already a little gerrymandered!) open.substack.com/pub/statehou...
Those Benson/El-Sayed coordinated campaign meetings are gonna be awwwwwwkward.
Republican power grabs in Kansas and Missouri are going down in flames with 18-25% of votes reported so far. Missouri's Amendment 4 aimed to make citizen-initiated constitutional amendments practically impossible. Kansas' Amendment 1 was designed to flip the state Supreme Court to ban abortion
I think it’ll be a short night. If she got blown out in the early vote in Saginaw County it probably won’t be close. Let’s see a few more complete sets of votes but I think it’s over.
VoteHub@votehub.com · 17h agoMichigan U.S. Senate Democratic Primary Saginaw County EV: 🟣 Abdul El-Sayed – 405 (59.2%) 🟠 Haley Stevens – 269 (39.3%)
I think it’ll be a short night. If she got blown out in the early vote in Saginaw County it probably won’t be close. Let’s see a few more complete sets of votes but I think it’s over.
VoteHub@votehub.com · 17h agoMichigan U.S. Senate Democratic Primary Saginaw County EV: 🟣 Abdul El-Sayed – 405 (59.2%) 🟠 Haley Stevens – 269 (39.3%)
Your regular reminder that 20% of the vote from any county tells you nothing without knowing what 20% has been counted & what 80% hasn’t.
Polls close in 32 minutes (except Delta, Menominee, Iron, & Gogebic).
Matt Gaetz Cory Mills Tony Gonzalez Max Miller Did I miss anyone? Seems like a lot of alleged or proven cases of abuse of women for one Congress (& there’s still close to a quarter of it left)
Has Ramaswamy taken a position on Max Miller yet? He should be forced to.
Not many people start out tweets to me by saying my name. Other than my buddies on here it’s almost always a hostile post. I assume most of the bros who do it—it’s almost always a bro—assume I’m a woman. On Twitter I’d regularly get misogynistic insults. It’s better here, but it still happens.
The Senate race has sucked up so much attention that people aren’t focused enough on the three ugly Congressional primaries.
I read the Blanche call with IFA as the Trump administration panicking that they are losing evangelical support www.politico.com/news/2026/08...
Blanche assures anti-abortion supporters that Dobbs will be ‘permanent in every single state’
The acting attorney general made the remarks during a private call with faith leaders.
politico.com
