Daniel McDowell
@danielmcdowell.bsky.social
Family man | Professor @Syracuse | Sr. Fellow @Atlantic Council | Fmr. China Fellow @TheWilsonCenter | Geoeconomics, Finance, & Cleveland sports | www.danielmcdowell.org
You can tell this is 100% true by the presence of 100s of thousands of Russian troops in Ukraine
The Moscow Times@themoscowtimes.com · 3w ago“Russia has never interfered in the domestic affairs of other countries,” top spokesman Dmitry Peskov told reporters.
A week ago I was sent this graphic showing Ukraine had hit 10 of 11 biggest Russian oil refineries producing gasoline. I thought hitting #1 in Omsk, in Siberia, was a refinery too far. Silly me.
Restrictions to stop capital from leaving China. Restrictions to stop AI engineers from leaving China.
Not sure if anyone else can relate, but about half of my family's glasses growing up were empty dried beef jars.
Are Bessent's proposed swap lines with Gulf and Asian states an indication that the dollar has become what Susan Strange--the OG theorist of the geoeconomics of international currencies--called a "Negotiated Currency"? A short 🧵(1/10)
I thought baseball was perfect until I saw this. Every team should have a dog that retrieves the bats.
SubSonic Falcon (Parody)@hyperlibel.bsky.social · 4mo agoGoodnight Falcons!
In grad school I worked really hard to train my brain that "data" = plural, and now this is what's become of us.
New research on Chinese economic statecraft, with David Steinberg (@johnshopkinssais.bsky.social) & @seaytac.bsky.social now out in World Development. We consider the question: do Chinese foreign bailouts increase public support for closer economic ties to China in recipient countries? A 🧵 (1/7)
There was once nothing cooler than rolling up to your elementary school library and walking out with one of these in your backpack.
QuikTripSushi@quiktripsushi.bsky.social · 4mo agoNot only as these glorious books back in print for the first time in something like 25 years, but your gentle reminder that creator Edward Packard is Superman's grandfather. (Specifically, current Superman David Packard Corenswet)
Great article by @dsquareddigest.bsky.social today, inspiring this meme as a unified theory of payment geopolitics (with cameos of @danielmcdowell.bsky.social, Nicholas Mulder & @edwardfishman.bsky.social
“If we look at oil markets today, the dollar is still far and away the dominant currency that's used. But there has been some erosion and most of that erosion has taken place with countries that have been sanctioned by the US,” says Professor @danielmcdowell.bsky.social. @supolisci.bsky.social
Is Iran Ending the Petrodollar Era? | DW News
YouTube video by DW News
youtube.com
Tickets for the home opener: $80 a pop Meeting your childhood baseball hero on the walk to the stadium: priceless. #PutKennyInCooperstown
The world is just a little brighter today because: new Weezer. open.spotify.com/album/6Hqfvc...
Shine Again
open.spotify.com
"The official soundtrack of US negotiations with Iran."
Professor @danielmcdowell.bsky.social says he's concerned the conflict could “result in renewed attacks from the White House on the independence of the Federal Reserve. @supolisci.bsky.social
US recession odds spike as Iran war explodes
Recession odds rose in prediction markets as the Iran conflict added new pressure to the United States economy.
newsweek.com
My most maniacal parental delusion is when I pull off a solid dad joke, I like to imagine that my kids later say to their friends, "You'll never guess what funny thing my dad said today!" and proceed to speak of my unmatched dad comedy skills. There should be a name for this psychological disorder.
bold choice putting "love" before "laugh" here.
David Klemperer@dmk1793.bsky.social · 5mo agoThe long 2010s are finally over
(Almost) needless to say, the US cannot replace income taxes with tariffs. Goods imports are dwarfed by household and corporate income, making a wholesale substitution of one for the other a fiscal impossibility:
What happens when weaponized interdependence meets neo-royalism...this interview? And somehow I got a goatee... www.scmp.com/news/china/d...
Open Questions | Abraham Newman on ‘weaponised interdependence’ in ‘neo‑royalist’ Trump era
American political scientist on how ‘interdependence’ can be exploited as part of the rivalry between major powers.
scmp.com
One path forward would be dedicated, staffed AI-free reading/writing labs: inviting spaces with no wifi access or proctored use of laptops which students are required to attend throughout the term to work on longer-term assignments.
Maya Sen@mayasen.bsky.social · 5mo agoThe flip side - and there is a flip side! - is that writing longer term papers over a longer time frame really forces students to think more deeply and in a way that writing a short 90 min essay does not However it is harder to see a path forward with longer-form writing in the age of AI
Spent half an hour talking with Tommy Tucker of WWL First News about the 4th anniversary of the Russo-Ukraine War, where things stand, how Putin stays in power, and more. Had enough of a conversation that I got to break down "collective action problems" and "personalist dictatorship" along the way.
Hour 4: Why has Putin continued the war in Ukraine for 4 years? How does he keep power? We explain
Podcast Episode · WWL First News with Tommy Tucker · February 23 · 30m
podcasts.apple.com
This @supolisci.bsky.social alum does great work on international security/nuclear weapons and if you’re into that sort of thing you should definitely give him a follow.
Kyungwon Suh@kyungwon.bsky.social · 5mo agoDoes a favorable nuclear balance of power strengthen extended deterrence? My new JPR paper tests this claim and finds no strong evidence for it. doi.org/10.1093/jopr... A 🧵..
A depressing piece, but also a must read. Regulators and companies must do better. Men have to do better.
Financial Times@financialtimes.com · 5mo agoSo-called 'nudify' apps. Smart glasses that secretly record video. An explosion in sexualised deepfakes. Tech has turned against women, and it's time to regulate it properly, says author and gender equality campaigner Laura Bates. Read more: ft.trib.al/Z3gd5bP
