For those clinging desperately to phrases like: “it’s all caused by arsonists”, well it looks like the arsonists have really, really upped their game lately. #wildfires
Richard Davy
@davyclimate.bsky.social
Climate scientist, Arctic, atmosphere, surface coupling Living in Bergen, Norway Nansen Center, Bjerknes Center Publications: https://scholar.google.com/citations?user=v3d2ceIAAAAJ&hl=en
Back in 2012 we did a figure comparing historical emissions to previous generations of emission scenarios. rdcu.be/brDGx Surprisingly, the figure is still doing the rounds. We update it every year, with many interesting changes primarily due to revisions in land-use change emissions. 1/
Scientists and local stakeholders in Kerala, India recently came together to talk sea-level rise, shoreline change, algal blooms and how to adapt a coast under pressure. Clear needs. Strong local voices. Useful science. Full story here: nersc.no/en/features/...
Kerala; a coast undergoing change – Knowledge sharing and adaptation strategies - NERSC
India’s coastline faces rapid environmental change – nowhere more visible than in the state of Kerala. A recent conference brought together international and
nersc.no
Where do our CO2 emissions come from, and where do they end up? I made this little summary - and you can see why reducing the use of fossil fuels remains the most important tool we have for slowing climate change:
How old is the sea ice in the Arctic, and why does that matter? We’ve just released a new sea-ice age dataset covering 1991–2024. It helps researchers track the decline of older, thicker ice & improve climate studies, model evaluation & safe traffic in the region. @met.no nersc.no/en/features/...
The sea-ice age reveals important changes in the Arctic: Now we can see developments in much greater detail - NERSC
A new dataset developed at the Nansen Center provides a detailed and long time series on the age of sea ice. This provides important knowledge for
nersc.no
Eye-opening presentation about demographic decline from Jesús Fernández-Villaverde. He thinks population will peak and begin to fall in 2055, much earlier than UN projections. This problem is solvable with policies that respect peoples autonomy. www.youtube.com/watch?v=f7_e...
The Demographic Future of Humanity
YouTube video by CEPR & VideoVox Economics
youtube.com
The tide seems to be finally turning on global coal, as both China and India are now adding enough clean energy to reduce their coal generation: www.carbonbrief.org/...
I recently had a chat with Bob Grove for the climate hour about Arctic climate and tipping points, its out now online and on the air climategkc.org/climate-hour/
Climate Hour - Climate Council
The Best in Climate News, Technology and Practices From Experts in the Field The Climate Hour is available on…
climategkc.org
Winter has arrived properly in Norway this week ❄️ After a few days of heavy snow it already feels like mid-season, so it’s time to look a bit further ahead. I’ve built a small interactive tool to explore ECMWF seasonal snow forecasts for the Nordics: climatecompass.shinyapps.io/Snow_Depth_F...
We are recruiting! (x2) There are two permanent positions available in our climate dynamics and prediction group, so if either sounds interesting to you do apply, or share with your colleagues: www.jobbnorge.no/en/available... www.jobbnorge.no/en/available...
Permanent position as researcher in Climate Prediction (289560) | Nansen Environmental and Remote Sensing Center
Job title: Permanent position as researcher in Climate Prediction (289560), Employer: Nansen Environmental and Remote Sensing Center, Deadline: Sunday, December 7, 2025
jobbnorge.no
Sarcasm aside, it's perhaps worth pointing out that the evidence suggests that weather disasters reduce economic growth for decades - the idea that there's rapid bounceback, or even extra growth stimulated by recovery, has proved wrong www.newscientist.com/article/mg23...
We all get poorer every time a climate disaster strikes
Long-term economic effects of global warming could be far greater than thought, making many countries poorer and hurting even those of us spared direct impacts
newscientist.com
Damn. This is amazing. £325 per week, paid monthly, for 3 years - and the result was a profit for the Irish economy: www.citizensinformation.ie/en/employmen...
A reality check for me was working with students on an internal carbon accounting platform that Bon App our food provider uses. Beef was less than 5% of our purchases but around 50% of our food emissions even with international work to be plant forward. apnews.com/article/plan...
A recipe for avoiding 15 million deaths a year and climate disaster is fixing food, scientists say
Scientists are presenting new evidence that the worst effects of climate change can’t be avoided without a major transformation of food systems.
apnews.com
Growing wealth inequality is devastating for societies. But with headlines like “the wealth of the top 1% reached $52 trillion”, the topic gets ignored — because those numbers mean absolutely nothing to anyone.
wealth of the top 1% reached a record $52 trillion (icymi friday) — www.cnbc.com/2025/10/03/t...
I am happy to announce that we received major funding from Schmidt Sciences under their VICC program to study rapid #Permafrost Thaw Carbon Trajectories (PeTCaT). The 5-year project led by my team @awi.de partners with an international team to quantify how rapid thaw contributes to climate change.
We're investing $45M over 5 years to launch the Virtual Institute for the Carbon Cycle (VICC). Four global teams will combine AI, advanced observations & modeling to close major carbon cycle gaps, strengthening climate projections worldwide. 🔗 buff.ly/8WVpM9s WIRED coverage: buff.ly/YsLAcRZ
Published today: our new paper showing a 44-year trend of increasing global wildfire disasters (fatalities and economic losses) due to climate change-induced extreme weather. www.science.org/doi/10.1126/...
Climate-linked escalation of societally disastrous wildfires
Climate change and land mismanagement are creating increasingly fire-prone built and natural environments. However, despite worsening fire seasons, evidence is lacking globally for trends in socially ...
science.org
By applying a tracking method to both climate models and satellite data, @davyclimate.bsky.social found that sea ice age is a more sensitive indicator of change than ice thickness or volume. 🧪🌊 Read the publication here: agupubs.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/epdf/10....
Are you interested in seasonal forecasts and how they have advanced over the past two decades? Chris O’Reilly (Univ. of Reading) led a new paper on exactly this: rmets.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/...
Evaluating seasonal forecast improvements over the past two decades
We have analysed the performance of operational seasonal forecasting models since their inception. Clear improvements are measured through the different model eras, particularly in the Tropics. For t....
rmets.onlinelibrary.wiley.com
I may have found my defining quote. Pair this with my pinned post and you will see what I mean!
We have a new paper out today taking a fresh look at sea ice age, showing how this variable offers new insights into Arctic climate change: A Fair Assessment of Sea Ice Age Reduces Bias and Gives New Insight to Arctic Sea Ice Dynamics agupubs.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1029/...
A Fair Assessment of Sea Ice Age Reduces Bias and Gives New Insight to Arctic Sea Ice Dynamics
We applied the same algorithm for diagnosing sea ice age in observations to a climate model for the first time The derived sea ice age reproduces the model dynamics but has much lower bias compar...
agupubs.onlinelibrary.wiley.com
@signeaaboe.bsky.social kicking off the Sea ice Age (SAGE) project webinar to discuss current challenges and opportunities in using age to monitor sea ice change. docs.google.com/forms/d/e/1F... #ESA #SeaIce
If you had the opportunity to educate the sustainable investing community about one fact, what would you want ensure it knew, above all else? My nomination: The large-scale, economy-wide asset devaluations that economists & climate scientists say will ensue if we fail to accelerate decarbonization.
very intense night in Greenland a few days ago. I say 'night' because this light lasted all night.
For this years Research days I'll be talking about climate change in Reisa national park in northern Norway. It's a protected area that is expected to see dramatic warming in the coming century:
#Wildfires in Spain have reached record emissions in just one week according to our #CopernicusAtmosphere data. Heatwaves & drought are fueling fires, forcing evacuations & worsening air quality hundreds of km away. 🔥 Read the article for details atmosphere.copernicus.eu/spain-below-...
Summer 2024 featured unprecedented warmth in the European Arctic, causing melting of 1 % of the total ice volume on Svalbard. Bad news is that in 2100 and even in the optimistic SSP1-2.6 emission scenario, 50% of the future summers will be warmer than 2024. www.pnas.org/doi/10.1073/...
one of the smart things that Newsom is doing here is implicitly calling out the insanity of how much Trump has been normalized by media by forcing them to think about what it looks like when somebody else does it
Newsom keeping up a strong troll game:
One Boston block was 94°F. Just a few streets away, it was 103°F. Hyperlocal heat data can pinpoint where cooling projects will save the most lives (and money). buff.ly/pgSujfI
Inside an urban heat island, one street can be much hotter than its neighbor – new tech makes it easier to target cooling projects
New technologies are making it easier to find these urban heat islets, opening the door to new strategies for efficiently improving community health.
buff.ly