Joao Ascensao

@joaoascensao.bsky.social

Postdoc @ Harvard with Michael Desai | Genotype-phenotype maps & evolutionary dynamics https://joaoascensao.github.io/

I’m excited to share a new paper about HIV escape from broadly neutralizing antibody monotherapies! In it, we describe the most highly recurrent adaptation I have ever seen. A close collaboration with Lillian Cohn (FHCC) led jointly by Elena Romero and Abby Clyde. www.pnas.org/doi/10.1073/...

PNAS

Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences (PNAS), a peer reviewed journal of the National Academy of Sciences (NAS) - an authoritative source of high-impact, original research that broadly spans...

pnas.org

Happy new year! The second big project of my PhD in Rachel Whitaker's lab is now up! 🎉 We look at how provirus infection affects the evolution of the bacterial chromosome with different types of viral induction – with CRISPRs or antibiotics. Take a peek 🦠 www.biorxiv.org/content/10.6...

Provirus induction diversifies adaptive variation in Pseudomonas aeruginosa lysogen populations

Pseudomonas aeruginosa is a Gram-negative opportunistic pathogen that forms chronic infections in people with cystic fibrosis. Often P. aeruginosa strains are lysogens, infected with proviruses, that ...

biorxiv.org

The constant barrage of terrible news on bluesky has made me feel weird about promoting papers, but people in the lab have been doing so much amazing work over the past few months that I want to share a few brief teasers/links:

How common are frequency dependent fitness effects? New preprint out today 👇 doi.org/10.1101/2025...

Frequency-dependent fitness effects are ubiquitous

In simple microbial populations, the fitness effects of most selected mutations are generally taken to be constant, independent of genotype frequency. This assumption underpins predictions about evolutionary dynamics, epistatic interactions, and the maintenance of genetic diversity in populations. Here, we systematically test this assumption using beneficial mutations from early generations of the Escherichia coli Long-Term Evolution Experiment (LTEE). Using flow cytometry-based competition assays, we find that frequency-dependent fitness effects are the norm rather than the exception, occurring in approximately 80\% of strain pairs tested. Most competitions exhibit negative frequency-dependence, where fitness advantages decline as mutant frequency increases. Furthermore, we demonstrate that the strength of frequency-dependence is predictable from invasion fitness measurements, with invasion fitness explaining approximately half of the biological variation in frequency-dependent slopes. Additionally, we observe violations of fitness transitivity in several strain combinations, indicating that competitive relationships cannot always be predicted from fitness relative to a single reference strain alone. Through high-resolution measurements of within-growth cycle dynamics, we show that simple resource competition explains a substantial portion of the frequency-dependence: when faster-growing genotypes dominate populations, they deplete shared resources more rapidly, reducing the time available for fitness differences to accumulate. Our results demonstrate that even in a simple model system designed to minimize ecological complexity, subtle ecological interactions between closely related genotypes create frequency-dependent selection that can fundamentally alter evolutionary dynamics. ### Competing Interest Statement The authors have declared no competing interest.

doi.org

I'm very excited to share something I've been working on off-and-on for a long time now: a new blog about genotype-phenotype landscapes! The first post is a Gödel-Escher-Bach-style dialogue to introduce the topic. If you like it please share/repost! open.substack.com/pub/topossib...

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We usually think of genetic drift as the predominant stochastic force in evolving populations. But working with some model microbial populations, we found a distinct source of demographic stochasticity that scales (and behaves) differently than drift Learn more in our new paper 👉 rdcu.be/d07Np

Asynchronous abundance fluctuations can drive giant genotype frequency fluctuations

Nature Ecology & Evolution - Based on a combination of experiments and modelling, this study shows large stochastic fluctuations in genotype frequencies caused by intrinsic and extrinsic...

rdcu.be

Do you enjoy mysterious population stochasticity, chaotic dynamics, and/or popgen? Then this preprint might be for you! Super excited to share a project that has been an exciting journey, and a fun blend of theory and experiment! www.biorxiv.org/content/10.1...

Asynchronous abundance fluctuations can drive giant genotype frequency fluctuations

bioRxiv - the preprint server for biology, operated by Cold Spring Harbor Laboratory, a research and educational institution

biorxiv.org