@msnegovaya.bsky.social
Our new piece in @foreignpolicy.com w/@sambendett.bsky.social: Russia faces an acute labor shortage. Each Kremlin solution (from younger workers and prison labor to increased migration) comes with constraints and costs and the issue is likely to get worse over time. foreignpolicy.com/2026/08/03/r...
The Cure for Russia’s Labor Shortage Is Worse Than the Disease
What happens when a demographic crisis meets an ever-expanding military-industrial complex?
foreignpolicy.com
When looking through open source and public info about Russian defense industry and economy, it became clear that Russia has no clear solution for its labor issues. In this Foreign Policy article, we describe this dilemma - with @msnegovaya.bsky.social foreignpolicy.com/2026/08/03/r...
The Cure for Russia’s Labor Shortage Is Worse Than the Disease
What happens when a demographic crisis meets an ever-expanding military-industrial complex?
foreignpolicy.com
What might an AfD victory in Saxony-Anhalt mean for Germany? What would it mean for the rest of Europe? @donatienneruy.bsky.social and Emma Buelte answer these questions and more below. www.csis.org/analysis/far...
A Far-Right Breakthrough? Germany’s AfD on the Brink of State-Level Governance
Polls show the far-right AfD could win an outright majority in Saxony-Anhalt this September — a first for postwar Germany. What would AfD rule mean for the state, the federal firewall, and Europe’s fi...
csis.org
SOON: after 4 years of war in Ukraine, what is the state of the Russian defense industry — and what could it mean for NATO's future? @sambendett.bsky.social joins @msnegovaya.bsky.social + @maxbergmann.bsky.social to discuss on #RussianRoulette. Watch LIVE @ 11:00am ET: www.csis.org/events/russi...
Russian Roulette Live Podcast | Rebuilding to Reconquer: Can Russia’s Defense Firms Deliver? | CSIS Events
Russian Roulette Live: Launching our latest report, "Rebuilding to Reconquer: Can Russia's Defense Firms Deliver?" -- Max Bergmann and Maria Snegovaya sit down with Sam Bendett to unpack their compreh...
csis.org
NOW: #RussianRoulette is LIVE! @msnegovaya.bsky.social + @maxbergmann.bsky.social welcome @sambendett.bsky.social to discuss Russia's military capabilities and what the future holds for both Ukraine and NATO. Join the livestream at the link below. www.csis.org/events/russi...
Russian Roulette Live Podcast | Rebuilding to Reconquer: Can Russia’s Defense Firms Deliver? | CSIS Events
Russian Roulette Live: Launching our latest report, "Rebuilding to Reconquer: Can Russia's Defense Firms Deliver?" -- Max Bergmann and Maria Snegovaya sit down with Sam Bendett to unpack their compreh...
csis.org
2-2 This is a systematic report, multiple authors and a large pool of expert reviewers, looking at selected major Russian defence companies and Russia's overall capacity to reconstitute military capabilities. An important read. www.csis.org/analysis/reb...
Rebuilding to Reconquer: Can Russia’s Defense Firms Deliver?
After four years of war, Russia’s defense industrial base has significantly reshaped, creating an asymmetric threat to NATO: It can rapidly scale production of weapons proven on the battlefield, combi...
csis.org
1-2 CSIS colleagues, @msnegovaya.bsky.social, @maxbergmann.bsky.social and others, firm up the case for a key concern I've had for 2+ years: if fighting in Ukraine stops, the Russian defence industry will continue production at wartime intensity, meaning a very rapid build-up for new aggression.
On Lawfare Daily, @lapatina.bsky.social spoke to @msnegovaya.bsky.social about about how the Ukrainian attacks on Russian energy sites are shifting attitudes towards the war inside Russia. www.lawfaremedia.org/article/lawf...
Has the War Come Home to Russia? @maxbergmann.bsky.social @msnegovaya.bsky.social + @drjademcglynn.bsky.social discuss how have Russians have responded to 4 years of major shocks, and if polling data shows shifting attitudes toward the war. New #RussianRoulette below. www.csis.org/podcasts/rus...
Has the War Come Home to Russia? | Russian Roulette | CSIS Podcasts
Max Bergmann speaks with Maria Snegovaya and Jade McGlynn about how Russians have reacted to major shocks in recent years and whether current polling truly reflects changing attitudes toward the war.
csis.org
LIVE TOMORROW: a special episode of #RussianRoulette exploring Russia's defense industry, what it says about Russia’s war effort, and more. ⏰ 11:00am ET on Tuesday 7/28 📍 Link to register below 🎙️ @msnegovaya.bsky.social @maxbergmann.bsky.social @sambendett.bsky.social www.csis.org/events/russi...
Russian Roulette Live Podcast | Rebuilding to Reconquer: Can Russia’s Defense Firms Deliver? | CSIS Events
Russian Roulette Live: Launching our latest report, "Rebuilding to Reconquer: Can Russia's Defense Firms Deliver?" -- Max Bergmann and Maria Snegovaya sit down with Sam Bendett to unpack their compreh...
csis.org
On the #RussianRoulette, @maxbergmann.bsky.social & I spoke with @drjademcglynn.bsky.social about how the war is reshaping Russian public opinion & what those shifts mean for the Kremlin.We also discussed other news from Melnichenko's Economist interview to Ukraine's military leadership changes. 1/2
Russian Attitudes Are Shifting as the War’s Effects Come Home
Ukraine's long-range strikes on Russian refineries combine military and economic pressure in ways previous shocks did not. While unlikely to transform public opinion, they raise the Kremlin's domestic...
csis.org
NEW: @msnegovaya.bsky.social @nicholasfenton.bsky.social @maxbergmann.bsky.social + Tina Dolbaia explore Russia's ability to meet current future wartime goals through the lens of five Russian defense firms, and what it means for NATO as attentions shift past Ukraine. www.csis.org/analysis/reb...
Rebuilding to Reconquer: Can Russia’s Defense Firms Deliver?
After four years of war, Russia’s defense industrial base has significantly reshaped, creating an asymmetric threat to NATO: It can rapidly scale production of weapons proven on the battlefield, combi...
csis.org
New @erep.csis.org report on Russia's defense industry dynamic (in-depth study of major firms (Uralvagonzavod, Almaz-Antey, KRET, Kalashnikov & Ushkuynik) is out. We track expanded production, industrial adaptation, and battlefield adaptation since 2022. Among our main findings: 1/
csis.org
Feel like this is in line with Dara Massicot previous work and thesis: Russia is capable of adapting, don't construct your theory of victory on Russia collapsing. But I also think what @camillegrand.bsky.social always said about US applies here as well: what Europe needs to do remains the same
@msnegovaya.bsky.social · 3w agoExcited to share our new @erep.csis.org report! Through an in-depth study of key Russian defense firms (UVZ, Almaz-Antey, KRET, Kalashnikov & Ushkuynik), we find that Russia has sustained a wartime production tempo across key defense sectors while rebuilding its military www.csis.org/analysis/reb...
Check out this report and sound off on what you think about Ushkuynik - a new player in Russia's defense ecosystem.
@msnegovaya.bsky.social · 3w agoExcited to share our new @erep.csis.org report! Through an in-depth study of key Russian defense firms (UVZ, Almaz-Antey, KRET, Kalashnikov & Ushkuynik), we find that Russia has sustained a wartime production tempo across key defense sectors while rebuilding its military www.csis.org/analysis/reb...
More on this. NB: “The central dilemma… is the asymmetry of production: RU’s defense industrial base is likely to remain on a wartime footing even if the fighting in UKR stops, whereas Wstrn defense industries are unlikely to mobilize comparably until a major conflict is already underway.”
@msnegovaya.bsky.social · 3w agoExcited to share our new @erep.csis.org report! Through an in-depth study of key Russian defense firms (UVZ, Almaz-Antey, KRET, Kalashnikov & Ushkuynik), we find that Russia has sustained a wartime production tempo across key defense sectors while rebuilding its military www.csis.org/analysis/reb...
New report from me, @msnegovaya.bsky.social, Tina Dolbaia, @sambendett.bsky.social, @maxbergmann.bsky.social, and Cory Woodall looking at how the Russian defense industry has adapted and evolved since 2022 www.csis.org/analysis/reb... 1/
Rebuilding to Reconquer: Can Russia’s Defense Firms Deliver?
After four years of war, Russia’s defense industrial base has significantly reshaped, creating an asymmetric threat to NATO: It can rapidly scale production of weapons proven on the battlefield, combi...
csis.org
Excited to share our new @erep.csis.org report! Through an in-depth study of key Russian defense firms (UVZ, Almaz-Antey, KRET, Kalashnikov & Ushkuynik), we find that Russia has sustained a wartime production tempo across key defense sectors while rebuilding its military www.csis.org/analysis/reb...
Rebuilding to Reconquer: Can Russia’s Defense Firms Deliver?
After four years of war, Russia’s defense industrial base has significantly reshaped, creating an asymmetric threat to NATO: It can rapidly scale production of weapons proven on the battlefield, combi...
csis.org
Ukraine's Dynamic Defense Sector: Combat Hubs, Air Defense, and Non-Stop Innovation Below, @timkmak.bsky.social, @maxbergmann.bsky.social & @msnegovaya.bsky.social talk life in Kyiv, innovation in Ukraine’s unique civilian defense sector, and more on #RussianRoulette. www.csis.org/podcasts/rus...
Ukraine's Dynamic Defense Sector: Combat Hubs, Air Defense, and Non-Stop Innovation | Russian Roulette | CSIS Podcasts
Investigative journalist Tim Mak, who has been stationed in Ukraine since 2022, joins Max and Maria for a discussion about life in Kyiv, the processes and challenges driving innovation in Ukraine’s dy...
csis.org
@maxbergmann.bsky.social and I were joined by @timkmak.bsky.social on the latest episode of #RussianRoulette. Reporting from Ukraine, Tim offered a behind-the-scenes look at the innovation driving Ukraine's civilian defense industry, and life in Kyiv today. w/@erep.csis.org
Ukraine's Dynamic Defense Sector: Combat Hubs, Air Defense, and Non-Stop Innovation | Russian Roulette | CSIS Podcasts
Investigative journalist Tim Mak, who has been stationed in Ukraine since 2022, joins Max and Maria for a discussion about life in Kyiv, the processes and challenges driving innovation in Ukraine’s dy...
csis.org
Russia’s annual Dronnitsa event brings together volunteers, tech startups and the military to discuss the ongoing Ukraine invasion and Russia’s progress in drone combat. This year, the participants will discuss preparing for the confrontation with the “West” and NATO. www.forbes.com/sites/davidh...
Russia’s Drone Warriors Are Preparing For A “Big War” With NATO
Russia's annual Dronnitsa gathering has a new focus this year—not just winning in Ukraine but preparing for a major conflict with NATO. This is not a threat but a plan.
forbes.com
Russia's war against Ukraine goes beyond Ukraine: as Moscow rebuilds its military for a longterm confrontation, Europe faces its gravest security challenge in decades. Jeff Mankoff's new report examines how Europe can deter future Russian aggression.@erep.csis.org www.csis.org/analysis/man...
Managing the Long-Term Russian Threat to Europe
The war in Ukraine and changing transatlantic relations are shifting the risk matrix facing Europe. In response, NATO needs to manage the transition to European-led defense, minimizing gaps while comm...
csis.org
"Brandstoftekorten verhogen de politieke kosten voor het Kremlin, omdat het beheersen van de publieke frustratie steeds kostbaarder wordt." "(...) Dit zou tevens het moment zijn voor het Westen om de sanctiedruk op Rusland op te voeren." Door @msnegovaya.bsky.social
Russian Attitudes Are Shifting as the War’s Effects Come Home
Ukraine's long-range strikes on Russian refineries combine military and economic pressure in ways previous shocks did not. While unlikely to transform public opinion, they raise the Kremlin's domestic...
csis.org
NEW: @drjademcglynn.bsky.social + @msnegovaya.bsky.social explore how Ukraine's strikes on Russian refineries — and the fuel shortages that followed — are reshaping the domestic politics of the war. Full analysis below. www.csis.org/analysis/rus...
Russian Attitudes Are Shifting as the War’s Effects Come Home
Ukraine's long-range strikes on Russian refineries combine military and economic pressure in ways previous shocks did not. While unlikely to transform public opinion, they raise the Kremlin's domestic...
csis.org
New article w/@drjademcglynn.bsky.social: Russian war support is heterogeneous: hawks tend to rally,while loyalists become less supportive as costs mount. Fuel shortages make the war's costs visible and steadily raise the Kremlin's domestic political costs.@erep.csis.org www.csis.org/analysis/rus...
Russian Attitudes Are Shifting as the War’s Effects Come Home
Ukraine's long-range strikes on Russian refineries combine military and economic pressure in ways previous shocks did not. While unlikely to transform public opinion, they raise the Kremlin's domestic...
csis.org
Drones and autonomous warfare have transformed the war in Ukraine. @maxbergmann.bsky.social & @msnegovaya.bsky.social sat down with @csis.org's Kate Bondar to discuss how Ukraine and Russia are adapting and innovating on the battlefield. Listen to #RussianRoulette: www.youtube.com/watch?v=W2e6...
How Drone Innovation Reshapes the Battlefield in Ukraine with Kate Bondar
YouTube video by Center for Strategic & International Studies
youtube.com
Strategic Clarity: Reassessing China's Value to Korea @csis.org @victordcha.bsky.social & @yesunkim.bsky.social write that as China-ROK ties continue to shift from complementary to competitive, Seoul should drop strategic ambiguity for strategic clarity. 🔗 @geopolitics.csis.org:
Strategic Clarity: Reassessing the Value of China to Korea
As Xi visits North Korea, South Korea should reassess its China strategy, recognizing a shift from complementarity to competition and Beijing’s unhelpful role on North Korea, and pursue strategic…
shorturl.at
At Deutsche Welle, we discussed Ukraine's escalating long-range strike campaign against Russia: • Zelenskyy's "40-day influence operation"-why Crimea is central to Ukraine's strategy. • Its impact on Russia's war economy and the Kremlin's calculus. • What this means for the war and peace talks.
Ukraine takes the war to Russia like never before | DW News
YouTube video by DW News
youtube.com
