@mattsperrin.bsky.social

**NEW BMJ PAPER** "Uncertainty of risk estimates from clinical prediction models: rationale, challenges, and approaches" - most models provide just a risk estimate - we argue for presenting associated uncertainty too - includes pros, cons, PPIE & methods Hope helpful! www.bmj.com/content/388/...

Uncertainty of risk estimates from clinical prediction models: rationale, challenges, and approaches

Clinical prediction models estimate an individual’s risk (probability) of a health related outcome to help guide patient counselling and clinical decision making. Most models provide a single point es...

bmj.com