Maudie Johnson-Hunter

@maudiejh.bsky.social

Economist at Joseph Rowntree Foundation Views are my own. She/Her

Around 4.5 million children are living in relative poverty after housing costs. 200,000 more since before the pandemic. These are record numbers of children living in poverty. Latest DWP figures on Households Below Average Income has found 🔽 1/3

OBR's measure of living standards, RHDI, is up by £500 - largely due to stronger wage growth, including planning reforms which boost incomes. BUT when you dig into it, 3/4 of the extra income from housing services is 'imputed rents' (what families would receive if they rented out their home). 1/3

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Living standards are forecast to have already peaked this parliament, with Keir Starmer on track to preside over the worst parliament in modern history for living standards. New JRF analysis on living standards ahead of the Spring Statement ⬇️ 1/🧵

Line graph showing real disposable incomes for the average family feel during the cost of living crisis, before some recovery to 2025. From then, incomes are forecast to fall across the rest of the decade.

New ONS public finances data out this morning look grim for the Chancellor. These are key data for next week’s Spring Statement providing a last chance to look at the fiscal position before we get new forecasts. A thread…

Big picture today is Government chose to cut unprecedented £5bn of income from disabled people at highest risk of hardship. This drive for cost savings undermines any positive changes contained in the disability benefits green paper. Here are some other big problems:🧵1/11

JRF Chief Executive Paul Kissack said:

"No truly moral choice would leave disabled people without the very support that is designed to allow them to lead a dignified life, nor would it leave them facing hardship. These would be unprecedented disability benefits cuts.

“Ideas like the Right to Try Guarantee help to remove the barriers that prevent people from working but enormous cuts mean the Government risks undermining these positives. Making it harder for people to qualify for support, or cutting their support, puts more pressure on people who are already struggling to cope.

"Ministers should boost the basic rate of Universal Credit without taking the extra support from the pockets of disabled people receiving UC health. It should be funded by those with the broadest shoulders.

"A government that came to office pledging to end the moral scar of food bank use clearly should not be taking steps that could leave disabled people at greater risk of needing to use one."

Today's announcement to cut £5b from disability benefits, to plug a funding gap in the Spring Statement, is an immoral choice to balance to books on the backs of those who need it the most. JRF's cost of living tracker shows the hardship already deeply hitting low-income families, before any cuts

Bar chart showing families with a disabled person, whether in receipt of benefit or not, are at very high risk of hardship. Families without any benefits and those receiving incapacity benefits, like UC LCW and LCWRA have the greatest levels of hardship, with around 9 in 10 going without essentials and two thirds in arrears.

Health chapter in UK Poverty, out today, is a grim read. Life expectancy in the most deprived areas in England has never been lower, since reporting began in 2011. Comparing the 10% most and least deprived areas in England - Females live on average 8 years less - Men live on average 10 years less

I ran some stats from our lastest cost of living tracker for Peston's show this week on the experiences of families in receipt of disability benefits. The whole segment is worth a watch on how many people the Government actually expects to move into work, and the hardship they are facing.

Joseph Rowntree Foundation@jrf-uk.bsky.social · 2y ago

88% of low-income households who receive disability benefits were going without the essentials in the 6 months to Oct 📢 59% had to take out a loan to cover the cost of essentials. 53% were in arrears. Our COL tracker: www.jrf.org.uk/cost-of-livi... Anushka Asthana on @itvpeston.bsky.social

DEFRA report out today shows food insecurity is up, from 8% of all households in 2019/2020 to 10% in 2022/23. Our cost of living tracker in October 2024 finds 46% of households in the bottom 40% of incomes were food insecure, most similar to the ‘very food insecure’ measure. Thread of stats:

Dual axis chart, with column showing the proportion of families in food insecurity and line showing the number in millions. It remains high across the period, with 5.4m in food insecurity in October 2024 or 46%.

Positive news that the 'move-on period' for refugees to leave asylum accommodation has been temporarily extended from 28 to 56 days. This policy drives homelessness and destitution and the extension must be made permanent, beyond June 2025. 1/4

There is a political cost to governments when people feel worse off. @jrf_uk's latest cost of living tracker underlines how urgent the situation for millions of low income households, and how it's set to get worse without political action. 📺find out more 1/2

Bangladeshi, Black African and Pakistani families are up to 5x more likely to be living in severe poverty for a long time compared to white families in the UK 📢 We've carried out new research to understand what these families experience and why they have this elevated risk 1/6