Cannon "like boom" Cloud
@cannoncloud.bsky.social
Development econ PhD Student at Goethe Universität Frankfurt and WZB. Doing research at the corner of development, transport and remote sensing. https://cannoncloud.github.io/ You can find he/him knitting silly hats or riding funny bikes.
One potential silver lining: net-zero needs ~3x more clean electricity, and the main barriers are permitting, transmission, interconnection, not tech. If AI's capital and urgency fund firm clean power and grids, it could help clean the grid. Behind-the-meter gas, and it won't.
I have not followed the Arday affair closely, but it seems like their is more leeway to be a crank academic if your not Black.
Your scientists were so preoccupied with whether they could, they didn't stop to think if they should
Your scientists were so preoccupied with whether they could, they didn't stop to think if they should
I found this odd. Some crazy doomerism, with some buzzwords i agreed with. Anyways, we could still try a carbon tax. www.theguardian.com/wellness/202...
Your worst fears about cultural collapse might be true – here’s what you can do about it
Writer Sarah Wilson argues we’re hurtling toward the same end as ancient Rome and the Mayan civilisation – but there’s plenty to fight for
theguardian.com
Thinking of all the weirdos this morning who open a banana the wong way. How do you do it right, please no wrong answers. A. From stem B. From blossom C. Smash on head D. Eat peel and all, directly from middle. Your hunger for tryptophan and fiber is insatiable. Your colon churns.
1/ 🚨 New preprint 🚨 How can governments implement effective—but often unpopular—policies without triggering public backlash? We investigated whether involving citizens in policymaking can reduce resistance to system-level policies. 🧵 Preprint: lnkd.in/dQGy47u4
350,000 people. I can't imagine doing this to one person let alone 350,000.
Aaron Reichlin-Melnick@reichlinmelnick.bsky.social · 2mo agoBREAKING: The Supreme Court rules 6-3 in favor of the Trump admin on Temporary Protected Status, blocking the lawsuit on jurisdictional grounds, allowing DHS to strip over 350,000 people of legal status even though they utterly failed to follow the required legal procedures.
![MULLIN v. DOE
Syllabus
that the termination of Haiti’s TPS designation violated the constitutional right to equal protection because it was motivated by race. The
District Court granted interim relief, and a divided D. C. Circuit panel
declined to issue a stay. The Government sought a stay and a writ of
certiorari before judgment in both cases. This Court granted review,
consolidated the cases, and deferred ruling on the stay applications.
Held:
1. The TPS statute bars judicial review of non-constitutional claims.
Pp. 12–18.
(a) Section 1254a(b)(5)(A) provides that “[t]here is no judicial review
of any determination of the [Secretary of Homeland Security] with respect to the designation, or termination or extension of a designation,
of a foreign state.” The term “determination” may mean either an individual decision or the process leading to a decision. Under either
understanding, §1254a(b)(5)(A) bars all of respondents’ non-constitutional claims. Further, the phrase “with respect to” “generally has a
broadening effect, ensuring that the scope of a provision covers not
only its subject but also matters relating to that subject.” Patel v. Garland, 596 U. S. 328, 339 (internal quotation marks omitted). Pp. 12–
13.](https://cdn.bsky.app/img/feed_thumbnail/plain/did:plc:2vtbmhmrwzbqcfv4we4uxzzt/bafkreifragvqrfnsseonrcnsl6nx32n2tbgdi7a4ugnuyh2h4xggbga3si)
Fun buried synthesis of the Great Divergence opposing camps arguments, institutions unlocked geography.
Juan Moreno-Cruz@jmorenocruz.bsky.social · 2mo agoJevan Cherniwchan and I have a new working paper—one we’ve been working on for a long time—on how energy transitions shaped societies in the past, and what they may teach us about the present and future. www.ifo.de/DocDL/cesifo...
Jevan Cherniwchan and I have a new working paper—one we’ve been working on for a long time—on how energy transitions shaped societies in the past, and what they may teach us about the present and future. www.ifo.de/DocDL/cesifo...
ifo.de
@mclem.org Musk is clearly evil, but promoting this study with questionable methods might do science public relations a disservice in the long run. But also maybe not if no one bothers to think about any of it all that hard.
Michael Clemens@mclem.org · 2mo agoKhanna did not ‘say’ that Musk unleashed mass death. Serious research has documented it. —> www.thelancet.com/journals/lan...
The impact of the USAID shutdown on Africa, as seen from space and on the ground. M. Nicolini and I study the effects of the aid cuts by linking GODAD data on USAID projects to satellite-based measures of economic activity and IPC food insecurity indicators. 👉 papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.... 1/11
Remember that recent paper claiming to show that "ideological bias" determined the results obtained by immigration policy research teams? A careful, open-code reanalysis by @kauspurg.bsky.social & Josef Brüderl finds that the result arises from a coding error. —> doi.org/10.31222/osf...
Hi All. Perhaps something useful from me. I'd like to announce that drlate, a Stata module for doubly robust estimation of the local average treatment effect (LATE) and the local average treatment effect on the treated (LATT), is now available in SSC.
Doubly Robust Estimation of Local Average Treatment Effects Using Inverse Probability Weighted Regression Adjustment
We revisit the problem of estimating the local average treatment effect (LATE) and the local average treatment effect on the treated (LATT) when control variables are available, either to render the i...
arxiv.org
📢 Open positions! I’m recruiting 2 postdocs + 3 PhD positions at C³S, @goetheuni.bsky.social in #ClimateJustice, environmental inequality, #Demography & #ComputationalSocialScience 🌍📊💻 3–4 years + strong support for training🎒 Deadline: 23 June 2026 More: www.uni-frankfurt.de/48794987/Zen...
Introduce yourself with 10 artists you’ve seen live Alex G Dinosaur Jr Thundercat Kamasi Washington Frankie Cosmos Destroyer Wavves Twin Shadow Fleet Foxes Sharon Jones
This paper is now out in the Journal of Causal Inference with some updates but the same general message: LLMs were not particularly good at matching expert judgment on whether a given variable pair represented a causal relationship. www.degruyterbrill.com/document/doi...
degruyterbrill.com
Nick Huntington-Klein@nickchk.com · 2y agoNew working paper out today with @epiellie.bsky.social called "Do LLMs Act as Repositories of Causal Knowledge?" Can LLMs (ie ChatGPT) build for us the causal models we need to identify an effect? There are reasons to expect they could. But can they? Well, not really, no. arxiv.org/html/2412.10...
Measuring poverty used to mean flying data collectors to remote villages every decade. A satellite AI model just mapped every 6-km area of Africa for 36 GPU-hours total, which is roughly the cost of a tank of gas. Cool paper by @marshallburke.bsky.social, et al.: arxiv.org/abs/2604.23166
The ongoing gerrymandering race in the U.S. has just claimed the Tennessee district of Congressman Steve Cohen @repcohen.bsky.social, ranking member of the U.S. Helsinki Commission, OSCE Parliamentary Assembly Special Representative on Political Prisoners, and... 👇
Come for some nice analysis, stay for the ad hominem attack attacks "They are enriching a small group of incredibly annoying people who ... are promising to subjugate the rest of us in unemployment work camps." and "the rationalist weirdos in charge at Anthropic" 😍
Ben Recht@beenwrekt.bsky.social · 3mo agoAre large language models mathematically rational? I swear I’m not dodging the question in this post, but it depends on your perspective.
White liberals' response to George Floyd's murder was largely to increase symbolic support. White liberals' exhibited little change in substantive/material policy commitments.
"The legalization of mobile sports gambling in America was a policy mistake and that the evidence is now clear enough to say so."
Seeing as how the Democrats will soon control both chambers of Congress, allow me to introduce you to the most based idea ever suggested in the Harvard Law Review: "Congress should admit each Washington D.C. neighborhood as its own state."
Forthcoming in the JEL: "Navigating the 'Problem from Hell': A Guide to Climate Damages" by Derek Lemoine, Catherine Hausman, and Jeffrey G. Shrader.
Navigating the "Problem from Hell": A Guide to Climate Damages
(Forthcoming Article) - Multiple lines of research aim to quantify the economic impacts of climate change. We show that the effects of climate change on economic activity depend on how climate change alters weather across time and space. Changes in contemporary weather have direct effects on output; changes in past weather and in expectations of future weather induce adaptation; and changes in weather elsewhere around the globe introduce a general equilibrium effect. Using this framework, we argue that estimation of climate impacts faces a trilemma. A methodology can have at most two of: (i) robustness to a particular economic model’s structure, (ii) interpretation as effects of persistent, widespread, anticipated climate change, and (iii) quasi-experimental identification. We summarize the literature on climate damages in light of the trilemma. A solid body of knowledge has developed around direct effects, and recent work has made substantial progress towards understanding adaptation and spatial spillovers.
aeaweb.org
If Iran ended up imposing a $1/bl tarrif on oil transiting the Hormuz Strait, and we modeled it is a tax, who would end up paying it? What's more elastic, Demand for Persian Gulf oil or Supply of Persian Gulf Oil?
I saw some paper (maybe WP) someone posted on here about pollution dispersion from coal power plants being carried out of county in the US. Can anyone point me to that?
Trump’s proposed attacks on civilian infrastructure in Iran tonight must be stopped. Calling for the end of Persian ‘civilization’ is a call for genocide, and any decent human being must oppose it. His actions make him unfit for office. See my full statement here: cohen.house.gov/media-center...
