Jeffrey H. Michaels
@jmichael424.bsky.social
Affiliated with King's College London, Oxford CCW, RAND Europe, and the Hague Centre for Strategic Studies.
Deterring with words? It’s cheaper, faster—and just as vital. A new guide by HCSS strategic advisor @jmichael424.bsky.social explores how NATO and others have used (and misused) verbal warnings, from WWI to Ukraine. 📝 Read more: hcss.nl/news/new-rep...
New report | Deterrence Warning Messages: A Short Guide for NATO - HCSS
Why do deterrence efforts fail? Often, it’s not what is said, but how it’s said. In a new report, HCSS strategic advisor Dr. Jeffrey H. Michaels explores how the success or failure of deterrence often...
hcss.nl
Not the most important point, but in the spirit of social media self-promotion going to note that cool stuff happens @maxwellsu.bsky.social & the Moynihan Institute of Global Affairs even in the summer. Great piece @michaelwilliams.bsky.social & @jmichael424.bsky.social
War on the Rocks@warontherocks.bsky.social · 10mo agoWhat if China doesn’t invade Taiwan the way we expect?
Current Taiwan wargames may be preparing for the wrong war.
A Wargame to Take Taiwan, from China’s Perspective
In August 2025, 25 international experts gathered at Syracuse University to do something unusual: plan China's invasion of Taiwan. For two days,
warontherocks.com
@thewavellroom.bsky.social kindly published my article on small arms and the challenges facing those British Army officers working on replacing SA80 as part of Project GRAYBURN. wavellroom.com/2025/06/11/t...
The false promise of new technology: the British Army and the (new) calibre debate
Ammunition calibre. Should bullets be larger or smaller? It's key debate for thinking about warfare. Read one expert view .
wavellroom.com
🚨 The latest HCSS report by strategic advisor @jmichael424.bsky.social is recommended by Retd Army Major General @warinthefuture.bsky.social Mick Ryan as one of the top five war and national security reads of the week:
The Big Five - 8 June edition
My regular update on global conflict. This week, a Pacific-focus with the Trump-Xi call, Chinese spies in Taiwan and a detailed look at Taiwan’s evolving version of Ukraine’s drone wall concept.
buff.ly
🚨 Why do deterrence efforts fail? Often, it’s not what is said, but how it’s said. New report by HCSS strategic advisor @jmichael424.bsky.social explores the power—and pitfalls—of deterrence warning messages. 📘 Read more: hcss.nl/report/deter...
Deterrence Warning Messages: A Short Guide for NATO - HCSS
Why do deterrence efforts fail? Often, it’s not what is said, but how it’s said. In a new report, HCSS strategic advisor Dr. Jeffrey H. Michaels explores how the success or failure of deterrence often...
hcss.nl
I'm delighted to share my latest paper - "Deterrence Warning Messages: A Short Guide for NATO" - published by @hcss.bsky.social hcss.nl/wp-content/u... @shashj.bsky.social @luissimonn.bsky.social @ldfreedman.bsky.social @nktpnd.bsky.social @osinga.bsky.social @warmatters.bsky.social
hcss.nl
🚨 Words matter: from WWI to Ukraine, poorly delivered warnings have often led to deterrence failure. Coming this week: a new HCSS report by @jmichael424.bsky.social shows how NATO can get deterrence right—starting with communication.
News agencies swarming to Bolivia to get a comment from Edward Luttwak!
