Interesting point in the latest report from the EIA. Despite higher LNG exports from the US, domestic natural gas prices in 2027 are expected to be lower, because production increases more than enough to cover the extra LNG exported.
CICERO Center for International Climate Research
@cicero.oslo.no
CICERO Center for International Climate Research is Norway’s foremost institute for interdisciplinary climate research.
At the end of 2025, the Netherlands saw a sharp increase of BEV registrations as purchases were brought forward to avoid new tax rules. But now in September that rate of BEVs is being reached without the threat of imminent tax changes. This is the trend.
Data updated through September so far: ▸Chile ▸India ▸Ireland ▸Italy ▸Norway ▸Portugal ▸Spain ▸Sweden ▸Switzerland ▸Thailand
Collected vehicle registration data
Frequently updated charts and data for new vehicle registrations across countries.
robbieandrew.github.io
Hydrogen cars are the future. And if you believe that, I know a guy in Norway with 82 of them he's desperate to unload.
If the US bans exports of diesel, prices will probably go UP in some parts of the US. Why? Because they import diesel and face international prices, which would go up with an export ban.
Donald the Deadbeat Does Diesel
Trump gets ready to stiff more contractors
paulkrugman.substack.com
"Current [El Nino] forecasts suggest that the 2026 event could push global mean surface temperatures in 2027 to almost 1.8°C above pre-industrial levels" 😱 Good rundown of El Nino impacts via @zekehausfather.com www.nature.com/articles/d41...
"More than 13 million people across seven provinces have been exposed to toxic smoke.... Between Aug. 18 and Sept. 21, health officials recorded nearly 175,000 cases. About a quarter of these were children under 5 years old." 🎁🔗
Millions in Indonesia Breathe In Toxic Haze From Months of Wildfires (Gift Article)
For months, millions of people have been living under a stifling blanket of toxic haze, fueled by a punishing drought brought on by the El Niño weather pattern.
nytimes.com
Just for the record, @glenpeters.bsky.social called this the day before @carbonbrief.org!
The Washington Post@washingtonpost.com · 2w agoPresident Trump’s war on Iran, now in its seventh month, has led to a plunge in the consumption of oil and gas around the world as fighting disrupts production and transportation. https://wapo.st/4ycPvNA
"The capacity of operating and planned sodium-ion gigafactories in China has risen to more than 400 gigawatt hours, compared with just 11 in the rest of the world" 🎁🔗
Western companies lag China in sodium battery race
Cells using abundantly available materials could help break the grip on metals needed for EVs and energy storage
giftarticle.ft.com
I am in Bangkok for the @ipcc.bsky.social 2nd Lead Author Meeting for the 7th Assessment Report, Working Group III Mitigation of Climate Change. The ongoing flooding of Bangkok is a stark reminder of the consequences of extreme weather events.
The US EIA is currently forecasting US fossil-fuel emissions to drop by 1.7% in 2026. robbieandrew.github.io/USA/
When I think of the Strait of Hormuz & the discussions on whether it leads to a change in emissions trajectory as people get off oil-based products, I think of this graph... It took 4-5 years for aviation to fully rebound after COVID! Figure from here: robbieandrew.github.io/internationa...
Is it now that we start to see the real consequences of the combined conflicts in the Middle East and Russia? It seems that capacity outside of the Middle East and Russia is being reached, with prices rising accordingly. But for how long and how far?
Turkey's passenger car fleet is split relatively evenly between diesel, petrol, and LPG vehicles. Battery-electrics and hybrids are starting to bite in.
Not to quibble, but why are they calling them greenhouse gas emissions if they do nothing to the climate? www.epa.gov/newsreleases...
What might global fossil CO2 emissions do in 2026? Based on IEA estimates, fossil CO2 emissions could decline 0.5% in 2026. A big 2.4% drop in oil & small 0.5% drop in gas, is partially offset by a 1.2% increase in coal. All very uncertain! www.energiogklima.no/nyhet/hormuz...
"If the move survives expected legal challenges, it could also prevent future administrations from regulating greenhouse gas emissions from power plants." "Legal experts have called the plan vulnerable."
E.P.A. Will Erase Limits on Climate Pollution From Power Plants (Gift Article)
Generation of electricity is the second largest source of carbon dioxide and other planet-warming gases in the United States.
nytimes.com
"Chinese cars typically contain around 1,000-2,000 different parts, whereas European competitors are still wrangling 3,000-10,000" [paywalled article]
Chinese carmakers are bringing their factories to the world
Incumbents will have to accelerate to compete
economist.com
India's power generation this year is sitting well ahead of last year's. The general trend is ever up, but 2025 was an exception with its high rainfall. This year the El Niño has reduced rainfall, and temperatures are higher, as well as agricultural irrigation pumping. robbieandrew.github.io/india/
In India's National Capital Region, new light-duty goods vehicles will need to be electric, phased by district, starting as soon as 1 January 2027. This is part of work to address chronic air pollution problems in the region.
Delhi-NCR new pollution rules: What CAQM curbs mean for CNG freight vehicles
The CAQM has announced new measures to improve air quality in Delhi-NCR. Under the guidelines, new registrations of light goods vehicles in high vehicle density districts will be limited to electric v...
india.com
Skal den siste oljen være norsk? Scenarioer er ikke ment for å spå framtiden, men for å endre den, sier CICERO-forsker @idasogn.bsky.social. Scenarioer som viser kraftig fall i norsk olje- og gassproduksjon brukes som argument for å øke leteaktiviteten på norsk sokkel. cicero.oslo.no/no/artikler/...
Who would have thought that a report by a bunch of scientists is so concerning to some of the worlds most powerful countries. (...or is this a proxy battle about other issues)
Financial Times@financialtimes.com · last mo.An IPCC stand-off risks a historic climate rupture ft.trib.al/X1SKXvw | opinion
Half way through the year, Indian CO2 emissions have grown 2.7% (Jan-Jun). Get more figures and information on India here robbieandrew.github.io/india/
The European Commission has published the first update of its global GHG emissions dataset, "EDGAR", with estimates through 2025.
EDGAR - The Emissions Database for Global Atmospheric Research
edgar.jrc.ec.europa.eu
Also see Carbon Brief www.carbonbrief.org/guest-post-w... @konstantinweber.bsky.social @brunncy.bsky.social @retoknutti.bsky.social
Guest post: Why tough methane cuts are crucial for keeping warming ‘well-below’ 2C - Carbon Brief
The study highlights that, to limit peak warming to well-below 2C, net-zero CO2 targets must be complemented by stringent methane emissions cuts.
carbonbrief.org
To minimise peak warming levels, net CO2 emissions need to reach net zero as soon as possible AND methane emissions need to decline rapidly. It is not a trade-off between CO2 & CH4, both need to be reduced as much as feasible, as fast as possible! www.nature.com/articles/s43...
