Sem Oxenaar

@soxenaar.bsky.social

Excited about heat and building decarbonisation, working @regassistproj - heating & cooling / industrial electrification / district heating / heat planning

Beach holidays in the climate crisis, France. As an old viral quote said: “Climate change will manifest as a series of disasters viewed through phones with footage that gets closer and closer to where you live until you’re the one filming it.”

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BREAKING: Electrification Action Plan dropped. The EU just committed to doubling electrification: 46% of final energy consumption by 2040, up from 23% today, where it has sat for a decade. My rapid response analysis of the Electrification Action Plan: open.substack.com/pub/janrosen...

Nine times faster: the EU wants to double electrification by 2040

The Commission has launched its Electrification Action Plan. A 46% target and some serious policy measures.

open.substack.com

NEW: Our first-ever dataset shows national development banks (NDBs) could unlock at least $28 billion/year for renewable energy by shifting finance away from fossil fuels. Why does this matter you say? 🧵⬇️

NEW RESEARCH: One German tabloid coined one word. "Heizungshammer" spread to 1,100+ articles and helped to effectively kill Germany's heating law. We analysed 333 BILD articles to trace how tabloid framing became legislation. Out today, open access: www.sciencedirect.com/science/arti...

Heating up the headlines: How tabloid framing reshaped Germany's Buildings Energy Act

Media has become a decisive force in shaping climate and energy policy, influencing not only which issues gain attention but also how they are framed …

sciencedirect.com

New short paper by me: what should we do about industrial electricity prices? I've found the debate on industrial energy a bit light on evidence, so I've tried to dig into the data. My headline take is: we need to target subsidies carefully and help businesses do more to lower their bills...

How could the UK lower its industrial electricity prices?

Given the high cost of subsidy and the relatively small number of energy intensive industries left in the UK, support for industrial electricity bills should remain targeted at businesses most in need...

nesta.org.uk

Finally. This week Von Der Leyen said "electrifying Europe means making Europe more independent" in her response to the Oil price crisis. Compare that to the response to the Gas price crisis 2022/2023 when VDL announced the creation of a hydrogen bank..

For the first time ever, heat pumps outsold gas boilers in Germany in 2025. 48% of all new heating systems installed last year were heat pumps. Gas fell to just 39%. A decade ago, heat pumps had a 7% market share. The transformation has been remarkable.

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Today, it is celebrating its 10,000th! From 100 to 10,000 in 15 years: that means that on average, approximately one #EV charging station (with two charging points) was built per day in Amsterdam.

Number of on-street EV charging points in Amsterdam 2009 - 2026  Highlighted in text: 4 March 2011: # 100 4 March 2026: 10.000

Following David's lead, I also posted on FB and was surprised by the positive response. Spread the word about what's happening here. People want to know.

I don't post much on here anymore but I need everyone to understand what it's like in Minnesota right now.

It's terrifying here. Our communities are under attack.

ICE is pulling people out of cars, rolling up to business and child care centers, detaining people based on the color of their skin, the language they're speaking, or the simple act of filming ICE. There are "guardians" stationed outside my daughters' schools to make sure kids and families are safe when they're just trying to attend classes. We should not fucking have to do this.

I do not have the words to properly express my fear, anger, and heartbreak. Every day brings new scenes, new horrors that should not be tolerated even once, let alone on an ongoing basis, all encouraged by the president and his supporters, which I know includes some of the people reading this.We are just a normal city trying to do normal things, but instead we have to worry about federal agents-from the party that claims to support "small government" and "safety"-invading our neighborhoods and making everything more dangerous. Not one person I know in Minneapolis-not a single person, not even my most conservative local acquaintances-supports this or thinks it's anything other than an actual attack on our beautiful city.

Many of our neighbors are immigrants. Doctors, nurses, teachers, the teller at the bank, the Uber driver getting you to the airport-the everyday people who make up the fabric of our city. These are the people being harassed and kidnapped and worse. Good people, not "bad guys." Some families just aren't sending their kids to school right now; some parents aren't going to work.

I logged on and the Facebook algorithm served up a NY Post story about the murder of Renee Good. The algorithm showed me that people I know had liked it. Honestly, shame on you. Shame on you for buying the propaganda. Shame on you for feeding the machine of hatred. Have some empathy. I'm begging you.
David Brauer@dbrauer.net · 7mo ago

The great @usefulnoise.bsky.social made a request that we all write something about what life in Minnesota is like for folks who live elsewhere or might be outside our normal neighbothis-Bluesky footprint. So I went to cursed Facebook and wrote this. Maybe it will help you share your own thoughts.

From my post to Facebook: “A friend said those of us who live in Minneapolis should write about what's going on here for folks who live elsewhere. You need to know that whether you're a Republican, Independent or Democrat, the Constitution is being violated by our federal government. This is not about catching criminals, or even deporting people. It is about punishing an entire state, including
citizens, for not supporting the president. Everyone in my part of Minneapolis is affected. On our streets, ICE is stopping people of color and demanding their papers. In America. US citizens do not have to prove citizenship to ICE. Yet people are being intimidated, some cases beaten up and detained, for requiring ICE to follow the law. ICE needs a judicial warrant to enter homes. Yet there are documented cases of them
ignoring the law - violating a bedrock constitutional principle. Americans of color are staying home, afraid to go to work, school, to grocery shop, or fill their cars with gas. This isn't just "illegals" or immigrants with valid work permits, it is citizens who have had their cars rammed by ICE for merely looking Hispanic. Businesses are closing. Schools are 50 percent full. When they are open, fascists are calling in bomb threats because the
president decided to make us a meme. After a daycare teacher with a valid work permit (through 2030) was snatched from her workplace, parents (and grandparents) have had to organize to watch their SCHOOLS, to make sure conditional rights are observed. This is being repeated throughout Minnesota. Imagine trying to do your job or live you life while also taking volunteer shifts to make sure the federal
government doesn't act extrajudicially.
Because of ICE's documented abuses, neighbors have organized to monitor federal actions. This observation is legal, as long as it doesn't interfere with a valid action. Yet since ICE killed Renee Good, they are increasingly stopping this observation, breaking car windows and …

D-Day for Europe to shore up Ukraine funding. As EU leaders huddle in Brussels, Stephen Paduano and I analyse the reparations loan in a new piece. This is not only a "There Is No Alternative" (TINA) moment—but the financial and legal risks are also manageable. 1/ www.cer.eu/insights/ukr...

The Ukraine Reparations Loan: How to fix Europe's financial plumbing

As US support for Ukraine vanishes, Europe must overcome Belgian opposition and improvise fiscally to provide Kyiv with €210 billion.

cer.eu

🚨Just released🚨 'Tipping the balance: Cheaper electricity is needed to drive clean heating' Our brand new globally focussed paper looks at the role of energy pricing in delivering clean heat uptake and provides examples of what has been done to reduce electricity prices.

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I enjoyed my conversation with @janrosenow.bsky.social. I’ve learned a lot from his work over the years, especially his critique of using expensive green hydrogen for home heating (or baking an egg). Here we talk about how electrifying our industries can actually make them more competitive.

euobserver — EU news that matters@euobserver.com · 8mo ago

According to Oxford professor of energy Jan Rosenow, rapid electrification of Europe's industry, not rolling back the EU's Green Deal, will save European industry.

A new round of EU transport infrastructure funding has been allocated. I have compiled an overview of the recipients. Rotterdam 🇳🇱 leads. Most 🔌 funded: Rotterdam-based VARO Energy 🇳🇱🇩🇪 for 548 🚛 chargers Biggest site funded: Watthub's Maasvlakte hub (Port of Rotterdam): 50 🔌 350 kW⚡🚛

Number of public charging points supported under the second round of AFIF. Varo Energy: 548 CCS for HDV.

Europe can’t reach its clean energy goals without scaling demand flexibility. ⚡ Our new report with @ember-energy.org explains how empowering consumers to shift electricity use can cut bills, ease grid stress, and boost renewables. Read: bit.ly/4oAa8hS #EnergyTransition #Flexibility

How to scale demand flexibility in Europe | Ember

Boosting demand side flexibility can lower consumer bills and provide grid stability. Ember and RAP identify the top policy actions to scale demand flexibility.

bit.ly

The future energy bill is an electricity bill. This is why we must 'Make Electricity Cheaper' for households, businesses and industry. In our 3rd paper at RAP on this topic, Tom Butler & I look at reducing tax & levies added to electricity prices for industry. tinyurl.com/4z4v5ssd

Making electricity cheaper: Modernising taxes and levies to incentivise electrification of industrial heat

RAP experts Sem Oxenaar and Tom Butler look at the state of electricity and gas prices for industry and the impact of reducing taxes and levies.

raponline.org