Bernard Hickey

@bernardchickey.bsky.social

Podcaster and newsletter writer about housing, climate and poverty in Aotearoa. Free and paid versions here: https://open.substack.com/pub/thekaka?r=akd4&utm_medium=ios

The headline buries the lede: ❌️ Cutting benefit rates after 2yrs ❌️ Incr stand down to 26wks (up from 13wks) ❌️ Incr minimum residence period to qualify benefits from 2yrs to 5yrs These are awful, horrifying policies that will drive povery and misery #nzpol www.rnz.co.nz/news/politic...

National promises random drug testing for jobseeker beneficiaries

National is promising to introduce random drug testing for those on the jobseeker benefit to ensure they're "ready for work".

rnz.co.nz

A full room and over 300 joining online - this is a large audience, politically aware and will show up to vote. Still can't believe National sent a newbie who hadn't been briefed properly (10 different times she said, I haven't been briefed on that, when asked a question 😳)

Dr Bex@drbex.bsky.social · 5d ago

Ready now for the IHC election forum - interested to see what each of the parties have to say about disability and the promises they will make... #nzpol #IHC

This year's El Niño continues its climb into uncharted waters; Niño3.4 region anomalies are now at a 3.4C above normal (how fitting!), higher than any prior El Niño event on record. September monthly Niño3.4 anomalies also set a record at 2.9C (beating 2015 and 1877's 2.75C).

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Labour allocated no money to reversing any of this Government's benefit changes, such as indexing benefits to inflation or removing jobseeker from many 18-19-year-olds. All Barbara Edmonds would tell me about their approach was her focus was on employment: www.thepost.co.nz/politics/361...

‘Our focus is employment’: Edmonds coy on reversing benefit cuts

Barbara Edmonds has refused to say whether she will reverse any of the current Government’s benefit reforms, after her fiscal plan allocated no new money to social development.

thepost.co.nz

BREAKING: In Nebraska rally, Trump just suggested he would be unbothered to see Iran "take out" LA or San Diego: “They could take out a city,” he said. “Let them take—Let them take out Los Angeles. Let them take out San Diego. That’s—this is a very small price to pay."

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While the commentariat talk up the nascent recovery (just one more year everyone!), the next slump is already upon us. Total new lending is a decent leading indicator - clear signs of stalling. [🧵1/n]

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Six weeks ago, before “no new taxes” and before PREFU, Labour wanted spending and taxation to sit at around 33% - and was fine with the surplus arriving a year later. Now it is tying itself in knots trying to match Nicola Willis: www.thepost.co.nz/politics/361...

Why is Labour pretending it wants a big surplus?

COMMENT: Labour is sticking so tightly to National’s spending plans that its promises start to seem heroic. It doesn’t need to.

thepost.co.nz

The Post is running one of those 'ignore the austerity hyperbole' stories. A few things to note... 1. The article uses unadjusted figures throughout. If you adjust the $ for inflation and population, Govt operating expenditure in 2026/27 is below 2023/24 levels (by $144 per capita), and.... [🧵 1/n]

https://www.thepost.co.nz/politics/361090646/ignore-hyperbole-has-not-been-austerity-government

It's uncomplicated Nicola. Govt vote on creating a $100bn fund. They start to spend that fund - creating liabilities (debt) in the banking system. Govt pay interest on that. The more money Govt spend, the more money we have to pay taxes. The challenge is getting the money back, not where you find it

https://www.thepost.co.nz/politics/361091784/nicola-willis-says-100b-nz-first-policy-not-well-formed-enough-her-have-opinion-it