Individual-Level Mortality Predictions: Statistical Models vs. Machine Learning Study examined whether ML could improve individual-level lifespan predictions. www.demogr.mpg.de/go/ML-SM-LS Monica Alexander | Ugofilippo Basellini | Emilio Zagheni | Demography - the flagship journal of PAA

#EPC2026 Open Science Workshop materials are publicly available here: Slides: github.com/jschoeley/ep... Hands-on course on git, GitHub, etc: github.com/akbaritabar/...

Ugofilippo Basellini@ugobas.bsky.social · 2mo ago

Thank you @akbaritabar.bsky.social and @jschoeley.com for an excellent workshop and thanks to all participants!

Only 9.9% of top Sociology articles from 2019-2024 provided replication packages. And ≈ half of those with replication packages could not be verified due to missing or incomplete materials. www.econstor.eu/bitstream/10...

#EPC2026 workshops just kicked off with @ugobas.bsky.social starting the introduction to the @eaps.bsky.social working group on open science. Looking forward to four days of discussions and learning. @mpidr.bsky.social

Max Planck Research Group on Reproductive Ageing, led by D. Susie Lee 이수지, is starting today! It will investigate indicators of female & male reproductive ageing: https://www.demogr.mpg.de/en/news_events_6123/news_press_releases_4630/news/new_max_planck_research_group_on_reproductive_ageing_14854

There’s a long tradition of using the SVD matrix factorization to model and forecast mortality. I used the higher-order SVD to decompose a 4-way tensor of mortality and explore the possibilities that this gives us. * arxiv.org/abs/2603.20518 * arxiv.org/abs/2603.24299 * samclark.shinyapps.io/mdmx/

Multi-dimensional Mortality (MDMx): Sex-Age-Specific Model Life Tables, Fitting, Prediction from Summary Mortality Indicators, and Forecasting

Demographers rely on a variety of tools and methods to work with mortality schedules - model life tables, fitting methods, summary-indicator prediction, and forecasting - largely developed independent...

arxiv.org

Join us in Bologna for the 1st meeting of the EAPS WG Open Science in Demography. Program: group intro + 2h workshop led by @jschoeley.com & @akbaritabar.bsky.social. Free & open to all. Register: eaps.opensci@gmail.com #EPC2026 #OpenScience #Demography @eaps.bsky.social @populationeu.bsky.social

In “Limits of Predicting Individual-Level Longevity,” Badolato et al. assess a range of classic statistical & machine learning survival analysis models. @nickirons.bsky.social @monjalexander.bsky.social @ugobas.bsky.social @ezagheni.bsky.social @mpidr.bsky.social read.dukeupress.edu/demography/a...

PhD opportunity! CPop is opening a fully funded three year PhD position on lifespan inequalities. Apply here 👇 fa-eosd-saasfaprod1.fa.ocs.oraclecloud.com/hcmUI/Candid...

PhD scholarship for research project on lifespan inequalities across social determinants of health

The Interdisciplinary Centre on population Dynamics (CPop) at the University of Southern Denmark (SDU) invites applications for a fully funded three year PhD position within a Danish Research Council ...

fa-eosd-saasfaprod1.fa.ocs.oraclecloud.com

Call for papers: joint conference of the Canadian Population Society and the Association des démographes du Québec; to be held in Ottawa on May 25-28: event.fourwaves.com/cps-adq-2026...

CPS-ADQ 2026 Joint Meeting

Join CPS-ADQ 2026 Joint Meeting, May 25-28, 2026. Learn more on Fourwaves.

event.fourwaves.com

Over a dozen ways to decompose life expectancy, all in one (we hope) friendly interface. Please have a look at the LEdecomp R package cran.r-project.org/web/packages... See the function LEdecomp() for access to all of them. If we left something out, please shout! #rstats #demography #mortality

LEdecomp: Decompose Life Expectancy by Age (and Cause)

A set of all-cause and cause-specific life expectancy sensitivity and decomposition methods, including Arriaga (1984) &lt;<a href="https://doi.org/10.2307%2F2061029" target="_top">doi:10.2307/2061029<...

cran.r-project.org

In “...Educational Expansion to Trends in Life Expectancy & Lifespan Variation,” @jdzazueta.bsky.social @ugobas.bsky.social @ezagheni.bsky.social et al. show how expansion contributes to ↑ expectancy and ↓ variation. @oxforddemsci.bsky.social @mpidr.bsky.social read.dukeupress.edu/demography/a...

✍️ Just out: Annette Baudisch & I delve into the formal demography of fertility, birth, & reproduction timing. 👶 We use methods from mortality research to summarize when in the parental life course children are born. 📆 1/n doi.org/10.1080/0032... @sdu.dk @oxforddemsci.bsky.social @mpidr.bsky.social

Fertility, birth, reproduction: Connecting formal demographic frameworks

The conventional framework of fertility research conceptualizes childbirth from the mother’s perspective. From her perspective, birth is an uncertain and potentially recurring event. In contrast, t...

doi.org

HMDHFDplus updated to account for minor web design update of @hmdatabase.bsky.social . If you started experiencing funny behavior when using the package to read HMD data from the web, just reinstall; it's already on CRAN. #rstats #demography #mortality

Extremely grateful to be given this opportunity – and even more so for sharing this journey with the amazing @marilianep.bsky.social

Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research (MPIDR)@mpidr.bsky.social · 11mo ago

🎉🎊A week full of celebrations ✨Two ERC Starting Grants for the MPIDR✨ We are thrilled to announce that @marilianep.bsky.social and @ugobas.bsky.social have each been awarded with an ERC Starting Grant by the @erc.europa.eu. #ERCStG www.demogr.mpg.de/en/news_even... #ERCStartingGrant #longevity

Mentoring & advising doctoral researchers is at the very heart of the PHDS School. We are much indebted to PHDS faculty for their invaluable services in mentoring predocs as well as to Thomas Koch for leading a two-day workshop on "Supervising Doctoral Researchers" @mpidr.bsky.social. Thank you all!

📢 Call for submissions for European Population Conference 2026 (3–6 June, Bologna) is open! Organized by EAPS & University of Bologna. 💡 More information: www.eaps.nl/epc/european...

✨20th anniversary of the European Doctoral School of Demography✨On this day 20 years ago(Sept 1, 2005) the EDSD opened its doors @mpidr.bsky.social for the 1st time. Today, we welcome the 21st cohort. We wish everyone a great year of study, research & networking! www.demogr.mpg.de/en/news_even...

🚨Open Positions!🚨 Postdoc/Research Scientist Positions Migration | Population Dynamics | Computational Demography Application Deadline: Oct 10, 2025 See job description here: www.demogr.mpg.de/en/career_61... #Postdoc #Jobs @ezagheni.bsky.social @perrottadaniela.bsky.social @ugobas.bsky.social

Apply now for our five-day doctoral course on Topics in Digital and Computational Demography, which will take place in hybrid format from November 3-7, 2025. Details: www.demogr.mpg.de/en/career_61... Application deadline is September 28, 2025.

#LifeExpectancy rose rapidly in the first half of the 20th century. But will those born between 1939 and 2000 benefit from these rapid gains in #longevity? A recent study suggests that none of these #generations will reach 100 years of age on average. 1/2 www.demogr.mpg.de/go/LifeExpectancy2025

I am looking for a postdoc to join my ERC StG project DIVREP to work on global, quantitative analyses of fertility and reproductive behaviour. The post is based in the Department of Sociology at the University of Oxford. Let me know if you have any questions. More details below👇

Sociology at Oxford@sociologyoxford.bsky.social · 12mo ago

🚨 New Job Alert! 🚨 Join Dr @ewabatyra.bsky.social as a Postdoc Researcher in Demography! Contribute to a global study on disparities in reproductive behaviour, focusing on childbearing age & fertility levels 👨‍👩‍👦‍👦 Apply now 👉 www.sociology.ox.ac.uk/event/postdo...

In this piece in honour of Jim Vaupel I pull the veil from hidden heterogeneity. I show how the observed distribution of frailties changes in a cohort of newborns over the first month of life and quantify mortality selection and its impact on the age pattern of neonate mortality. Fully reproducible.

Demographic Research@demresjournal.bsky.social · last yr.

Hidden population heterogeneity: Using highly stratified neonatal cohort lifetables @jschoeley.com shows how mortality selection acts on the observed distribution of frailties and provides a test for the selection hypothesis of "ontogenescence". www.demographic-research.org/articles/vol...

🚨 The end of an era for global health data — and a defining crossroads. In Jan 2025, the DHS Program—the backbone of health & demographic data in 90+ countries—was terminated after US aid cuts of up to 84%. Our researchers & global collaborators reflect on it in a recent pre-print🧵

Open call for Associate Editors at our journal!! To find out more about requirements and application procedures 👀 here www.demographic-research.org/files/Call_f...

#ROSW2025🔒🔓🔐 "The Workshop was an important step towards promoting #openscience practices in demographic research. In addition to the benefits for science & the general public, there are already many personal incentives (..) for adhering to open science practices." www.demogr.mpg.de/en/news_even...

Hey demographers! We're starting up the formal demography working group again! Next Friday 16 May at 11:30am ET @hggaddy.bsky.social will talk to us about challenges in estimating crisis mortality. Excited! Head to the website to sign up for Zoom details: formaldemography.github.io/working_group/

The MultiCause network meeting will be held October 16-17, 2025, at UPF in Barcelona. All topics related to multiple causes of death are welcome. Submit your abstract by April 21: More info: mcod.web.ined.fr/wiki/Accueil #mortality #mcod @cedemografia.bsky.social @ined-english.bsky.social

Our short course on Subnational Probabilistic Population Projections at PAA 2025 (description attached) will now be hybrid. To ask to join remotely, email raftery@uw.edu from your professional email by April 7 with subject “Join PAA workshop”, saying why you want to.

Attending #IPC2025 in Brisbane and interested in #mortality #forecasting? Register for our hands-on workshop on “Advances in Mortality Forecasting” (11-12 July) ipc2025.iussp.org/side-meeting... @mpidr.bsky.social @ined.bsky.social