Fred Little

@doclittle.bsky.social

Global Affairs, American Literature, East Asian Studies. Active practitioner of Koryū Budō, Bukkyō, Shintō. Lapsed poet. Struggling Hammond Organist. Former Academic Administrator @ Columbia University & NJIT.

Unless of course you're pro-Israel, but most Democratic voters are unequivocally not pro Israel and this is obviously becoming an active disaffecting issue for enthusiasm.

It's essentially a ratcheting effect where they work as hard as possible to ensure the DP nominates the rightmost candidate on the issue and then they just stop spending altogether after that, because they are fine with either a right wing Democrat or a Republican. That's really bad for Dems!

The supermajority of money AIPAC has is also sourced from donors who are near universally MAGA or MAGA aligned. So, it's 1) Republican donor money, 2) being spent primarily on Democratic primaries, and 3) that spending immediately stops in general elections when both candidates are AIPAC approved.

Progressives have long tried to remind centrists that AIPAC is primarily funded by MAGA supporters and primarily spends against liberals and leftists alike in Democratic primaries. Now this crystalizes it even more.

An actually underrated potential positive for Dems in light of Abdul’s victory is that it gives traditionally centrist or otherwise poor Dems on Palestine on an easy out for polarizing against AIPAC and pro-Israel politics— they’re trying to cost Dems the Senate.

A big majority of Americans want the
U.S. government to stop sending American $$ to Israel's reckless regime and to end the war in Iran.
Yet AIPAC is threatening to spend to deliver the Republicans a critical Senate seat in Michigan, helping a Trump stooge like Mike Rogers who will keep funding Netanyahu's wars and do nothing to stop Trump's Iran War.
This is exactly why so many
Democrats like me have rejected
AIPAC.

There is a substantial chunk of the electorate that thinks of themselves as Republicans, that still tends to vote Republican, but wants Republicans to win fair and square. They like GOP policies, but they also like democracy. (And yes, that's a contradiction. Voters are vast.)

Schumer's coalition thought they could nip the whole thing in the bud with Mamdani, and the shock when it didn't work left a lasting grievance. At this point they realize they're gonna keep losing. They'll keep trying to win, but when they lose it won't create that same deep-seated psychic wound.

Must admit that I don't really understand what it is about Mamdani that made Schumer deem him essentially persona non grata. (I do get that El Sayed is a *senatorial* candidate, so the stakes for Schumer are more direct).

Chuck Schumer endorses El-Sayed after win, knocks Rogers as 'Trump rubber stamp'

Schumer, who had backed Rep. Haley Stevens in race against El-Sayed, says Democrats are united by common purpose: 'putting a check on Donald Trump by defeating his Republican enablers and taking back ...

haaretz.com

In 2010, the Tea Party ousted TWO Republican incumbents, one who had switched parties from Dem in the previous cycle. DSA has now ousted THREE incumbent Democrats now that Donavan McKinney has defeated Shri Thanedar.

Right. The threat of losing control of the fundraising apparatus is what is underlying the DNC fight too. It’s normal for people to want to keep their jobs and fight for them. Political consultants depend on fundraising for their salaries and if that system changes…time for a career change

Trojan Duck@yossarian320.bsky.social · 17h ago

Losing control of the party fundraising apparatus is a much bigger deal for them than losing a single election. In the latter case, your favorite Wall Street stooge lives to fight another day. In the former, time for a career change. This is why they freak out when progressives win.

The co-founder of the 2024 National Uncommitted Movement, Abbas Alawieh, decisively won his primary to become a State Senator in Michigan. Abbas was endorsed by both Bernie Sanders and Gretchen Whitmer. Abbas Alawieh also privately met with former VP Kamala Harris last month upon her request.


Candidate
Votes

%

Abbas Alawieh (D)
23,722
59%
Erin Byrnes (D)
16,567
41%
100% of Precincts Reporting
(87 / 87)

El-Sayed: "My commitment to Jewish safety is the same commitment that I have to the safety of my own daughters. Because if there is one question of political philosophy that ought to animate us all, it's what would we do if we treated all our kids like they were all of our kids?"

A gracious concession: “I want to congratulate Abdul El-Sayed on winning the Democratic nomination for U.S. Senate. He is a doctor, a community health official, a Rhodes Scholar, and a dedicated Michigander. I am proud to offer my support as he takes on Mike Rogers in the general election…

Bild

This is the right thing to say and I wholeheartedly support it and believe it but it is frustrating and aggravating that he's been saying this for months and months and, like Mamdani, some people on here take this as a rhetorical pivot after the primary rather than just sincerity.

Aaron Rupar@atrupar.com · 15h ago

El-Sayed: "My commitment to Jewish safety is the same commitment that I have to the safety of my own daughters. Because if there is one question of political philosophy that ought to animate us all, it's what would we do if we treated all our kids like they were all of our kids?"

A million others have said this, but anecdotally living in Michigan I have only seen a sign for her once and never talked to someone who was a proponent for her. Bad centrist politics aside, she has no juice. Even from a pure electability perspective it’s no contest between her and El Sayed.

Patrick Fenelon@patrickfenelon.bsky.social · yesterday

If you think Democrats taking back the senate is out of reach because El-Sayed is winning the Michigan primary, I don't know what to tell you. There is no planet where someone as odd/off-putting as Stephens was the more electable of the two.

For those who look to support or oppose candidates based on their stance on #UBI, the Michigan election today is interesting in how both El-Sayed and Stevens seem open to UBI. El-Sayed actually has it on his Senate platform page while Stevens backed monthly non-means-tested $1,000/mo checks in 2020.

A screencap from abdulforsenate.com/priority/money-in-your-pocket

Artificial Intelligence 
Government decisions around world-changing technology like AI should not be left to unaccountable corporations. Rather than replace us, AI should be a tool to enhance our lives. Further, the speed and lack of transparency with which these technologies are being developed opens the door to serious risks that powerful AI may fall into the wrong hands or escape human control altogether. That’s why I support legislation to create guardrails around when, how, and for what purposes AI is deployed. And I oppose efforts to pre-empt state action without federal legislation in place. 

To address the risk of massive automation of our jobs, I support exploring income protection programs such as wage insurance and basic income, worker investment through unions, adjusting our tax system to stop penalizing human employment and rewarding automation, and investment in small business revolving loan funds. 

And to address the security risks, I believe we must develop clear “rules of the road” for AI development that governs which hands this technology falls into and requires us to better test and understand the models being developed. This includes clear safety testing standards for frontier models; liability and incident reporting standards; compute controls, including “know your customer” requirements for compute providers; and the creation of an independent technical agency with real enforcement power, like to the Food & Drug Administration, for AI. stevens.house.gov/media/press-releases/stevens-opposes-targeted-approach-direct-cash-assistance

March 20, 2020
Press Release
Yesterday, Congresswoman Haley Stevens (MI-11) sent a letter to Speaker of the House Nancy Pelosi arguing that a targeted approach to direct cash assistance as part of forthcoming COVID-19 relief packages could cause families that urgently need this assistance to fall through the cracks.  

ICYMI: Congresswoman Haley Stevens Backs $1,000 Cash Assistance — Or More — In Response to COVID-19 (WDET, 3/19/2020) 

“As the House and Senate work to establish an economic relief package to secure the economic foundations of this country and most importantly the financial security of every American, I would like to support ongoing efforts to ensure direct payments are getting into the hands of Americans who need it as soon as possible,” wrote Congresswoman Stevens. “This week, your office has indicated your support for a targeted approach to cash assistance, refundable tax credits, and unemployment insurance to those below a certain income level. In addition to increasing administrative burden and time to disbursements, such an approach may cause families that urgently need this assistance to fall through the cracks.”

The full text of the letter can be found attached or below.

“As the House and Senate work to establish an economic relief package to secure the economic foundations of this country and most importantly the financial security of every American, I would like to support ongoing efforts to ensure direct payments are getting into the hands of Americans who need it as soon as possible.  

This week, your office has indicated your support for a targeted approach to cash assistance, refundable tax credits, and unemployment insurance to those below a certain income level. In addition to increasing administrative burden and time to disbursements, such an approach may cause families that urgently need this assistance to fall through the cracks.