Doug Clow

@dougclow.bsky.social

I help people understand things and change them, with data. Views here my own. "I can't quite work out whether you're a tremendously silly man, a tremendously serious man or, as I suspect, a rather unholy combination of both." dougclow.org/contact

This is a great report about a desperate and disappointing situation. Extra resources are going in to A&E but improvements are small. The report highlights patient flow throughout the system, incl primary care, community care, and social care. There's no fix to the NHS without a fix to social care.

Hetan Shah@hetanshah.bsky.social · 3h ago

NHS England has increased resources and made small improvements, but while there has been progress on reducing waiting times, this has been slow and many of the expected benefits from its 2023 recovery plan have not yet been realised - new @nao.org.uk report www.thetimes.com/article/7858...

I'm too sad for a hot-desk lunch. I'm too hunched for a fad launch. I'm too hench for a dadless sot. I'm a husk, I'm a lot. I'm lossless. I'm a sunk lad.

Advertising placard reading "You're too hot for a sad desk lunch".

The government won a big majority in large part on the promise of fixing the NHS. Their main change to date has been a massive top-down reorganisation with no coherent vision, strong rationale, or detailed plan. And now that reorganisation itself is in deep limbo. I doubt this is optimal.

Institute for Government@instituteforgovernment.org.uk · 2d ago

The Health Bill is back in the House of Commons today. But the intention to abolish NHS England presents a legislative headache for the new government www.instituteforgovernment.org.uk/comment/yvet...

When I find a number that looks wrong, and I can safely assume good faith, I am a huge fan of leading with "Am I misunderstanding here?" It makes it much easier for them to back down if they're wrong and also makes it easier for me to do so if I'm wrong. But you can't always assume good faith.

Adam Kucharski@adamjkucharski.bsky.social · last wk.

If a number looks odd to you, there are generally 3 explanations: - you’ve misunderstood something - the number involves a genuine mistake - someone is trying to mislead you And faced with this ambiguity, people often choose whichever option reflects their prior outlook on the world. 2/2

Shingles vaccination is really good! But perhaps this specific one is not quite as much better as this particular paper suggests. Natural experiments can lead you astray, causal inference is hard. There’s a reason randomised controlled trials are gold standard.

Peter Tennant@pwgtennant.bsky.social · 2w ago

Does the new shingles vaccine (Shingrix) protect against cardiovascular disease (CVD)? Yes, according to a new 'natural experiment' study in @natmed.nature.com. But the truth is sadly far less convincing! Pull up a chair and let's examine another peer review failure in a Nature journal. 1/10 🧵

The NAO is one of the gems of British public life. They are after non-executive directors: hope they can make some strong appointments.

Hetan Shah@hetanshah.bsky.social · 2w ago

It’s really important that independent organisations can hold Government to account. I’m on the Board of @nao.org.uk which does this and we are looking for two new Board members. Could you help spread the word so we can get the best possible field of candidates roles.saxbam.com/advert-detai...

NAO
National Audit Office
National Audit
Office
Non-Executive Directors

My heart did sink slightly reading the headline that the beleaguered ONS “is turning to AI”, given their deep data quality issues. But it does seem sensible stuff: as a classifier that outperforms humans, and as coding assistants for data scientists. www.ft.com/content/b153...

UK statistics agency turns to AI to cut costs and improve data

ONS says technology will help save thousands of hours a year as it seeks to strengthen core output

ft.com

Paul Mainwood@paulmainwood.bsky.social · 2w ago

Hmm. Up to a point, Lord Copper.

Well done everyone, you’ve all done very well this week! With all the heat, achieving anything is a big win. Well done for making it to the weekend without literally melting, and I hope it is at least as good to you as you deserve.

I saw the total eclipse! Fulfilment of a childhood dream. When I learned about the 1999 eclipse as a kid I realised I would be a grownup in that far future and could go to France for it. I did, but it was cloudy for totality. Careful planning for a clear skies location paid off this time. Woohoo!

Bad photo of a total eclipse. You can see the a bright ring around the moon and some people standing around looking at it.

This is a really excellent summary and analysis of the current state of the art for LLMs doing mathematics. The one nuance I’d dare to add is even greater significance on the fact that dead ends of exploration are massively underrepresented in training data vs human mathematicians’ experience.

Timothy Gowers@wtgowers.bsky.social · 4w ago

I've just written a blog post about whether current LLMs are better at some kinds of mathematics than others, with an emphasis on "current", given how quickly the situation is developing. gowers.wordpress.com/2026/08/12/w...

I’ve had a broad exposure to universities, companies, and charities/third sector, plus contact with health and local/national government. My sense is it’s hard to generalise: there are great and terrible workplaces and bosses across all of them & individual depts can buck the organisation’s trend.

doop@doop.bsky.social · 4w ago

I left academia to work for a large US bank; I remember when at the new place my colleague's jaw hit the floor as I casually mentioned how much less dysfunctional the internal politics was. If anything the most depressing thing is that I don't regret leaving academia at all.

The “Dobby’s Grave vs infrastructure” story is wrong. “the fact that it’s a beautiful beach and tourist asset […] were all taken into account. […] Harry Potter fans didn’t cause anything to be changed. The project got permission really quite quickly and has been in operation for a while now.”

Dan Davies@dsquareddigest.bsky.social · 4w ago

I have written up the "Dobby's Grave" chortle, with my concerns about what it *really* says about the problems with British infrastructure ... backofmind.substack.com/p/chortle-on...

This is why the entire university sector is in dire straits. International students are the only thing that actually makes money: domestic undergraduates and almost all research activities need cross-subsidy, and international students are *the* source (except for a few wealthy colleges).

Sunder Katwala (sundersays)@sundersays.bsky.social · last mo.

Sunday Times research finds universites down £550+ million on international (aggregate across the 55 universities with lower international fee income of 128 surveyed)

Annual revenue from international students. Change over 2 years. Coventry dowm £74m