Doug McNeall
@dougmcneall.bsky.social
Science Lead for Data-Driven Climate Modelling @ UK Met Office | University of Exeter | AI, UQ, Countering mis/disinformation. dougmcneall.com
When the story of why humanity didn't stop climate change is written, it will feature front pages like this. Even as the skies blacken with climate change-induced wildfires, right wing media continue their relentless crusade against measures to tackle it.
Hey, thanks North America, we have your wildfire smoke now.
Have you noticed an opaqueness to the blue sky this morning? Wildfire smoke from North America is drifting south across the UK, meaning the clear skies may not be as blue as you might expect 🌤️
@robinsonmeyer.bsky.social at @heatmap.news points out that the smoke days we're experiencing were not foreseen by climate models & so nobody has reckoned on their cost in lives, health, & economic disruption—which appear to be MORE than EVERY OTHER climate impact PUT TOGETHER.
This long BBC story on the UK heatwave - otherwise excellent - follows a recently observed pattern in that it DOES NOT mention that climate change is caused by human activity, such as emissions of greenhouse gases. www.bbc.co.uk/weather/arti...
UK weather: Heatwave hits two-week mark as dry spell continues
All UK nations have experienced recent heatwave conditions but in southern England, the heatwave has now continued for 14 days.
bbc.co.uk
IT’S JUST HOTTER NOW
Spent the past two weeks making graphics about sweltering night-time temperatures while struggling to sleep because of those same hot nights... NEW: Tropical nights come to Europe w @attractamooney.bsky.social and @nassosstylianou.bsky.social as.ft.com/r/4929ae6c-e...
If you live in a city, having an electric cargo bike is like a superpower. It’s also an all-time great parenting hack if you have young kids. Here’s school dropoff this morning - at least 6 in a row.
⚠️More than 2,700 excess deaths estimated in England and Wales during May and June heatwaves 🌡️ Climate change added between 3-4°C to maximum temperatures and is estimated to be responsible for about 42% of the deaths across both heatwaves 🧵
France just broke it's all time record for night-time minimum temperature: 30.6°C at Vives Is this an 'infernal night'? meteofrance.com/actualites-e...
Canicule : retour de très fortes chaleurs et nuits chaudes | Météo-France
Cette fin de semaine et ce week-end, la chaleur monte encore d'un cran, avec des nuits chaudes sur la majeure partie du pays. En journée, les températures s’intensifient en particulier dimanche, à l'o...
meteofrance.com
AI weather prediction model Aurora 1.5 has been released. We're exploring how to use and modify it for Earth system uses. www.microsoft.com/en-us/resear...
Aurora 1.5: Extending open foundation models for weather and Earth-system applications - Microsoft Research
Aurora 1.5 adds 22 more variables, hourly temporal resolution, and probabilistic ensemble forecasting to the Aurora foundation model, making it more useful for real-world weather, climate, and energy ...
microsoft.com
So we know the parliamentary authorities insist on a collar and tie. The burning question today is - where do they stand on bin-shaped helmets?
M&S saw the plausible weather forecast for 2056, peaking at 45°C, that we produced with the Met Office and made the decision to invest in upgraded refrigeration. This comes after some of their fridges brown down during the recent heatwave. www.independent.co.uk/news/busines...
A massive marine heat wave in the Pacific, spanning an area 8x the contiguous US, is expected to intensify storms, exacerbate heat waves on land, and raise sea levels, particularly along the California coast. Climate change will increase the frequency and intensity of marine heat waves.
The Pacific Ocean is running a fever. Why that’s an ominous sign.
A marine heat wave covering an area eight times the size of the United States could soon fuel serious storms and extreme heat.
wapo.st
Yesterday marked 70 years since the UK Clean Air Act 1956 - the first national legislation to tackle air pollution, introduced in response to the devastating Great Smog of London in 1952. The graphic below is courtesy of airqualitystripes.info. 🧵 1/5
June saw the highest ever temperatures recorded (for June) in the UK. Overall it was England's warmest ever. Overall it was sunny in England and duller in Scotland. The start of the month was cooler and wetter however. Here is the climate/weather for the past year. #climatechange #globalwamring
Robust attribution of global industrial-era glacier mass loss to anthropogenic climate change 🧊🔥 'Our central estimates are that the magnitude of the anthropogenic warming over the industrial era ranges from 91–98 % of the observed, depending on region' egusphere.copernicus.org/preprints/20...
I’m not saying The Discourse is broken, but a good chunk of TikTok is claiming that refusing air conditioning is worse than refusing gun control.
Globally, 84% of the heatwave days people were exposed to in 2020-24 would not have occurred without climate change. The rate of deaths associated with heat exposure increased by 23% from the 1990s, reaching 546,000 deaths annually. Look where people are dying. www.thelancet.com/journals/lan...
As further data from our observation network has been made available over the weekend, the provisional new UK highest June temperature on record is 37.7°C at Lingwood, Norfolk. 🌡️
MARKETING IDEA sell a drink called RAW MILK to health-conscious young people but make it safe.
At a farm shop in Devon. Some nice young lads asking for raw milk 😬😬😬😬
Just seen what I assume is a dark money fossil fuel lobby group promote fossil gas as a way of making air conditioning cheaper 😬😬😬😬😬
Imagine if hundreds of people died in hurricane or floods smashing through Europe Heatwaves have already killed that many ppl. They are a silent killer in that they dont generate outrage or fear. Hope this by @economist.com helps save lives as Europeans wake up to danger bsky.app/profile/eate...
My round up of @economist.com's heatwave coverage (gift link) www.economist.com/europe/2026/...
At a farm shop in Devon. Some nice young lads asking for raw milk 😬😬😬😬
Last night broke the record again for Reading - the temperature only dropped to 21.3°C. It’s now already over 26°C.
So, people of Reading, did you struggle to sleep last night? It was the warmest night on record for the town. The minimum (20.9°C) was warmer than typical June daytime maximum temperatures. Burning fossil fuels has made this heatwave hotter than it would have been without those emissions.
Interesting take, would be good to have this discussion.
I was talking to colleagues about this idea today- seems to have implications for effective sci comm - de/prebunking may be less important than building trust and giving ppl the tools to distinguish fact from fiction @hendysh.bsky.social