Duncan Webb

@duncanwebb.bsky.social

Development economics postdoc @ Princeton, incoming Assistant Prof @ NOVA SBE, focusing on discrimination, social change, and human capital www.duncan-webb.com

🔥Very cool paper showing that women in India are way more likely to take up a job (↑29%) in a female-only workplace, and that this can be explained by husbands' jealousy/desire for control. These are massive effects, equivalent to 2.5x increases in wage bit.ly/4nn9apn

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Good morning with good news: India meets 50% renewables & nuclear capacity target 5 years early! As clean capacity deploys, clean electricity production surges. Solar grew from 5 TWh in 2014 to 48 TWh in 2019 & 137 TWh in 2024. Hydro was 157 TWh; wind 82 TWh; nuclear 55 TWh in 2024. #energysky

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In the last decades, the world has made fantastic progress against extreme poverty. In 1990, 2.3 billion people lived in extreme poverty. Since then, the number of extremely poor people has declined by 1.5 *billion* people. 🧵

A stacked area chart showing the total population (split by World Bank region) living in extreme poverty, defined as living below the International Poverty Line of $3 per day. Shown from 1990 to 2025, with World Bank projections from 2026–2040. The data is adjusted for inflation and cost of living differences.

Rapid progress against extreme poverty in recent decades has slowed and is projected to end.

In 1990, 2.3 billion people lived in extreme poverty. Since then, the number of extremely poor people has declined by 1.5 billion people.

The number of people in extreme poverty is projected to decline, from 831 million people in 2025 to 793 million people in 2030. After 2030, the number of extremely poor people is expected to increase.

The data source is Lakner et al (2024), updated using the World Bank PIP (2025). The chart is licensded CC BY to Our World in Data.

We're hiring for a short-term (mid-Sept to mid-Dec) role as a field RA on an RCT about rural healthcare in northern Uganda. Must have fieldwork experience and ideally experience in Uganda/East Africa. Please share with anyone who might be interested.

Job Opportunity: Senior Field Research Associate for Uganda-based ODH Health Project

Senior Research Associate Job Description for ODH Health Project Professors Seema Jayachandran, Rebecca Dizon-Ross and Isabelle Cohen and predoc researcher Fiker Negash seek a qualified applicant for ...

rpde.princeton.edu

We ran a randomized controlled trial to see how much AI coding tools speed up experienced open-source developers. The results surprised us: Developers thought they were 20% faster with AI tools, but they were actually 19% slower when they had access to AI than when they didn't.

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Since 2000, Gavi has helped get vaccines to 1.1 billion children. The U.S. announced that, after this year, it’s pulling out all its money. If that happens, Gavi estimates that 75 million children will miss vaccinations over the next five years—and of those, 1.2 million children will die.​

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USAID has spent $2 billion supporting vaccines through GAVI. In research, published in AEJ:Economic Policy, Kartini Shastry and I find GAVI saved 1.5 million lives at a low cost of $9,000 per child saved. See the writeup of our research in VoxDev: voxdev.org/topic/health...

Effective health aid: Evidence from Gavi’s vaccine programme

Coordinated health aid for vaccination has increased coverage rates and saved the lives of children around the world.

voxdev.org

This is a travesty & a nightmare. The US was a founder of @gavi.org. It lowers global vaccine costs, has vaccinated 1B children, & averted 19M deaths. This pull out will cost 100s of thousands of children's lives a year - and RFK Jr will be personally responsible. www.politico.com/news/2025/06...

RFK Jr. says US won’t donate to global vaccine effort

Kennedy ripped into Gavi, the Vaccine Alliance, in a video address at its pledging summit.

politico.com

The CBO has analyzed the distributional impacts of H.R. 1, a.k.a. the One Big Beautiful Bill Act. Household resources for the bottom income decile would fall by 4% ($1,600), largely due to Medicaid & SNAP cuts. The top income decile will see increases of 2.3% ($12,000), largely due to tax cuts.

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At Princeton today to celebrate the career of the brilliant and generous Janet Currie, a pioneer in the economics of children. I and the many researchers in this audience wouldn't be where we are if not for her mentorship.

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