Molly Jong-Fast

@mollyjongfast.bsky.social

Host of the Fast politics podcast, contributing Writer at The New York Times opinion and MSNBC. Subscribe to fast politics YouTube channel

Primary polling often misses because it’s hard to guess the turnout for primary elections. Campaign internal polls overrating chances typically come from believing their candidate is special and will motivate people to the polls, while their opponent is not and will lack enthusiasm. Rarely right.

HUGE: Under Mayor Mamdani, New York City just recorded its safest first 7 months of a year in history—and its safest July ever. In July: Major crime dropped 13% Murder dropped 32% Robberies dropped 15% Vehicle thefts dropped 25% Democratic mayors are putting public safety first.

REPUBLICANS POKED THE BEAR They used gerrymandering to weaken Black voting power. New data shows they helped drive higher Black voter turnout in parts of the South instead. 📌 Alabama saw one of the biggest increase in Black voter mobilization. That will matter in @dougjones.bsky.social gov race.