The Treasury needs to adapt reflect a devolved age & fragmented governance. Important new @nuffieldfoundation.org funded report by @dianecoyle1859.bsky.social Dave Richards & Martin Smith www.nuffieldfoundation.org/news/opinion...

The myth of Treasury control: What’s wrong with the UK’s public spending system and how to fix it - Nuffield Foundation

The long-standing model of centralised Treasury control over public spending has inadequately adapted to the realities of public service delivery.

nuffieldfoundation.org

A programme in #Chile that expanded access to higher education for disadvantaged youngsters has been delivering on its objective; but it has also had unintended consequences for students' efforts, reducing their study hours, grades & other measures of endeavour in the final year of high school

#India's rapid development in the C20th is a remarkable story; new pressures include converting growth into health, education & human capability; reducing dollar dependency; & navigating the transition to green energy @econ-observatory.bsky.social www.economicsobservatory.com/indias-econo...

India’s economic rise: a long and winding road - Economics Observatory

The rapid development of India in the 20th century is a remarkable story, albeit one with uneven outcomes. Today, the country faces new pressures: from converting growth into health, education and hum...

economicsobservatory.com

Whenever a score is used to allocate something valuable that can't be priced, people have an incentive to manipulate it; the policy question is whether allocation rules can be designed that deter gaming while still targeting those who genuinely merit what is being allocated @ucleconomics.bsky.social

Presence of disruptive children in a classroom can harm attainment of the wider peer group: evidence from #Ecuador shows that poor behaviour can reduce scores in both maths & languages, as well as eroding classmates’ sense of belief in their abilities or value of hard work, @ucleconomics.bsky.social

👀ICYMI | "One of the most striking features of the referendum campaign was how often economic arguments were met not with counter-evidence but with attacks on the people presenting them" #Experts #EconSky @econromesh.bsky.social

Did Brexit make us better at communicating economics? - LSE Impact

The referendum on the UK’s membership of the EU was a watershed moment for research communication. Despite a near total academic consensus on the negative economic consequences of a vote to Leave, thi...

blogs.lse.ac.uk

With #WorldCup2026 down to its final four, scorecasting suggests that the #Argentina  likelihood of retaining the trophy is up to 42%; #Spain are on 22% to win, #France  20% & #England outsiders at 15% @jjreade.bsky.social @econ-observatory.bsky.social www.economicsobservatory.com/world-cup-20...

World Cup 2026 semifinals: is football coming home? - Economics Observatory

With this World Cup’s quarterfinal ties completed over the weekend, the tournament reached a total of one hundred matches played and just four remaining: the semifinals over the next couple of evening...

economicsobservatory.com

Such a great piece by my colleage @econromesh.bsky.social - "There is one final irony. The referendum is often presented as evidence that expertise no longer matters. I draw the opposite conclusion. Expertise matters enormously. That is precisely why it became a target."

Centre for Economic Performance@cep-lse.bsky.social · 4w ago

Despite a near total academic consensus on the negative consequences of Brexit, voters were not swayed. In a new LSE Impact blog, @econromesh.bsky.social (Economics Observatory, CEP) argues economists must communicate findings as carefully as they produce them. blogs.lse.ac.uk/impactofsoci...

In this week's "On Global Markets," @duncanweldon.bsky.social examines 10 years of Brexit and how the economic impacts look to the experts in 2026: kentclarkcenter.org/brexit-ten-y...

Brexit: Ten Years On - Clark Center Forum

To mark the tenth anniversary of the United Kingdom voting to leave the European Union, the Clark Center’s US and European Economic Experts Panels recently looked – once again – at the vexed issue of ...

kentclarkcenter.org

The conflict in Iran has been reignited by disagreements about control of a critical shipping lane. But the Strait of Hormuz is not the only chokepoint making global trade vulnerable. blogs.lse.ac.uk/businessrevi...

World trade remains dangerously dependent on a handful of shipping lanes - LSE Business Review

Despite the digitisation of the global economy, world trade is still only as resilient as the physical routes it depends on.

blogs.lse.ac.uk

Excellent piece by @econromesh.bsky.social, explaining with illuminating clarity that "In an age when authority itself is contested, economists need to devote as much care to how evidence is communicated – and why it should be trusted – as they do to producing it in the first place"

John Springford@johnspringford.bsky.social · 4w ago

Interesting piece by @econromesh.bsky.social. I always thought the right frame was the trade-off between (formal) sovereignty and living standards, and we emphasised that from the start. But the Leave campaign was effective with 'wrong then, wrong now' and so forth 1/ blogs.lse.ac.uk/impactofsoci...

#WorldCup2026: the 4 quarterfinal favourites turned out winners, some with more difficulty than others Look out for semifinal scorecasts & latest probabilities on the 4 remaining teams to lift the trophy @econ-observatory.bsky.social @jjreade.bsky.social #Argentina vs #England #France vs #Spain

Interesting piece by @econromesh.bsky.social. I always thought the right frame was the trade-off between (formal) sovereignty and living standards, and we emphasised that from the start. But the Leave campaign was effective with 'wrong then, wrong now' and so forth 1/ blogs.lse.ac.uk/impactofsoci...

#WorldCup2026 - #Spain's 2-1 defeat of #Belgium was the joint most likely result of that match at 9% Tonight's most likely result, at 10%, is also 2-1, a victory for #England over #Norway #ItsComingHome ?? @jjreade.bsky.social @econ-observatory.bsky.social

Despite a near total academic consensus on the negative consequences of Brexit, voters were not swayed. In a new LSE Impact blog, @econromesh.bsky.social (Economics Observatory, CEP) argues economists must communicate findings as carefully as they produce them. blogs.lse.ac.uk/impactofsoci...

Did Brexit make us better at communicating economics? - LSE Impact

The referendum on the UK’s membership of the EU was a watershed moment for research communication. Despite a near total academic consensus on the negative economic consequences of a vote to Leave, thi...

blogs.lse.ac.uk

#WorldCup2026 Yesterday, #France were at 70% to beat #Morocco In today's quarterfinal, #Spain have a 66% likelihood of winning; #Belgium are at 34% The joint likeliest scorelines, both at 9%, are a 2-1 Spain win or a 1-1 draw Spain are at 18% to lift the trophy; Belgium 5% Latest #scorecasts

#France vs #Morocco tonight - likely outcomes: Mbappé & co are at 70% probability of winning; their opponents, Africa's last representative in the tournament, are at 30% Likeliest result at 16%: 1-0 to the French 49% chance that each team scores at most one goal #WorldCup2026

I had a lot of fun recording this podcast about my book We Are Not Machines with @timharford.ft.com live at the Bristol economics festival - watching Tim with an audience in the palm of his hand was truly watching a master at work. timharford.com/2026/07/caut...

Cautionary Tales Live – We Are Not Machines, with Sarah O’Connor

When the Luddites smashed factory frames in a bid to defend their craft and livelihoods, the machines came out on top. Today, AI and automation threaten to wipe out skilled jobs and flood us w…

timharford.com

With just eight teams remaining in #WorldCup2026, #Argentina have a 36% chance of lifting the trophy, #Spain are at 18%, #France at 17% & #England at 15% Latest scorecasts @jjreade.bsky.social @econ-observatory.bsky.social #ItsComingHome ?? www.economicsobservatory.com/world-cup-20...

World Cup 2026 quarterfinals: is football coming home? - Economics Observatory

With just eight teams remaining in the tournament, Argentina have a 36% chance of lifting the trophy, Spain are at 18%, France at 17% and England at 15%. Scorecasting analysis suggests that the most l...

economicsobservatory.com

NEW on the Economics Observatory – What is the role of the state in fostering growth and the green transition? by Delfina Godfrid & Nicholas Stern

What is the role of the state in fostering growth and the green transition? - Economics Observatory

Action to address climate change can drive strong, sustainable growth. The state is central in setting the direction of change and mobilising investment and innovation to achieve it. But time is not…

buff.ly

JUST PUBLISHED – Does the UK’s defence investment plan deliver? by Ron Smith

Does the UK’s defence investment plan deliver? - Economics Observatory

A recurrent refrain in commentaries on UK defence policy over decades is the imbalance between resources, commitments and capabilities. Unwillingness to make key decisions about money and cuts means…

buff.ly

Did Brexit make us better at communicating economics? Despite a near consensus on the negative economic consequences of leaving the EU, this message did not land. @econromesh.bsky.social on whether we have learned how Brexit reshaped public engagement with research for @lseimpactblog.bsky.social

Did Brexit make us better at communicating economics? - LSE Impact

The referendum on the UK’s membership of the EU was a watershed moment for research communication. Despite a near total academic consensus on the negative economic consequences of a vote to Leave,…

blogs.lse.ac.uk

💥New | Did Brexit make us better at communicating economics? ✍️ @econromesh.bsky.social #EconSky #AcademicSky #Experts

Did Brexit make us better at communicating economics? - LSE Impact

The referendum on the UK’s membership of the EU was a watershed moment for research communication. Despite a near total academic consensus on the negative economic consequences of a vote to Leave, thi...

blogs.lse.ac.uk

The final two games of the #WorldCup2026 last 16 kick off today - the two remaining South American teams in the tournament are strong favourites: #Argentina (86%) vs #Egypt (14%) #Colombia (73%) vs #Switzerland (27%) More @econ-observatory.bsky.social www.economicsobservatory.com/the-world-cu...

The World Cup 2026 round of 16: is football coming home? - Economics Observatory

Scorecasting analysis suggests that the likeliest match winners in the round of 16 are Argentina, Belgium, Brazil, Colombia, England, France, Morocco and Spain. The altitude in Mexico City will be som...

economicsobservatory.com

#WorldCup2026: should #Scotland have done better? Analysis @econ-observatory.bsky.social www.economicsobservatory.com/world-cup-20...

World Cup 2026: should Scotland have done better? - Economics Observatory

Scotland’s unwanted record of being the only team with as many as nine World Cup appearances never to have reached the knockout stage continues. Their fans look on enviously as other nations of compar...

economicsobservatory.com

The Festival of Economics returns to Bristol between 13-20 November 2026. Join world-class economists, policymakers and thinkers to share your perspective on the economy, challenge the experts, and contribute towards a vision for renewed economic prosperity. 🔗 www.economicsfestival.co.uk

Real-time indicator of #Eurozone economy fell again in June 2026, continuing to be affected by weak business & consumer confidence, @cepr.org #Eurocoin cepr.org/about/news/e...

€-coin decreases further in June

€-coin fell again in June (from 0.45 to 0.39).

cepr.org

After two #WorldCup2026 last 32 knockout matches decided by penalties & two with injury time winners, the winning probabilities for tonight are: #IvoryCoast (44%) vs #Norway (56%) #France (88%) vs #Sweden (12%) #Mexico (55%) vs #Ecuador (45%) - the last 32 match most likely to end in a shoot-out

Tonight’s opening #WorldCup2026 knockout game between #Canada & #SouthAfrica is the last 32 tie that’s third most likely to go to penalties - after #Ecuador vs #Mexico (43% probability) & #DRCongo against #England

#WorldCup2026: a win in #England’s last group match tonight would guarantee that they top the group The likeliest result, at 14%, is a 3-0 defeat of #Panama, with 4-0 at 12% & 2-0 at 11% #ItsComingHome ??