I have now started the migration to #ConnectCloud. It seems to be less painful than I expected, although I still have to go through one document at a time, which is probably not a bad thing, as it gives me a chance to check which documents I still need. connect.posit.cloud/fjrubio

Posit Connect Cloud

Publish your Python applications, R applications, and documents from GitHub to Posit Connect Cloud

connect.posit.cloud

F. Javier Rubio@fjrubio.bsky.social · 2d ago

It looks like #RPubs and #QuartoPub will need to be migrated to #ConnectCloud. It probably makes a lot of sense, but it's also quite a bit of work if you have several tutorials hosted only on RPubs (rpubs.com/FJRubio). Time find more efficient ways to store and manage them posit.co/blog/migrati...

It looks like #RPubs and #QuartoPub will need to be migrated to #ConnectCloud. It probably makes a lot of sense, but it's also quite a bit of work if you have several tutorials hosted only on RPubs (rpubs.com/FJRubio). Time find more efficient ways to store and manage them posit.co/blog/migrati...

JAGS 5.0.0 is released martynplummer.wordpress.com/2026/08/02/j...

Research Fellow post at LSHTM. Come and work with Njeru Njagi, Matteo Quartagno, Wende Clarence Safari, Aurélien Belot, Bernard Rachet and myself on extending multiple imputation methods, in particular for analyses of electronic health records in cancer. jobs.lshtm.ac.uk/vacancy.aspx...

Job Opportunity at LSHTM: Research Fellow in Statistics

The London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine (LSHTM) is one of the world’s leading public health universities. Our mission is to improve health and health equity in the UK and worldwide; working i...

jobs.lshtm.ac.uk

Congratulations to our very own Prof. Jim Griffin on winning the 2025 Lindley Prize of the International Society for Bayesian Analysis @isba-bayesian.bsky.social for his paper "Expressing and Visualizing Model Uncertainty in Bayesian Variable Selection Using Cartesian Credible Sets"

Following the decision of Statistics and Computing to charge (high!) APCs to *all* accepted papers, I decided to resign from the Editorial Board. (Sorry to the let EiC down, he's doing a super job).

F. Javier Rubio@fjrubio.bsky.social · last mo.

“Springer about to hijack Statistics & Computing” xianblog.wordpress.com/2026/06/28/s...

“Springer about to hijack Statistics & Computing” xianblog.wordpress.com/2026/06/28/s...

Springer about to hijack Statistics & Computing

I recently learned that Springer Nature is about to make the reference journal Statistics and Computing, where I published close to twenty papers over the years, fully “open access”, wh…

xianblog.wordpress.com

Sports Commentary xkcd.com/3262/

New preprint with P. Basak and A.R. Linero "Bayesian Causal Machine Learning for Cure Models" arxiv.org/abs/2606.11405 We define causal effects in survival cure models and introduce BartCure, a Bayesian causal machine learning estimation methodology.

Bayesian Causal Machine Learning for Cure Models

In survival studies, treatments can benefit patients through different mechanisms: a treatment may increase the probability of being cured or delay failure among patients who are not cured. Quantifyin...

arxiv.org

Hey #stats and #biostats folks I have a new starter pack. Which departments or organizations am I missing here? go.bsky.app/NrqteQw

This change went under my radar. Heads up for #rstats users: as of devtools 2.5.0 03/2026, install_github() and all other install_*() functions are deprecated in favour of pak. Full migration guide at: devtools.r-lib.org/reference/in... #github

Deprecated package installation functions — install-deprecated

These functions have been deprecated in favor of pak, as that is what we now recommend for package installation. There are a few functions which have no pak equivalent, where you can instead call the ...

devtools.r-lib.org

Fields medallist Terence Tao discusses how ever-evolving technology is transforming mathematicians’ work go.nature.com/4cOt1ZM

‘The job description is changing’: mathematician Terence Tao on the rise of AI

The Fields medallist discusses how ever-evolving technology is transforming mathematicians’ work.

go.nature.com

New preprint with Z. Wu, F. Leisen, and M. Luque-Fernandez: "Conformalized Super Learner" arxiv.org/abs/2604.22391 We propose integrating the Super Learner with conformal prediction via a weighted majority vote to construct prediction intervals for continuous outcomes with coverage guarantees.

Half a million Britons’ medical data stolen and offered for sale on Alibaba in UK Biobank hack

Half a million Britons’ medical data stolen in UK Biobank hack

The participants volunteered their data to help researchers prevent and treat serious illnesses

independent.co.uk

More details about the Bayesian Workflow book and case studies now available on the book web site avehtari.github.io/Bayesian-Wor... (but you still need to wait a bit for the book)

Richard McElreath 🐈‍⬛@rmcelreath.bsky.social · 4mo ago

I would have preferred to have the "draw the rest of the owl" meme on the cover, but this will do. Seems like it is on schedule, and we'll leave some typos so you know we didn't write it with AI.

#OTD 1761 Thomas Bayes d. Best known for his theorem, he never published it; his notes were edited posthumously by his friend Richard Price. Much of his early work related to infinite series & numerical analysis; he never published that either & similar results are attributed to Lagrange 1/4🧵

March 2026 ISBA Bulletin, featuring a little contribution by Mark Steel and me on the 80th anniversary of the Jeffreys' prior. isba-bulletin.github.io/ISBABulletin/ @isba-bayesian.bsky.social

Karl Pearson b #OTD 1857 (d April 27 1936) Founder of biometrics, & developer of mathematical statistical theory with many classical statistical methods still in use. In 1911 he launched the world's first university statistics department at UCL

Pleased to share that the paper by our student A. Iqbal (co-supervised with E. Ogundimu) has been accepted for publication in Computational Statistics. “Bayesian variable selection in sample selection models using spike-and-slab priors” arxiv.org/abs/2312.03538 R code: github.com/adam-iqbal/s...

New short paper forthcoming in Statistics & Probability Letters: An objective non-local prior for skew-symmetric models. arxiv.org/abs/2603.08285 This paper develops a Moment-Objective Minimum-Discrepancy (MOOMIN) Prior for testing symmetry against skew-symmetric alternatives.

Happy International Day of Women and Girls in Science! #InternationalDayofWomenandGirlsinScience

New preprint with my student Eric Chen, co-supervised with Jim Griffin: “Bayesian variable and hazard structure selection in the General Hazard model” arxiv.org/abs/2602.03756 We develop Bayesian methododology for simultaneous selection of variables and the hazard structure in survival analysis

FDA guidance on Bayesian clinical trials statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2026/01/15/f...

The effect of the shape (skewness) parameter in skew-symmetric models, Part III Based on Le Cam divergence, showing that the effect of this parameter in some models, such as the skew-normal, is tiny in a neighbourhood of 0 rpubs.com/FJRubio/DivM...

Mathematical Colloquium (at King's College London): A duality in the foundations of probability and statistics through history by Vladimir Vovk www.kcl.ac.uk/events/mathe...

#OTD 1763 Richard Price (1723-1791) reads ‘An Essay towards solving a Problem in the Doctrine of Chances' to the Royal Society. It is the basis of what is now called Bayes's Theorem, written by his friend Thomas Bayes who had died 2 years before.

New paper with J.A. Christen, just accepted in Statistical Methods in Medical Research "Hazard-based distributional regression via ordinary differential equations" preprint: arxiv.org/abs/2512.16336 R and Julia code + data: github.com/FJRubio67/Su... #rstats #JuliaLang #SciML

All the material for my Bayesian Data Analysis course is available online, including the lectures, which we re-recorded this fall (some of them by @aloctavodia.bsky.social and Noa Kallioinen while I was on vacation). The video links are listed in the schedule at avehtari.github.io/BDA_course_A...

4 or more UCL Departmental Studentships Deadline 9 January 2026 PhD Studentships, based at the UCL Department of Statistical Science. Open to Home and Overseas applicants. www.ucl.ac.uk/mathematical... Also, apply for admission to the MPhil/PhD programme. www.ucl.ac.uk/mathematical...

We are hiring! We are recruiting two Assistant Professors. The closing date is 25 January 2026. More information here 🔗: warwick-careers.tal.....