Yuki (was Catherine Rampell for POTUS!)
@foreignsubstance.bsky.social
Refugee (self-deleted) from Elon as of mid-2023. Why Catherine? A properly functioning moral compass. Sharp as a tack. But you have to want it (not a LOT, but at least a little). I understand. Color me "Open" right now. But '26 may make '28 meaningless.
They will try to put "safeguards" in place to prevent this, but the query need not be in such straightforward terms. It 𝒘𝒊𝒍𝒍 take place, and almost certainly already has.
Hazard@hazardfromharvard.bsky.social · 2h agoI hadn’t thought of this until now although I suppose it is obvious: LLMs will make plagiarism much easier (“Gemini, rewrite this in my voice such that it won’t be caught by anti-plagiarism software “).
The reason for this is that 𝒑𝒐𝒔𝒊𝒕𝒊𝒐𝒏𝒊𝒏𝒈 can be lopsided in advance of events, particularly in advance of events that are suspected, but which have not yet been instantiated. And whenever positioning is lopsided, speculators can be wrong-footed.
Catherine Rampell@crampell.bsky.social · 8h ago@johnauthers.bsky.social: "stock market’s relationship to war and peace can be troublesome. Just look at Dow in 1938 and 1939, as an ever-more belligerent Hitler brought Europe sliding ever further into war. The impact on Wall Street wasn’t totally predictable" www.bloomberg.com/opinion/news...
Think of this as "a refresher". (The problem of course, is timing. It's nearly impossible, as betting against a "peak" too early can be catastrophic, and mistaking a break for a "buy-the-dip", equally so.) craigmccaskill.com/ai-bubble-hi...
The Bubble That Knows It's a Bubble - Craig McCaskill
Railway Mania, dot-com, AI. Technology bubbles follow a pattern older than any of them. What's different this time is that everyone knows the script.
craigmccaskill.com
Triple-D Donald Draft Dodger Narrator: Same as his bond rating back in the day.
Mrs. Betty Bowers@mrsbettybowers.bsky.social · 5h agoGeneral Bone Spurs McRapist: “Hey you guys—whoever you are—-did you know that ‘draft dodger’ has a D in it? Most people don’t know that.”
"JD Vance: This administration is waging a war on fraud. Congress can help." The Onion? No, it's the WaPo. Narrator: There's a difference?
This is the game, suckers. 2009 (remember?) vs today. Then, the FASB suddenly said banks don't have to "mark to market". They can mark to "model" instead. Now, huge companies can "mark to fantasy" assets that have no reliable value, maybe little future value at all, and show that as "income".
The POTUS is a simp. Iran is simply going to rebuild damaged capabilities along the strait. Under the proposed s̶u̶r̶r̶e̶n̶d̶e̶r̶ agreement, Iran will control the outbound shipping lanes, which effectively means all of it. Iran will have a permanent foot on the neck of the world's economy. Thanks, Donald.
Coulda been, oh let's speculate here ... JD Vance. "US officials reviewing an air-traffic safety incident involving a military helicopter carrying Trump"
At ~ the 1:34:00 mark, Harris speculates that "someone who is truly ideological and truly smart could have done a lot more damage [than Trump]". He's wrong. He grossly underestimates what Trump has done to date, and he grossly discounts an unfinished Trump term. www.podchaser.com/podcasts/mak...
#488 — Ego, Ecstasy, and Equanimity by Making Sense with Sam Harris
#488 — Ego, Ecstasy, and Equanimity from Making Sense with Sam Harris on Podchaser, aired Tuesday, 4th August 2026. Sam Harris speaks with Neal Brennan about the experiences that shaped his life and w...
podchaser.com
If you happen to be on Martha’s Vineyard this week, me too and I’ll be doing my first event for The Breakup — tomorrow at 4 pm at the Chilmark Free Library. Come! www.chilmarkma.gov/chilmark-lib...
I desperately wish Peter Serafinowicz hadn’t stopped making his brilliant Sassy Trump videos in 2018. youtu.be/d76gCuIct4A?... I’m almost tempted to say I’d welcome good AI versions, but no.
The Best of Peter Serafinowicz's Sassy Trump
YouTube video by Papa Woody
youtu.be
Aaron Rupar@atrupar.com · 2d agoTrump: "Now we have a big decision to make. Do we take the pavers that are red -- the red, brick pavers -- and do we change them into a granite?"
I pretty much said the same thing yesterday, when I pointed out that Molotov-Ribbentrop was also in writing.
Ivan the K ™@ivanthek.bsky.social · 2d ago💯
Anyone besides me notice a definite decrease in Google Translate functionality recently? For me, these newer (newest) versions are garbage.
I liked Nolan’s The Odyssey. For exactly the reasons @ezraklein.bsky.social lays out in this very excellent piece, beautifully written and produced. www.nytimes.com/2026/08/02/o...
Opinion | Christopher Nolan’s Trojan Horse
The big trick of his “Odyssey” is smuggling the core of Judeo-Christian ethics into an ancient Greek epic.
nytimes.com
Trump: "Iran is unbelievably duplicitous." Iran: "Con men are unbelievably naive."
I will just point out that the Molotov–Ribbentrop Pact was also in writing. And it didn't mean a damn thing. www.nytimes.com/2026/08/03/u...
Blanche Gives G.O.P. Senators Written Assurances on Trump’s I.R.S. Deal (Gift Article)
Todd Blanche’s confirmation as attorney general has been held up over concerns about a planned $1.8 billion fund for Trump allies and the president’s immunity from tax scrutiny.
nytimes.com
Here's an "unconventional idea" (since you're soliciting them). Get rid of Hegseth. Fire him, or impeach him, but he's a clueless moron who indulges the POTUS in his fantasies. Get him out. www.cnn.com/2026/08/03/p...
Exclusive: US military asks troops for ‘creative and unconventional’ ideas to punish Iran | CNN Politics
The request from a senior officer at the US military command carrying out President Donald Trump’s war with Iran came in an email: We need ideas.
cnn.com
About the Dodgers ... I'm sorry, but every team that plays them from now on should just 'tank'. Narrator: How would we be able to tell?
𝑬𝒗𝒆𝒓𝒚 single question from the press to the WH should be about the "vandalism", and what happened to that, of the Reflecting Pool. They should choke the admin with a barrage. If only you had a WH press pool that was selected by its peers, instead of by the minister of propaganda.
Maid in Japan open.substack.com/pub/michaelw... (But in English rather than math, this week.)
Maid in Japan
Cleanup in rates, Aisle 30
open.substack.com
