Spencer J Fox

@foxandtheflu.bsky.social

Assistant prof at NAU in disease modeling, and data science. Posts are my own opinions

Our group traveled to Santiago with PAHO and the CDC to carry out a training on forecasting and our MicroHub tool, so that the MoH can run their own forecasts. PAHO just published a nice article about the visit if you're interested in the international work we're doing! www.paho.org/en/news/26-6...

Chile implements respiratory virus forecasting with support from PAHO, CDC, and Northern Arizona University

Santiago, Chile, June 26, 2026 (PAHO) – Technical teams from the Chilean Ministry of Health, the Pan American Health Organization (PAHO/WHO), the U.S. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC),...

paho.org

2nd day of our simulation-baesd inference for epidemiological models course at SISMID! Qianying, teaching particle filtering approaches to estimate likelihoods in the pomp R package now! I always learn something new watching her teach this stuff 😅

Bild

I have been playing with Codex and Claude extensively for about 6 months now, and while they are clearly impressive, I don't see them replacing software engineers in the near future and I don't understand how people can trust their work without knowing how to code

🚨 New preprint from our lab! How much does the design of “simple” baseline models matter for forecast hubs? We show that small design choices in baseline models can substantially change model performance, and thus the relative rankings of the other models www.medrxiv.org/content/10.6...

Basic Baseline model design choices can substantially influence performance in collaborative forecast hubs

Over the past decade, outbreak forecasting has become an increasingly used tool to assist public health decision-making during epidemics. Collaborative forecast hubs, where multiple teams submit predi...

medrxiv.org

Republicans in Arizona want voters to get rid of childhood vaccine requirements for school entry. They are planning to add a ballot proposition for November’s election in the hopes of ending the requirements, which they are framing as an issue of “medical freedom”. This would be catastrophic.

Arizona voters could decide future of government vaccine mandates

The Arizona Legislature is considering whether to refer a proposed constitutional amendment to the 2026 statewide general election ballot.

azcentral.com

Today we’re excited to announce a new product: COI Pond is a tool for faculty and grant staff that converts an academic CV into a draft NSF Collaborators and Other Affiliations (COA) Form. COA forms are tedious work, and COI Pond makes it a snap. Try it for free, here cevianlabs.io/coipond/start/ /1

Screenshot of the COI Pond webpage: 

Upload your academic CV and generate a draft NSF Collaborators and Other Affiliations (COA) Form to submit with your NSF grant proposals.

COI Pond parses your CV to extract:
Coauthors of articles published, in the last 48 months
Collaborators on funded projects, in last 48 months
Past PhD advisees & your own PhD advisor(s)
Editorial roles, in last 24 months
After extraction, you can edit the draft COA form before downloading a final version (in xslx format) that you can submit to NSF.

COI Pond is a free tool* from Cevian Labs.

We have to protect our public lands at all costs! This is a great summary of the current plans to infringe on Grand Staircase Escalante National Monument, a truly ecologically important, beautiful, and culturally significant region of Southern Utah. writersontherange.org/a-utah-monum...

A Utah monument comes under attack—again - Writers On The Range

Utah Republican Congresswoman Celeste Maloy is irritated. Her most recent attack on Grand Staircase-Escalante National Monument spurred wide and deep...

writersontherange.org

If you are a student whose NSF GRFP application was returned without review for vague 'eligibility' reasons: 1) Let your department chair & Graduate School know. Encourage them to contact NSF & congress 2) Write to your congressional reps. 3) Write to grfp@nsf.gov to request re-consideration;

Howdy y'all! I'm planning to graduate in May. If you are in need of a postdoc with knowledge of phylogenetics, graph databases, and Nextflow pipelines (or know of someone who is), please send them my way!

Our latest study in @jama.com on trends in county-level vaccine exemptions, demonstrating geographic pockets of high vaccine exemptions and high susceptibility to vaccine-preventable diseases. Great collab with @nbcnews.com colleagues and our Stanford team. jamanetwork.com/journals/jam...

Trends in County-Level Childhood Vaccination Exemptions in the US

This study examines US county-level trends in nonmedical and medical exemptions to childhood vaccination requirements.

jamanetwork.com