Finishing up the SISMID course on simulation-based inference of epidemiological models with instructions on how to run Bayesian, metapopulation, and phylodynamic models in pomp. Check out all of the lectures and exercises here: rubbislam.quarto.pub/episim/
Spencer J Fox
@foxandtheflu.bsky.social
Assistant prof at NAU in disease modeling, and data science. Posts are my own opinions
Our group traveled to Santiago with PAHO and the CDC to carry out a training on forecasting and our MicroHub tool, so that the MoH can run their own forecasts. PAHO just published a nice article about the visit if you're interested in the international work we're doing! www.paho.org/en/news/26-6...
Chile implements respiratory virus forecasting with support from PAHO, CDC, and Northern Arizona University
Santiago, Chile, June 26, 2026 (PAHO) – Technical teams from the Chilean Ministry of Health, the Pan American Health Organization (PAHO/WHO), the U.S. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC),...
paho.org
2nd day of our simulation-baesd inference for epidemiological models course at SISMID! Qianying, teaching particle filtering approaches to estimate likelihoods in the pomp R package now! I always learn something new watching her teach this stuff 😅
Really interesting talk at CSTE from Matt Doxey at google talking about using AI agents for public health modeling!
Excited to be back in Atlanta for both the CSTE Forecasting workshop and SISMID! Hope to see some of y’all there
Today, our #SCIMaP team released an impact analysis of the White House proposed FY 2027 NIH and NSF budgets. Bottom-line: if enacted, cuts to science and medical research would lead to $35B in economic losses and 150,000 lost jobs in communities all across the US. scienceimpacts.org 🧵
Great speakers at this symposium - 22 April 2026 at LSHTM. Join online or in person (email if in person) to hear great talks at the cutting edge of Inequalities in infectious disease dynamics. www.lshtm.ac.uk/newsevents/e...
Inequalities in infectious disease dynamics symposium | LSHTM
Join us for the Social Inequalities in Infectious Disease Dynamics Symposium at the London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine (LSHTM). The day features a full programme of presentations and invited
lshtm.ac.uk
I need this to be real, so I can get around NAUs rules against spending funds on coffee machines/accessories
Our newest piece of lab equipment: Bio-Rad’s “Buffer C dispenser”, developed in cooperation with De’Longhi. A discreet bench-top device that won’t raise suspicions with the lab safety officers.
I have been playing with Codex and Claude extensively for about 6 months now, and while they are clearly impressive, I don't see them replacing software engineers in the near future and I don't understand how people can trust their work without knowing how to code
I really like this idea of multiple baselines with different contexts. some relationship to this basket of baselines idea I was chatting about a while ago community.epinowcast.org/t/a-basket-o...
A basket of baselines
Been thinking about the overlap between baseline models (Manuel Stapper is working on this), the method of analogs (stuff @nickreich and co are going on about), and model output evaluation (i.e. @kat...
community.epinowcast.org
🚨 New preprint from our lab! How much does the design of “simple” baseline models matter for forecast hubs? We show that small design choices in baseline models can substantially change model performance, and thus the relative rankings of the other models www.medrxiv.org/content/10.6...
Basic Baseline model design choices can substantially influence performance in collaborative forecast hubs
Over the past decade, outbreak forecasting has become an increasingly used tool to assist public health decision-making during epidemics. Collaborative forecast hubs, where multiple teams submit predi...
medrxiv.org
Attending the @gs-idd.bsky.social launch seminar. Couldn't be more excited to see this effort take shape and can't wait to see how it helps push the infectious disease dynamics community forward! Thank you to all of the founding members and organizers 🙏
Republicans in Arizona want voters to get rid of childhood vaccine requirements for school entry. They are planning to add a ballot proposition for November’s election in the hopes of ending the requirements, which they are framing as an issue of “medical freedom”. This would be catastrophic.
Arizona voters could decide future of government vaccine mandates
The Arizona Legislature is considering whether to refer a proposed constitutional amendment to the 2026 statewide general election ballot.
azcentral.com
Today we’re excited to announce a new product: COI Pond is a tool for faculty and grant staff that converts an academic CV into a draft NSF Collaborators and Other Affiliations (COA) Form. COA forms are tedious work, and COI Pond makes it a snap. Try it for free, here cevianlabs.io/coipond/start/ /1
You know that annoying NSF form "List every coauthor/co-PI from the last 4y" ? At @cevianlabs.io we built a free tool that drafts the COI form from your PDF CV in minutes. Check it out 👇
Today we’re excited to announce a new product: COI Pond is a tool for faculty and grant staff that converts an academic CV into a draft NSF Collaborators and Other Affiliations (COA) Form. COA forms are tedious work, and COI Pond makes it a snap. Try it for free, here cevianlabs.io/coipond/start/ /1
Who is this for? If you don't know the material from the class, how can you review the outputs? If you have it auto-submit why are you even paying for the class? companion.ai/einstein
Einstein - AI Homework Agent
Einstein logs into Canvas and does your homework automatically. He has his own computer — he can watch lectures, read essays, write papers, and participate in discussions.
companion.ai
Interested in learning outbreak analytics and modelling, with a focus on real-life case studies and tools actively used in responses? Apply for the popular @lshtm.bsky.social R shortcourse, led by @jwlambert.bsky.social & @andreevallecam.bsky.social More: www.lshtm.ac.uk/study/course...
If anyone is interested in writing an NSF PRFB applications on the intersection of AI, disease forecasting, and understanding drivers of transmission (or related topics), please reach out! I think it would be a great fit with the work happening in our lab: www.nsf.gov/bio/updates/...
Supporting exciting biological sciences ideas and impacts on AI and biotechnology
nsf.gov
We have to protect our public lands at all costs! This is a great summary of the current plans to infringe on Grand Staircase Escalante National Monument, a truly ecologically important, beautiful, and culturally significant region of Southern Utah. writersontherange.org/a-utah-monum...
A Utah monument comes under attack—again - Writers On The Range
Utah Republican Congresswoman Celeste Maloy is irritated. Her most recent attack on Grand Staircase-Escalante National Monument spurred wide and deep...
writersontherange.org
Really cool that @kaitejohnson9.bsky.social is giving a keynote at the next Stan conference!
🔥 StanCon 2026 third keynote announced 🔥 Kaitlyn Johnson, London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine More information here discourse.mc-stan.org/t/announcing... @mc-stan.org
We are hiring at UGA! We’re looking for a full professor & director of the Skidaway Institute of Oceanography (based right on the coast in Savannah, GA). Please pass on the job ad to anyone in your networks who may be interested: www.ugajobsearch.com/postings/468...
Excited for the sixth instalment of our meeting on infectious disease dynamics!
IDDconf 2026 registration is open! See IDDconf.org for details and registration link.
If you are a student whose NSF GRFP application was returned without review for vague 'eligibility' reasons: 1) Let your department chair & Graduate School know. Encourage them to contact NSF & congress 2) Write to your congressional reps. 3) Write to grfp@nsf.gov to request re-consideration;
Howdy y'all! I'm planning to graduate in May. If you are in need of a postdoc with knowledge of phylogenetics, graph databases, and Nextflow pipelines (or know of someone who is), please send them my way!
IDDconf 2026 - July 7-9 in Ambleside, UK. A new summer date & a new ticketing system! Plus, 2 exciting workshops this year! See IDDconf.org for more info Tickets will go on sale on 2nd Feb. To be notified when, sign up at: tinyurl.com/IDDconf2026
IDDconf 2026
A Conference on Infectious Disease Dynamics. IDDconf is the second instalment of a new meeting series focussing on innovative research in infectious disease dynamics.
iddconf.org
Final week to apply for SFI’s 2026 immersive, summer programs in complexity science: Apply by Feb 4, 2026 CSSS and GWCSS : www.santafe.edu/engage/learn... Journalism Fellowship: santafe.edu/journalism-f...
In a new preprint, we combine modeling with school-level vaccine data to contextualize the risk of 'breakthrough infections' and impacts on the ongoing US measles outbreak. #idsky #episky www.medrxiv.org/content/10.6...
Interpreting Breakthrough Infections Given Assortative Mixing of Partially Vaccinated Populations
Declining vaccine coverage across the United States has increased the risk of outbreaks of vaccine-preventable diseases. Even when vaccines have low primary failure rates, conventional epidemic theory...
medrxiv.org
🧪 💉 Bill Foege is an absolute #PublicHealth legend And furious to the end about the destruction of US public health “Kennedy’s words can be as lethal as the smallpox virus,” he wrote… “I had no idea I would be this angry at the age of 89.” Ht @boghuma.bsky.social www.nytimes.com/2026/01/24/u...
William H. Foege, Key Figure in the Eradication of Smallpox, Dies at 89
nytimes.com
Our latest study in @jama.com on trends in county-level vaccine exemptions, demonstrating geographic pockets of high vaccine exemptions and high susceptibility to vaccine-preventable diseases. Great collab with @nbcnews.com colleagues and our Stanford team. jamanetwork.com/journals/jam...
Trends in County-Level Childhood Vaccination Exemptions in the US
This study examines US county-level trends in nonmedical and medical exemptions to childhood vaccination requirements.
jamanetwork.com
*New paper in Nature Health* Why did the 2022 mpox outbreak in Paris decline so abruptly? rdcu.be/eZ24H
Role of behaviour change in controlling the 2022 Paris mpox outbreak
Nature Health - Behaviour changes, rather than vaccination or postinfection immunity, best explained the sudden decline of mpox cases among men who have sex with men during an outbreak in the Paris...
rdcu.be