Gábor Békés

@gaborbekes.bsky.social

Economics Associate Prof, CEU Vienna. Trade, applied IO, organisations. sites.google.com/site/bekesg Author, "Data Analysis for Business, Economics, and Policy" (Cambridge UP) https://gabors-data-analysis.com/ @arsenalfc fan.

4. We were incredibly lucky. A dozen things could have gone wrong. If tisza IT 19yo Gundalf hadn’t been there, if old oppo weren’t so clueless. If we didn’t have a 2/3 majority. But: fortune favors the brave. Managed democracy isn’t a dictatorship—it’s just incredibly hard to defeat. 2/2

If Orbán was an autocratic dictator, how was it possible to defeat him? Because 1. He’s not Lukashenko. Big difference. It’s not a dictatorship, w journalists killed. 2. People pay more attention when the economy is bad. 3. Magyar isn’t a political necessity, but a unicorn. Rare talent. 1/2

If Orbán was an autocratic dictator, how was it possible to defeat him? Because 1. He’s not Lukashenko. Big difference. It’s not a dictatorship, w journalists killed. 2. People pay more attention when the economy is bad. 3. Magyar isn’t a political necessity, but a unicorn. Rare talent. 1/2

So maybe you are wondering how i feel seening Magyar win after 16 years of Orbán, 8 of which uprooted my life, sent me to therapy, destroyed some friends career, tanked healthcare, and more. Randomly sobbing.

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Do you think it was easy? To kick out Orban, we min needed: 1. really bad policy x bad international environment 2. Extreme bravery of same people 3. Failure of Fidesz hacking of Tisza IT in early 25 4. Survival of indep media by donations 5. EU finally saying no 6. Random ex-Fidesz guy getting mad

New York times photo

Do you think it was easy? To kick out Orban, we min needed: 1. really bad policy x bad international environment 2. Extreme bravery of same people 3. Failure of Fidesz hacking of Tisza IT in early 25 4. Survival of indep media by donations 5. EU finally saying no 6. Random ex-Fidesz guy getting mad

New York times photo

So maybe you are wondering how i feel seening Magyar win after 16 years of Orbán, 8 of which uprooted my life, sent me to therapy, destroyed some friends career, tanked healthcare, and more. Randomly sobbing.

Bild