Danny Cullenward

@ghgpolicy.org

Forensic climate economist and lawyer • The carbon accounting canary in your climate policy coal mine • https://ghgpolicy.org

So no I'm not surprised by: "the administration’s latest move was developed in partnership with university leaders, primarily the Association of American Universities, which represents dozens of top research institutions including all eight Ivy League colleges." 🎁 www.bloomberg.com/news/article...

McMahon Asks US Colleges to Pledge Campus Reforms by End of 2026

Education Secretary Linda McMahon is sending a letter Monday to the leaders of US universities asking them to commit to a slate of campus reforms by the end of 2026 in the Trump administration’s lates...

bloomberg.com

In recent weeks, there has been a remarkable surge in large, intense, fast-moving, and unfortunately in many cases destructive/deadly wildfires in multiple Northern Hemisphere regions spanning a wide range of climates & ecologies, but they all share one key commonality. [Thread]

Another lightning outbreak now ongoing in PacNW (TS Elida's remants), & this time fuels are considerably drier west of Cascades following recent heat. Numerous additional wildfire ignitions are likely across much of OR/WA over next 48 hr, worsening existing outbreak. #ORwx #WAwx

In which I yell at my favorite journal and its thoughtful, talented collection of researchers that we really need to take fossil phase-out seriously as a line of inquiry, and that we would not stand for the level of talking around it as a solution in other settings with very obvious problems:

The state of energy transition research and the need for fossil phase-out: evidence from Environmental Research Letters

The state of energy transition research and the need for fossil phase-out: evidence from Environmental Research Letters, Grubert, Emily

iopscience.iop.org

I wonder, if you polled people, how much extra they would pay each year to have their city *not* be covered in thick, choking wildfire smoke for days at a time. I wonder if that might give you more insight into "willingness to pay" vis a vis climate change than asking in the abstract.

BLOG: What happens when the forest behind a carbon offset project burns down? New research shows how carbon credit reversal risk can be assessed using transparent, empirical analysis under the Paris Agreement Crediting Mechanism. Read more from Senior Fellow Danny Cullenward (@ghgpolicy.org):

An Empirical Approach to Quantifying Forest Carbon Risks

Energy policy research from the University of Pennsylvania

kleinmanenergy.upenn.edu

A major thunderstorm outbreak is unfolding across the interior Pacific NW. While not "dry thunderstorms" (w/briefly heavy showers), numerous wildfire ignitions are still likely due to strikes outside of rain cores, severe pre-existing drought, & heatwave to follow. #ORwx #WAwx

A quick and time-sensitive question for the internet hive mind: What's the best reference for the embodied emissions in solar photovoltaics manufacturing (e.g., gCO2e/kWh)? (I'm looking for numbers, not a debate. I know the emissions are small relative to the value of displacing fossil fuels.)

It seems to have become commonplace to blame net zero for Britain’s high energy bills and/or weak job market… … and I guess I’ll have to explain again why there is very little evidence of this. Britain has plenty of economic problems; net zero is not high on that list (though climate change is) 🧵

Ed Miliband would be ‘noose around neck’ of job creation as chancellor, union boss warns

Comments by Sharon Graham come as Burnham team explores key government appointments

giftarticle.ft.com

1/ A common move in energy/climate public writing is: argue that decarbonization has shifted from a shared public sacrifice to a competitive advantage, contend that self-interest will drive the transition. There’s truth here & I learn a lot from these voices — but this framing has important gaps. 🪡

1/ The purpose of green industrial policy has inverted. It used to pay for a public good: clean energy that cost more, benefiting everyone. Now it captures advantages a country keeps for itself. That shift, from a shared cost to a prize seized, is the story of the transition.

IEA said Iran War created the worst fossil-fuel disruption in history. Price of oil stayed below $150. Why? Biggest reason: China cut its demand by 5 million barrels a day. Some say it's a mystery. But @davidfickling.bsky.social says public data explains it. 🎁🔗 www.bloomberg.com/opinion/arti...

The Mystery of China’s Oil Demand Drop Is No Mystery

It’s the biggest conundrum in the world economy right now: How has China managed to go on an oil detox?

bloomberg.com

Makes perfect sense that CDP is literally selling out to a private equity firm. Its continued relevance requires ongoing demand for this voluntary reporting standard. But voluntary disclosure isn’t as important as it once was. But commodifying data to inform investment decisions? That’ll work. 🧵

Environmental reporting non-profit group CDP strikes private equity deal

Permira to take majority stake in core operations under energy transition strategy

giftarticle.ft.com

For years, CA climate progress has been crippled by many advocates' insistence on giving state officials the benefit of the doubt as "climate leaders," regardless of their actual actions. In a Becerra-v-Hilton world, there's no longer any excuse. CA advocates must organize to fight.

In April I reported on some concerning conduct within the GHG Protocol. Now, Danny Cullenward, a member of its oversight board, has resigned in protest, accusing GHGP of handing standards development over to “a secret, industry-dominated drafting process.” heatmap.news/carbon-remov...

Tensions Mount at Greenhouse Gas Protocol as Scientist Resigns in Protest

The move by University of Pennsylvania researcher Danny Cullenward intensifies a debate over integrity at the carbon accounting organization.

heatmap.news

BLOG: After two years of work to develop technical standards that prescribe how carbon crediting methodologies will operate, implementation of the PACM is focused on the development of methodologies and their supporting methodological tools. Read more from Danny Cullenward (@ghgpolicy.org):

An Update on the Paris Agreement Crediting Mechanism

Name Purpose Additionality Standard Specifies how methodologies determine that Article 6.4 activities would not occur in the absence of carbon credits. Baseline Standard Specifies how methodologies de...

kleinmanenergy.upenn.edu