Heather Sullivan

@hsulli.bsky.social

Political scientist, photography futzer, would rather be climbing

The admin is proposing indefinite control of Venezuelan oil, but evidence suggests that Venezuelan cooperation will only extend as far as it‘s coerced - and can’t extend past what the crumbing infrastructure can generate. Meanwhile ordinary Venezuelans continue to suffer. @goodauth.bsky.social

Good Authority@goodauth.bsky.social · 7mo ago

Restoring the oil sector – and securing friendlier relations – may prove equally difficult. Here's what to expect in Venezuela, after Maduro. Read from @hsulli.bsky.social: goodauthority.org/news/what-to...

Good piece from @profsaunders.bsky.social on potential U.S. military strikes in Venezuela and the added risks brought about by Trump's inexperienced and highly centralized national security team

Elizabeth N. Saunders@profsaunders.bsky.social · 9mo ago

🧵New piece from me @goodauth.bsky.social on risks of striking Venezuela, focused on the added risk from Trump team of loyalists. Hint: it has to do with centralized role of Rubio, the nation's top diplomat, and the incompetence of advisers like SecDef Hegseth. 1/ goodauthority.org/news/trump-m...

Wrote about the wave of U.S. strikes on boats in the Caribbean. Alarmed that possibly the best explanation for the attacks is that the administration thinks it's acting out the movie Sicario. The movie was good imho, but not a model of normatively or strategically good policy. @goodauth.bsky.social

Trump’s attacks on Venezuela won’t even serve Trump’s stated goals

The attacks won’t stop the drug trade – or bring about a friendlier regime.

goodauthority.org

Couldn’t figure out why 2 articles on the Honduran charter city Próspera recently came out in big msm sources. Then realized it’s because there’s a push from proponents to get “Freedom Cities” in the U.S. Read about Honduras’s experience with charter cities in my piece for @goodauth.bsky.social

You want to live in a Freedom City? Take a closer look at Honduras.

Próspera offers a cautionary tale on deregulation and charter cities.

goodauthority.org

Why go after a group that's not a threat? Gang members in strong organized criminal groups are relatively hard to catch. They hide and fight back. But rounding up Venezuelans who have TPS or other legal status - i.e. people in the system living ordinary law-abiding lives - well, that's easy.

Joshua Collins@murosinvisibles.bsky.social · last yr.

Urban Legends and a media-ecosphere: How the "Tren de Aragua's" infamy grew across the Americas Dishonest politicians, paranoia, xenophobia, and a lack of real research have affected even well-meaning commentators

Wrote about the US sending Venezuelans to a notorious prison in El Salvador. Many innocent people sent to a foreign prison based on the dubious claim of membership in a gang that barely exists in the US and isn't a threat to national security. It should anger and scare us all. @goodauth.bsky.social

Venezuelans sent to El Salvador jail aren't gang members.

The Trump administration flew Venezuelan migrants to El Salvador, calling them gang members. Without any trial, they're now in prison.

goodauthority.org

What does it look like when you erode checks and balances, manage your bureaucracy in a discretionary way, personalize power, and crack down on autonomous groups? Nicaragua gives us an example and it's...not great. @goodauth.bsky.social

In Nicaragua, the constitution gives Pres. Ortega more power.

Nicaragua's constitutional revisions have now entrenched the political power of President Daniel Ortega and his wife, VP Rosario Murillo.

goodauthority.org

Since I wrote this, Trump/Musk shuttered USAID hindering Colombia’s ability to support rural areas. Then Petro said cocaine should be legal, it's no worse than whiskey. Pro tip: if you want to stop drugs, don’t cut off aid - and don't destabilize legal economies with tariffs. @goodauth.bsky.social

The new violence that threatens Colombia's peace plan.

Colombia’s armed groups have put the peace plan in jeopardy by abusing the ceasefire agreements to expand their power.

goodauthority.org

Before the Venezuelan election on Sunday, was hoping I would get to write a piece on the complexities of democratic transitions for @goodauth.bsky.social, but instead here are my reflections on Maduro's authoritarian management of the electoral game. Protest and repression continue in Venezuela.

Maduro's disputed win in Venezuela's election sparks widespread unrest

Political science helps explain why autocrats like Nicolás Maduro in Venezuela hold elections they have little chance of winning.

goodauthority.org

Chiquita has had a big impact on politics across much of Latin America. They were recently found liable for killings carried out by a Colombian paramilitary group that the company funded from the 1990s-2000s. I wrote about the case and Chiquita's history in Colombia for @goodauth.bsky.social

Chiquita and the long, dark history of conducting business in weak states

A U.S. jury found Chiquita liable for killings in Colombia – after Chiquita made payments to armed groups.

goodauthority.org